Set & Forget Football Strategies
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I’ve also started under 1.5 what can be a bit dodgy to some people but backing with them high odds doesn’t require a big hit rate. I’m testing it now but it looks like profit already. The only problem is that I get only about 10-15 games a week.
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@james-rome predicted odds or have you managed to track them from Betfair?
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I have a over 1.5 set forget being doing well shocking last months odds based though I'll post when home
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Great idea this! I currently have an U2.5 test running so will post in here, early days so far though.
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added a testing sheet, will update this further very basic atm (although I do like them that way!) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1NTpTekGxMYNfns6NmyxF9Zyvox3vQn2SCYWDOXu6hXM/edit#gid=1511053721
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@martin I'm interested in this as well and happy to help if I can. We all see different things when we look at data so with more people looking at it hopefully we can find a good edge.
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@martin-walker it's thrown up similar games to @lee-woodman's one for over 2.5 which has done really well
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Martin Walkerreplied to Martin on 15 Feb 2022, 14:11 last edited by Martin Walker 15 Feb 2022, 14:14
@martin id have the h2 avg at 1.5 and away scored equal greater than 0 to start on this for 1.5 as i tweaked it for purely SHG. Just to start with for a broad picture
Ive just checked and h2 1.7 and no away scored stat used gave 450+ results with 85% sr
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Here is my lay under 1.5 filter if anyone wants to try it.
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Definitely will follow this. As you know i have my FHG/SHG split stake strategy which i post. It had a tragic January but has started performing again in Feb (bar Sunday!).
I am very keen to set up a few profitable set and forgets alongside my active inplay trading.
Happy to help if I can also @Martin
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@martin yes mate I like to test at least 100 games and then put a tiny stakes in, because for me there is no fun without money involved. Betfair lowered the minimum stakes so that's even better, but I know the way how to do even £0.50 there.
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@tomasz-lunarzewski I'm going to test it before putting money on as always
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@martin Thank you mate, I will give it a try.
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@martin-walker said in Project Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration:
I have a filter that performed really well last year for over 1.5 and shg if anyone wanted to track it. Havnt used it in about 3 - 4 months so would require a little work.
@Tomasz-Lunarzewski this one bud
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@martin What is that strategy you just posted mate? Is it over 1.5 with SHG?
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@martin with lay under 1.5 I get about 1-2 losers on 10 games so roughly around 80%. I tested 200 games before putting any money in. I had 1 bad losing day when there were more losers, obviously that happens sometimes. As I said before I don’t mind higher odds so I take everything up to 9 usually. I do low stakes following Maria staking plan and I’m in profit. Got it all recorded. With LTD it’s roughly around 75% strike rate. I get a few games a day, much more on weekends.
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@tomasz-lunarzewski nice one what sort of strike rates do they have?
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@martin-walker I've imported the filter settings here:
0_1644931742900_filter-settings.txtAnyone who wants to add this and test it follow this guide on how to do that here.
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@martin one is LTD and the other is lay under 1.5 or over 1.5 however you want to do it.
I used to do LTD with taking the loss in 70th minute but I tested it different way and just let it run. With LTD I avoid odds higher than 7, I wait until half time with them high odds. -
@Martin Interested to explore stuff on this too, great idea
1721/1753