Set & Forget Football Strategies
-
@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Martin thanks for the advice. I’ll leave the over 1.5 for now. With Tomasz lays strategy, are we still using through the summer leagues?
HI Martin i have tightened up the filter selections yesterday by looking only trading if 80% of matches have over 1.5 goals and the h2h the same percentage. Will keep an eye on if this improves the strategy . Will update at the end of the month
-
@Martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Tony-Hastie it's not a bad strategy so I wouldn't flip it but you could test that.
5 games today, 5 wins...not flip(ping) testing that
-
@dave-tancock yeah they don't get scrapped just will save it and run through backtesting when it arrives
-
@Tony-Hastie it's not a bad strategy so I wouldn't flip it but you could test that.
-
@Martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@dave-tancock think the over 1.5 needs to be scrapped. Tomasz one has been fine if following the not trading end of season rules but no one follows the rules
Scrapped ...or flipped? Ive been listening to your podcasts
-
@David-Linney said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Looking at testing the over 3.5 goals lay... So wanted to ask if i should be using over 3.5 goals then lay that selection or should it be under 3.5 goal and then lay that selection instead ?
If your strategy is over 3.5 goal lay, you are saying there will not be over 3.5 goals.
So you either lay the over 3.5 goals market or back the under 3.5 goals market. Both do the same thing. Just depends how you want to do it.
If you want a flat stake you bet £10 (for example) on U3.5 goals (odds will probably be 1.3-1.5 area). Or you lay O3.5 goals (odds probably 3.0-4.0 area). With your stake, you aim to have a liability of £10 (so bet will probably be between £2-3 depending on odds)
-
Looking at testing the over 3.5 goals lay... So wanted to ask if i should be using over 3.5 goals then lay that selection or should it be under 3.5 goal and then lay that selection instead ?
-
Have been testing the over 3.5 goals lay strategy... when setting up the criteria do i need to look for over 3.5 or under 3.5 goals in the drop-down menu ?
-
@Adam said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Adam based on games per season something like that? So if 33 games have been played in Premier League we know 5 are left. Or even maybe total games per league played %?
We need a source for that info though.... I know we just know the figure for some leagues but we cover quite a few leagues!
gets trickier too when they split off into two tiers like some of the asian (and I think maybe the swiss?) leagues do.
-
@Martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Adam based on games per season something like that? So if 33 games have been played in Premier League we know 5 are left. Or even maybe total games per league played %?
We need a source for that info though.... I know we just know the figure for some leagues but we cover quite a few leagues!
-
@dave-tancock no it's still in testing, one indicator so far is to avoid odds on shots
-
@dave-tancock yeah no reason not to at present (sods law it will turn now I said that )