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Set & Forget Football Strategies

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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1.7k Posts 143 Posters 220.6k Views
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Joseph Henderson on last edited by
    #21

    @Joseph-Henderson I always add in the commission even when testing with no money bet, so any winnings multiply them by 0.98 to find out the real total. So if 1.40 odds you would make £4 with 0% commission, multiply that by 0.98 which = £3.92 on average per bet won.

    Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0

    J 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #22

    @Colin-Bache

    Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • J Offline
    J Offline
    Joseph Henderson
    wrote on last edited by Joseph Henderson
    #23

    Apologies if this is a basic question, but how do you calculate the betting edge of a strategy? If my strike rate is 75.14% and my average odds are 1.40 is the edge around 3.5% or do I need to factor in commission somewhere in the calculation? Cheers.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • joshua armstrongJ Offline
    joshua armstrongJ Offline
    joshua armstrong
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #24

    @Martin ok perfect thanks so much

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to joshua armstrong on last edited by
    #25

    @joshua-armstrong if you can't watch them or the live stats I would steer clear myself for first 6-8 games

    Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0

    joshua armstrongJ 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • joshua armstrongJ Offline
    joshua armstrongJ Offline
    joshua armstrong
    wrote on last edited by
    #26

    Hey guys! as now we have hit august a little while ago we shouldnt be taking games with recent signings correct? ( august and start of september) how long would you recommend waiting? @Ryan @Martin thanks!

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #27

    Right, s**t's about to get real.

    Taking the posting of this system on to my own thread and it's now time to make some serious money. Challenge on!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    👍
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #28

    @Martin there's not much going on so it's really slow going.

    Roll on August, except I'll not be holiday anymore. Swings and roundabouts!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #29

    @Richard-Latimer said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

    @Richard-Latimer said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

    Couple more selections to add (inc. the last one as well):

    93ca5210-a3ac-4adf-b905-3377c79f4ae2-image.png

    Lay all home unless odds less than 1.9.

    Odds too low on Geylang.

    2/2 on the others.

    Good work on these again, amazing how much money is in these lower quality games too at the moment

    Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #30

    @Richard-Latimer said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

    Couple more selections to add (inc. the last one as well):

    93ca5210-a3ac-4adf-b905-3377c79f4ae2-image.png

    Lay all home unless odds less than 1.9.

    Odds too low on Geylang.

    2/2 on the others.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    2
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #31

    Couple more selections to add (inc. the last one as well):

    93ca5210-a3ac-4adf-b905-3377c79f4ae2-image.png

    Lay all home unless odds less than 1.9.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #32

    @Martin that's alright, I'll be minted🤣

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #33

    @Richard-Latimer yeah I thought about that but then I saw the house prices!

    Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #34

    @Martin It certainly is, just a shame can't guarantee the weather in this country.

    It's North Devon and I have quite a bit of local knowledge as I lived there for years before moving back to Oxfordshire.

    I'll retire to Cornwall when I'm done. Or at least get a holiday home there.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #35

    @Richard-Latimer beautiful part of the world

    Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #36

    @Martin Devon. First holiday with my new blended family and seeing mum, sister, brother at the same time.

    Not quite abroad but it will have to do for this year!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #37

    @Richard-Latimer anywhere nice?

    Football testing 2025: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1rO--lA-RazH6WrqV9ZflwRTJCPnACyFWO9e_wygEgmo/edit?gid=0#gid=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #38

    Going on holiday Fri so doing some things early. One selection for Friday:

    Lay El Masry vs Al Ahly in Egypt.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Lucy
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #39

    @Richard-Latimer keep posting Richard as looks like a decent Strat 👍🏻. So far so gd

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #40

    1/2 and 3rd straight day with small loss.

    I'm still up about 10% this month. Confident things will improve again.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    A 1 Reply Last reply
    1

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