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Set & Forget Football Strategies

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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1.8k Posts 143 Posters 220.9k Views
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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    dave tancock
    wrote on last edited by
    #1101

    Surprised we are getting rid of the under 3.5 goals filter. I’m a couple points up this month with that one.

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • K Offline
    K Offline
    Kevin Ray
    wrote on last edited by
    #1102

    Hi Martin, you recently did a video on the 1st year results of Martins o1.5 set and forget results.

    In it you mention that there have been little in the way of tweaks other than odds range.

    I'm still new here and was looking at this strategy and it looks like the number of daily selections has reduced quite a bit since the early days in 2022. I have gone back through each selection to record goal times, results etc (which has taken a super long time) , because I am trying to implement a strategy of the back of this filter.

    Still trying to understand the strategy filters (I am assuming that the league has to have a tick next to it for it to be included in the filter) and it appears that leagues such as the English Premier and Championship are no longer being included, when they were originally.

    So, sorry to be a pain but can you confirm that some leagues have been removed from the original Martin's filter?

    If not, then ok - but can you explain the tick next to the league filter

    If so,

    (i) what leagues and when?
    (ii) what was the rationale for the removals - eg the Premier League only had 10 selections, N-10 is a bit small to make any significant judgement on success/failure
    (iii) does anyone run the original filter in parallel to see whether the removals have improved/diminished the returns
    (iv) Have the removals increased the strike rate dramatically? (79% of £1000 is better than 80.3% of £600, in raw numbers, so to speak)
    (v) is there a copy or link to the original strategy filters

    Thanks

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1103

    @steven-fletcher yeah it's definitely giving me food for thought I've been trading for quite some time but more pre race and in play with no great success, this way of doing things I've found interesting lots of angles to approach from. Just need to put the time in learning and gathering data.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1104

    @craig-vaulks use the one in the presets

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1105

    @craig-vaulks while i can't answer your question i'd suggest going into the edit filter and having a look to see if you can see what the difference are.

    There is a lot to be learned by looking at how others are using the filters and gaining an understanding of what sorts of things people are looking for.

    This gives you a really good understanding of what the strategy is doing and gives you a real head start when you come to try creating your own filters for a strategy. It could also be useful in the future if you notice trends and want to alter the filter yourself

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1106

    Hi just checking with martins over 1.5 goals strategy the one I downloaded above has been bringing up a few more fixtures than the one saved in the profitable members strategys just wondered why and if I am better off using a certain 1.

    ? MartinM 2 Replies Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1107

    @chris-osborne No Worries Kelly, your welcome.

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1108

    @jon-kinnear said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

    Tomasz Under 1.5 Goals - Lays
    This strategy is on fire at the moment, 14 winners out of 17 for this month so far.

    Thanks Joe - good to know

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • D Offline
    D Offline
    dave tancock
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1109

    @jon-kinnear shush don’t jinx it 🤣🤣

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1110

    Tomasz Under 1.5 Goals - Lays
    This strategy is on fire at the moment, 14 winners out of 17 for this month so far.

    D ? 2 Replies Last reply
    2
  • R Offline
    R Offline
    ross love
    replied to Martin on last edited by
    #1111

    @martin Thanks mate

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to ross love on last edited by Martin
    #1112

    @ross-love said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

    Hi Martin, could you post the over 3.5 lay filter please so I can add it to my filters. Thank you

    here you go:0_1676798834497_filter-settings.txt

    Bare in mind max odds are 3.5

    R 1 Reply Last reply
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  • R Offline
    R Offline
    ross love
    wrote on last edited by
    #1113

    Hi Martin, could you post the over 3.5 lay filter please so I can add it to my filters. Thank you

    MartinM 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1114

    @jon-kinnear i get it. Thank you mate

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1115

    @andrew-dobinson When they were testing the strategy, they were looking for a back under 1.5 goals strategy. it turns out it worked better as a lay under1.5 goals strategy. lots of people think these games will have less goals this causes the prices to move in favour of those using this strategy. most games have 2 goals, these games have decent value.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1116

    could anyone explain the filters for the (Tomasz Under 1.5 Goals) strategy please, it looks like its looking for low scoring games. Thanks

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Ged BrownG Offline
    Ged BrownG Offline
    Ged Brown
    wrote on last edited by
    #1117

    I'll usually look at the filters in the morning or late at night the day before (due to work) and queue the matches where the odds aren't quite what I'm after. If the odds are too far below what I want I'll leave it if I feel it will take too long in the match for the odds to hit, especially with the Over 1.5 strategy.

    I don't have loads of data but since I've started queuing the matches it seems to be going fine. I haven't lost out on many trades this way which I was worried about due to the time for the odds to get matched. 👍

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to dave tancock on last edited by
    #1118

    @dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

    With set and forgets do most people just look in the morning or does anyone request a price with the odds parameters to see if it gets matched. If so, how successful is this method??

    Bit of both mainly looking in the morning but I do queue a trade on occasions especially ltd or laying U1.5 prices are slightly too high

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Donnelly
    wrote on last edited by
    #1119

    I tend to look in the morning and if there are some that are close to the odds needed, I will queue a bet and potentially check on those nearer kick off, but that’s just me.

    There does seem to be a lot of variance depending on time of day you enter. One to look at when back testing arrives

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    dave tancock
    wrote on last edited by
    #1120

    With set and forgets do most people just look in the morning or does anyone request a price with the odds parameters to see if it gets matched. If so, how successful is this method??

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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