Set & Forget Football Strategies

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer fingers crossed on the game in Chile. Lithuania was a bollox again!

Completely unrelated but while odds 2.5 or under have shown an overall profit and a decent one....all of this is confined to the later stages of Feb and March/April. They've been break even at best since.

I've removed all odds 1.9 or under as these are break even from the start and the rest is under consideration.

In theory, even though I lose a few points from the overall system it will boost the s/r and make me able to stake slightly higher. I'll come back to this.

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

Caught a loser today at odds of 3.40. Need the early one to come through to minimise that loss. Next up these 3 on the home lays:

2/3 for another very small loss Too many low odds at the moment and while the risk is obviously less they are much less consistent.

Richard Latimer

Laying both these home teams tomorrow.

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

I'm doing selections for both the following afternoon and morning after now. Means I don't get caught racing to get overnighters or morning selections done. May as well post all now:

Laying all home teams:

I have very carefully worked out my stake accoridng to current strike rates and longest expected losing streak (this x5 would be what it takes to bust the bank).

Odds 3.5 or lower 76% s/r (rounded up) 140 selections
Odds 3.55-7.40 93% (rounded down) 129 selections
Odds 7.6-11.00 94% (rounded down) 36 selections

2/3 for a small loss.

Richard Latimer

Caught a loser today at odds of 3.40. Need the early one to come through to minimise that loss. Next up these 3 on the home lays:

Richard Latimer

I'm doing selections for both the following afternoon and morning after now. Means I don't get caught racing to get overnighters or morning selections done. May as well post all now:

Laying all home teams:

I have very carefully worked out my stake accoridng to current strike rates and longest expected losing streak (this x5 would be what it takes to bust the bank).

Odds 3.5 or lower 76% s/r (rounded up) 140 selections
Odds 3.55-7.40 93% (rounded down) 129 selections
Odds 7.6-11.00 94% (rounded down) 36 selections

Richard Latimer

This is the graph of p/l

I've hardly made any adjustments in ages. The removal of certain South American leagues was done after I noticed the s/r was poor across the board for South America since I started collecting data in Feb.

A closer look however revealed that only a small number of those South American countries were bringing the overall down and to rmove the others without reason to do so would have been to throw away decent profit.

That decision has so far proved correct with a few decent results coming in South America and a couple negative ones avoided.

The last change I made was ruling out an away 3 streak loss. 1 small odds loss this month but it was literally the only one since Feb that I'd seen with a 3 streak loss and it lost. Makes no sense to collect 3 or 4 results a season that may be like that.

Richard Latimer

@Martin Get alot of draws, a few crazy comebacks so holding your nerve quite often necessary. Good thing here is average odds low and justas many odds 3.5 or under as there are between 3.55-7.4.

Only a few go over those odds. I take them around 5 mins before kick off as well as sometimes the price drops quite a lot.

Martin

@Richard-Latimer said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

@Martin Laying Nashville @ home against Orlando in MLS

these are unreal mate! not just winning but 0-3!

Richard Latimer

Nashville 0 - 3 Orlando

Richard Latimer

Nothing for tomorrow at all. So fed up of this summer break

Richard Latimer

@Martin Laying Nashville @ home against Orlando in MLS

Martin

@Richard-Latimer don't leave us in suspense!

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

Overnight I will be laying:

The home team

0-2

So far so good.

Got another overnighter later.

Martin

@Richard-Latimer said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:

Overnight I will be laying:

The home team

very good!

Richard Latimer

Overnight I will be laying:

The home team

Martin

@joshua-armstrong the idea of not being in top 3 isn't one of mine so I can't answer. Was it one of Ryan's?

joshua armstrong

Hi guys just a quick question I know for research when going for goals we make sure both teams aren't in top 3 but would this still count if they were both in top 3 on different conference leagues like usa mls? Or overall points top 3 both conferences leagues? @Ryan @Martin many thanks

Richard Latimer

Cerro lost 0-1
Fenix lost 1-2

2/2 today

Richard Latimer

Went to bed at 1-0. Woke up and they'd turned it around to defeat NE 1-3.

I'm going to post my selections on this thread for a bit before moving to my own in Aug. Hopefully rest of month goes well.

Laying CA Cerro & Fenix in todays Uruguayan games.