Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@Martin Perhaps it would be a good idea to change the filters to account for end of season. So instead of Overall matches played greater than 10 set it as Overall matches played between 10 and 33. I am assuming that an average amount for a league would be 38 matches in total. Someone else might have a better knowledge of a better number than 33 to end with
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@dave-tancock think the over 1.5 needs to be scrapped. Tomasz one has been fine if following the not trading end of season rules but no one follows the rules
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@dave-tancock Yeh I look at the start of the day or in the evening if there are overnight games.
I do also queue bets on qualifiers if they are only a few ticks away from the desired odds range and more often than not they do get matched
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@Andy-Donnelly yeah I think I’ve had 2 out of 9 months profitable with martins over 1.5, and one was basically scratch and the other was about 2 points up. Personally I check the stats software before work as it’s really the only time I have to do so. Did have a quick look at the data I have for it and the only anomaly was 5/5 games at odds of 2.86 lost. Otherwise no obvious trends.
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@Andy-Donnelly What time of day do you check for qualifiers or do you just go off the daily email?
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@dave-tancock It’s weird that we all seem to be having slightly different successes in some of the members strategies. Time in the day of entry seems to be the variable.
I say that as I had a profitable month last month on Tomaz u1.5 lays and generally been pretty steady for me. However I just can’t get Martins O1.5 to be profitable. Giving in one more month before I probably shelve it, but no others on this chat have done really well with it
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I’ve noticed that Tomas under 1.5 lay has struggled the last couple months. Just wondering if anyone else noticed this or had any tweaks that improved it at all?
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@Andy-Donnelly said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Latest update on the amended U3.5 with 85% thresholds on home and away u3.5 goals parameters.
Very encouraging month. Had by far the most selections in month than previous months (which is likely down to the market having added expectation of goals in the final weeks of the season) and filter still stayed strong.
May results
65 trades
52 wins
80 SR
+£57.87 (to £10 stakes)Overall 2023
162 trades
130 wins
80.2 SR
+£132.07 (to £10 stakes)Very impressive that andy and to be honest it would seem at face value that less selections might be the way to go
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@Andy-Donnelly amazing well done, shows what a tweak in the right place can do
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@Andy-Donnelly Thanks Andy.
I used to follow the U3.5 until its big downturn so this is really interesting to me. -
@David-Baker-0
See filter I use below
filter-settings.txt.jsonMinimum odds uses is 1.3
In 5 months of testing there hasn’t been a losing month yet albeit there has been 2 months that were virtually scratch months in that time.
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@Andy-Donnelly Hi Andy great results.Is the original U3.5 set and forget filter still around anywhere,I had in my filters but I must have deleted it.
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Latest update on the amended U3.5 with 85% thresholds on home and away u3.5 goals parameters.
Very encouraging month. Had by far the most selections in month than previous months (which is likely down to the market having added expectation of goals in the final weeks of the season) and filter still stayed strong.
May results
65 trades
52 wins
80 SR
+£57.87 (to £10 stakes)Overall 2023
162 trades
130 wins
80.2 SR
+£132.07 (to £10 stakes) -
@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Martin just seen the video on the new lay away strategy. Couldn’t see it in the presets, is it saved somewhere else?
here you go: filter-settings (10).txt
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I think you're right in the fact that an Away team 2-0 down at '75 have little chance of coming back for a draw in most instances. But, this is where I have learned from the guys in here that data collection is paramount. If you can collect goal time data or even just say score at '75 and score at '90 for the selected games then this will give you an accurate picture of what you are (probably correctly) assuming.
If you can record the odds at '75 also this will give you a picture of how much bankroll preservation you will get by doing this. For me it would then be a balance of time and effort. If I was losing a minimal amount (I'm talking pennies) on staying in for the final '15 then I'd be thinking do I want to be stuck to my laptop/phone in case I can trade out for a few pence? Or, do I want to spend 30 minutes in a morning putting my trades on and just come back at night to check them?
Just some thoughts mate
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Hi Joe,
I think the basic set and forget strategy already works, the testing shows that, I'm just looking to improve the results by getting out of losing trades before the full liability is lost. If the away team is 0-2 down at 75 minutes the chances of 2 away goals is remote at that point, I would think its then prudent to cash out for a smaller loss than at full time.