Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@Alex-Rendell nope not at all.. just that very simple filter based on thst simple reasoning..... I though if I was using what you would normally use in terms of filters fornthat, for example away teams winning % vs hone teams % I though the odds on the homes may be too high... so tried to think outside the box a little bit, but so far so good.. and that's just paper trading to exact Β£1 stakes, perhaps if compounding it may be higher at this point... but so far so good. Next I'll check the odds ranges to see if there is a sweetspot...
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@John-Malloy Sounds promising and quite interesting too! Are those the only filters you are using or is there more to it? Might follow along myself and see if there is anything that could be tweaked further. Cheers
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Good mornig guys,,,,,, I've been working on a few set and forgets, for a while now, and here are the results of one of them,,, its a draw no bet home lay,,, before I delve into the filters and reasons why I think they work, here's the numbers
matches 294
wins 109
draws 71
lossess 111
starting bank Β£100
current bank Β£124.35
so a 24% increase, so not so bad, ok so here's the theory behind my thinking, and why it may seem to be working, at least thus far,,,, ive chosen btts score home above 62% and btts above 62% away, and overall matches played more than 10, the reason for this is im thinking if they are both scoring then it should be competitive, so not necessarily that the away team will win, but give it a good go,, maybe draw,,, maybe even get beat,,, but with laying the home team, im hoping or thinking that they will be slightly under value, so when we do lose its not breaking the bank, but rather more or an acceptable blip, if we draw,, ok nothing lost, but the away win is winning us the full lay amount, its very very simple almost too simple but seems to be working,,, im next going to go through the odds rangers and see where this can be tightend up,,, a lot of very short odds on say under 1.5s usually win, so there may be a sweet spot with the odds range,,,, ill get on that at some stage, and get back with the data,,,, but so far,, well since Feb its going well,,,,
hope this is of use to someone:) -
@Thomas-Francis-Gill which LTD is that mate?
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LTD in set and forget is taking an absolute pummelling last two weeks.
Mentally difficult tk stay the course
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@dave-tancock need more data to do a full deep dive
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@Ged-Brown there was an issue with the shots stat so it meant selections didn't come through, it needs more testing really as it's no surprise that Brazil is low scoring, that said low scoring leagues were kind of why it worked originally.
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@Ged-Brown there was an issue with the shots stat so it meant selections didn't come through, it needs more testing really as it's no surprise that Brazil is low scoring, that said low scoring leagues were kind of why it worked originally.
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Looking back through the summer months it looks like Brazil has been the main culprit with the Lay Under 1.5. Brazil Serie B has been shocking this year for goals.
I know the strat hasn't had many picks especially last month, but seems to be getting a few more now, I think (hope) it will pick up as the winter leagues come back. Fingers crossed anyhow
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@dave-tancock Lay away was about +30 points last month so its not a complete disaster and there are always going to be fairly wild swings of variance with this kind of strategy - back-testing will give us the extra confidence (or not) when it arrives
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@dave-tancock yeah under 1.5 had 3 bad months so it's one I would put on hold
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It might just be me but lay away seems to be struggling this month (30 points down) and under 1.5 lays has been struggling for a few months now. Hopefully itβs just a bad run and will improve shortly though.
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Hi Martin on the set & forget Lay Away 1.0
Is it Lay the away team or Lay 1.0 away?
Let the bet RunRules: Lay the away team between odds 2.48-5.8
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@Andy-Donnelly yes will be good to test all of the individual filters like that!