Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@andy-donnelly said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Update on tracking the u3.5 with 85% for home and away previous matches:
March
16 trades
12 wins
75% SR
P/L £0.47 (to £10 stake)Overall for year so far
65 trades
51 wins
78% SR
P/L £34.40 (to £10 stake)Obviously still early days and needs more testing. An even month, but suffered a few very late goals that stopped it from being another profitable month
is this including saturday games andy? as i think you said you wont trade this day as teams seem to play better?
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@terry-heller said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@nick-allan This is a new spread sheet to follow these and includes all the saturday results from Martins S&F Sheet
looking a good idea matey, get good odds on O3.5 backs so lower SR is available as you get the value. You idea is simple but most good strats are, that how tom u1.5 lay strat started
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Update on tracking the u3.5 with 85% for home and away previous matches:
March
16 trades
12 wins
75% SR
P/L £0.47 (to £10 stake)Overall for year so far
65 trades
51 wins
78% SR
P/L £34.40 (to £10 stake)Obviously still early days and needs more testing. An even month, but suffered a few very late goals that stopped it from being another profitable month
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Odd question. Martins over 1.5 goals if the odds are 1.36, would you request odds within the odds parameters or ignore it? Just seems strange requesting worse odds. For reference it’s the one that was sent out in todays daily email.
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@nick-allan This is a new spread sheet to follow these and includes all the saturday results from Martins S&F Sheet
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@terry-heller so SR of 29% and above and you are laughing, so very very do-able. ill be checking in with you, but its a fab angle as the saturday picks did struggle
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@nick-allan There are just over 100 selections and at the moment the average odds are 3.45
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@terry-heller said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@nick-allan This Saturday there were 5 selections on the filter.
3 lost
2 winners at 4.5 and 3.05that nice whats the ave odds from all your test selections?
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@terry-heller said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@nick-allan That is the plan yes. I am just tracking at the moment
interesting, keep me posted buddy there are some cracking ideas coming out of the forum lately, i cant keep up, im gonna need a spreadsheet
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@nick-allan This Saturday there were 5 selections on the filter.
3 lost
2 winners at 4.5 and 3.05 -
@nick-allan That is the plan yes. I am just tracking at the moment
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@terry-heller ah so you are backing O3.5G on saturdays using the U3.5G selections?
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@nick-allan Thats basically it but Backing the overs is easier to get the same liability
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@terry-heller so you are laying u3.5 goals instead of backing?
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@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@nick-allan I’m gonna try the existing filter and just trade lay instead of back. See how it goes then tweak from there.
It works well on Saturdays doing that.
From the S&F spreadsheet and ones I have tracked since doing that is £265.62 in profit but it does have some very long losing runs -
@nick-allan ok mate will do. Will let you know at end of the month
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@dave-tancock keep me posted on the existing filter and ill keep you posted on the 85% filter im tracking
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@nick-allan I’m gonna try the existing filter and just trade lay instead of back. See how it goes then tweak from there.
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@dave-tancock said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
I know under 3.5 backs has struggled , has anyone tried changing to a lay strategy? A rough calculation, the last month I traded it would have been roughly 10 points better off.
yes started but dont have enough test selections to get a idea of success, needs more testing but ive upped my u3.5 backs to over 85% for both h vs A so i dont get as many selections as the previous filter
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I know under 3.5 backs has struggled , has anyone tried changing to a lay strategy? A rough calculation, the last month I traded it would have been roughly 10 points better off.