Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@chris-osborne That's what i thought , the Breda vs Jong Ajax match never made the trade as k/o odds were 1.13. The other two came in this evening plus a Tomaz u1.5 trade and a Martin lay elo.
Will keep trading these and paper trade some systems and see if there are any potentials. I need to do what everyone else is doing and paper trade until i know something is worth putting hard earned money on. Also i am going to interact more on here and i reckon i will be in a much better position in the next 6 months -
@james-everard Its set and forget if the odds aren't there move on
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@chris-osborne said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@james-everard said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
HI, i am looking to use these successful set and forgets whilst i paper trade my own systems ( taking Chris advice)Been doing Tomaz under 1.5 lay system this weekend which was good,
On Martin's back over 1.5 goal system , is this a back over 1.5 goals or lay under 1.5goals , also what odds are you looking to get in at. And elo rated lay the away side is this getting in at kick off or if they take the lead?the back O1.5 is to back between 1.25 and 1.35 - no reason why you couldn't lay unders
The ELO strategy is lay before KO
Good to know on Tamaz's strategyOn the back over 1.5 goal system the odds are below 1.25 at ko do you wait for it to get matched inplay or is it a no trade if for instance 1.17 at ko?
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@chris-osborne Thanks Chris. I have taken on board what you said the other day that i was trading too many systems. I will be doing these 3 set and forget systems to try to build my bank up and then paper trade some other systems that i think will work but may need the filters refining.
Thanks for the information -
@james-everard Hi James,
Martin's over 1.5 goals is to back the over 1.5 goals.Rules: Back Over 1.5 Goals at odds between 1.25-1.35
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@james-everard said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
HI, i am looking to use these successful set and forgets whilst i paper trade my own systems ( taking Chris advice)Been doing Tomaz under 1.5 lay system this weekend which was good,
On Martin's back over 1.5 goal system , is this a back over 1.5 goals or lay under 1.5goals , also what odds are you looking to get in at. And elo rated lay the away side is this getting in at kick off or if they take the lead?the back O1.5 is to back between 1.25 and 1.35 - no reason why you couldn't lay unders
The ELO strategy is lay before KO
Good to know on Tamaz's strategy -
HI, i am looking to use these successful set and forgets whilst i paper trade my own systems ( taking Chris advice)Been doing Tomaz under 1.5 lay system this weekend which was good,
On Martin's back over 1.5 goal system , is this a back over 1.5 goals or lay under 1.5goals , also what odds are you looking to get in at. And elo rated lay the away side is this getting in at kick off or if they take the lead? -
@conor-medlyn
It's because they are lay bets. You get back your stake. I got a little confused with that when I started. -
@terry-cooke said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Does anyone know how to see the BF SP for a particular market without waiting for the historical market data from BF?
with Fairbot there is a SP option which will display said value.
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@Terry-Heller Ahh yeah it makes sense now, thanks.
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@conor-medlyn If you lay £10 pounds on the under 1.5 market at odd of 3.25 your liability if you lose is 22.50 and your profit if you win is £9.80 ie your stake less the 2% commission.I hope that helps
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Hello guys. I am looking at Tomasz's lay under 1.5 goals results sheet and really confused about it. His profits are the exact same for every win. £9.80. Is there someone who is doing this strategy who could explain this to me please. I don't understand how its possible. Thanks.
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Does anyone know how to see the BF SP for a particular market without waiting for the historical market data from BF?
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@martin-walker said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
For first half goal i have 2 filters that i started a while back. One is 84.8% after 205 games, one is 77.2% after 325 games.
My old one is 73% SR with 5.8% ROI with I think it was 311 games. I have just added another piece of criteria to it to look for the average goal time to be between 15 - 30 mins. Got 4 games for tonight. 1 has come in, 1 has lost and 2 are yet to play
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@terry-heller no this was early days in the filter creation process so no goal times or odds.
It wont make a difference really though. The strike rate will come down at ten mins and the odds will go up
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@martin-walker Do you have a record of the strike rate if you enter the market at 10 minutes?
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For first half goal i have 2 filters that i started a while back. One is 84.8% after 205 games, one is 77.2% after 325 games.
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FHG is one id like to crack. I traded it for about a year profitably but covid destroyed it and i never got back into it for some reason
Huge value to be had in that market aswell
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I've been working on a couple lately but they're just breaking even and need more tinkering with, they are possibly too simplistic. I have also been tracking the BTTS strategy as a BTTS NO since last month and early on it looks interesting.
+4.74 units in February after 48 picks
+7.11 units in March so far after 18 picksObviously far too early yet to see if there is anything in this as I know it has been profitable as a Yes strategy some months and at one point in Feb is was down 7.1 units but will keep tracking for now.
Pretty sure someone else has said they were tracking this as well, but just thought I'd mention it.
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@john-malloy said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Is or has anyone been working on their own set and forgets, that could potentially be added to the list? if they passed Martins seal of approval of course,,
I started to test a FHG filter last year and started retesting again the other day. Solar its at 72% with only 69 selections so far. not put any money on it just looking at what would win and what wouldn't. I will eventually look at dripping stakes in to get better odds value.
