Set & Forget Football Strategies
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@nick-allan Dan’s LTD is just lay the draw at odds under 5.0
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@martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:
@james-ryan have you uploaded the new one?
also have you read this from the OP? If following make sure to stick to the rules of the strategy and read this: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/new-martins-revised-7-key-rules-trading-football
where are the rules of the startegy stipulated?
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@james-ryan have you uploaded the new one?
also have you read this from the OP? If following make sure to stick to the rules of the strategy and read this: https://betfairtradingcommunity.com/en/blog/new-martins-revised-7-key-rules-trading-football
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Hi, wondering if anyone can help me as I seem to be missing something? When I put Dans LTD filter in to the football stats software today I am getting 8+ selections with the draw price below 5s.
But on the results P+L tracker it has been narrowed down to only 1 selection today.
Was wondering what process is for narrowing the selections down and the reasoning?
Thanks
James -
@martin hi, are the strategy’s Below taking a break during the World Cup?
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@chris-osborne said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:
A lot of leagues are continuing throughout the World Cup other than the top leagues
Yes I'm surprised how many!
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A lot of leagues are continuing throughout the World Cup other than the top leagues
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@james-rome said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:
@nick-allan said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:
@james-rome finding it hard to determine what trades to take as it seems prematch stats need to go out the window, but im a prematch trader so its difficult to do that. Im paper trading a few stats at the moment, they are doing particluarly well........isnt that always the way
If in doubt paper trade ... could be varience this year will be very strange because of the world cup. the hard work will pay off
yeash i agree, im struggyling at the moment so think its right to paper trade and go back to basics, of course varinace plays a key and i cant see anything else being the issue apart form the WC which we havent had in winter before
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@nick-allan said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:
@james-rome finding it hard to determine what trades to take as it seems prematch stats need to go out the window, but im a prematch trader so its difficult to do that. Im paper trading a few stats at the moment, they are doing particluarly well........isnt that always the way
If in doubt paper trade ... could be varience this year will be very strange because of the world cup. the hard work will pay off
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@james-rome finding it hard to determine what trades to take as it seems prematch stats need to go out the window, but im a prematch trader so its difficult to do that. Im paper trading a few stats at the moment, they are doing particluarly well........isnt that always the way
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@nick-allan said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:
Jong PSV Eindhoven 0-1 Almere City, wow the stats on this pre match were so so strong, have no idea where the goals are at the mo. Its amaizng that ive stopped the scandanvian leagues due to weather conditions and the fact they are coming to an end and it seem they are flying in......emoji eye roll
i know i thought this was nailed on watched some of it looked both teams didnt look sharp
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Jong PSV Eindhoven 0-1 Almere City, wow the stats on this pre match were so so strong, have no idea where the goals are at the mo. Its amaizng that ive stopped the scandanvian leagues due to weather conditions and the fact they are coming to an end and it seem they are flying in......emoji eye roll
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Hi @Martin,
Do we have the filter for Dan's LTD so that I can add it to my saved filters.
I am looking to combine all the goals filters to see if I can establish any trends and I can't seem to find this one.
Thanks
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@joe-beeston said in Set & Forget Football Strategies - Community Collaboration Project:
Hi all,
My stakes at the minute are £25.
So when I lay, the liability is more like £100 on the Lay under 1.5.
However on the back strats that I do, I still only stake £25. Meaning that on my under 3.5 and over 2.5, I am winning back less than the £25 for winners.
Should I be matching the same risk as my Lay under 1.5. So on my backs, do I stake higher to win £25 if it comes in? Is it just about risk appitite?
Thanks
Presuming you want to keep your trades/risk even on both backs and lays, your lay trade should be to a "Liability" of £25 ! Meaning that your maximum risk whether backing or laying is £25. Your lay stake (and amount you'd win) then depends on the price
Using £100 as an example ....BACK at 1.5 = £100 stake (£100 risk). Back at 3 = £100 stake (£100 risk)
LAY at 1.5 = £200 stake (£100 risk) LAY at 3 = £50 stake (£100 risk) -
@fraser-cord Id say whatever you decide then just do the same thing and stick to it.....it should even itself out longer term! If you start trying to be too cute about it then you can end up kicking yourself for making the wrong call, however, if you follow the process then its easier to take a loss
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Cheers @Lee-woodman . Yeh I'm not checking all day, just comparing whats come up on the filter to what Martin actually went for when I came home tonight. Noticed the Denmark game met the criteria so wondered whether it's worth getting on as the odds were lower this morning so excluded.
Been burned a few times recently so trying to scale back my selections each day. Turned out to be a dud so clearly leaving was the correct call.
