Set & Forget Football Strategies
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The Amazonas and Brusque ones shouldn’t have been traded. And I’m saying that because I also got burnt on those too. They are playing a weird mini league thing in Brazil Serie C at the moment. I knew this before kick off but traded anyway which was stupid on my part but definitely a lesson to take heed of moving forward. Don’t go for any “playoff” type games. Filter should remove most of these selections but some slip through due to the format of the playoffs I guess
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@Arran-Shackell Betdaq only goes to National league. No North or South.
Losers
LAY 1. FK Pribram
LAY Fc Fredericia
LAY Atlas FC
LAY Vasa IFK
LAY Bradford
LAY Aguilas Doradas Rionegro
LAY Amazonas FC AM
LAY Brusque FC SC
LAY Trelleborgs FF
LAY Fotbal Club FCSB
LAY Barcelona SC -
Lay away did well for me this weekend - i stripped out any selections with bad form, away team was the favourite, not enough games and anything else i didn’t like (like league position).
Edit: the heap of lower league england games that showed up in the filters on saturday afternoon. I only went ahead with two of them (will check which two later) were these the cause for most of the damage?
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I'm up 2.6 units from these that were dated 22/9 + by Betdaq.
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@Andy-Donnelly said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@Gavin-Rumsey
Yeh if anyone is blindly trading all selections that come up, I’d definitely advise not to do that on this strategy particularly at this point in the season as a lot of selections have played very few games.
In my experience, just by looking at league table positions, recent form and odds you can easily cut out some selections particularly those that have home team less than 2.25 pts
God I hope no one blindly trades anything! These aren't tips.
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I'm not sure. Maybe it's just the pure fact that I'm new here (but I've been trying what i term 'lab work' in betfair for 20 years') I can stay a course. I'm just a little wary when I have a down turn as I've had my soul crushed so many times in strategy work.
Scars of the past
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@Alex-Rendell Ahh, ok. Ive just compared the filters and Ive made adjustments to mine.
Home points per game >= 2.25
Betfair away odds >< 2.48 and 5.8I wouldnt have come up with these myself I think I just followed a conversation discussing this strategy then looked at the spreadsheet to confirm what was being said. And I dont back an away fav, thats just my rule
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@Gavin-Rumsey
Yeh if anyone is blindly trading all selections that come up, I’d definitely advise not to do that on this strategy particularly at this point in the season as a lot of selections have played very few games.
In my experience, just by looking at league table positions, recent form and odds you can easily cut out some selections particularly those that have home team less than 2.25 pts
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Not a great weekend indeed but it started ok which helped keep losses down a tad
There was a lot of English lower league selections and many with the bare minimum played to show up.
Once there is more data some league filtering might cut out the lower leagues (not that I'm sure they are down overall).
Hopefully things settle as more games are played and form is picked up with a bit more certaintity behind it
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@Tony-Hastie around 50% must’ve lost on Saturday alone..? Still well up over the last few months though
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Lay away has won 15 out of the last 17 for me. I didnt take one last night because away team was favourite but thats the best run its had since I started doing it...
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@Thomas-Francis-Gill it’s had another rough weekend but it can recover this surprisingly quickly! Keep the faith or reduce your stakes if it’s causing you stress.
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@Thomas-Francis-Gill not sure if this is the same one I follow as I missed yesterday due to family birthdays but it's been doing fine for me, that said I'm still testing and want a year of data before looking at leagues etc.
I think it sounds like you should not be doing it as you don't have confidence in it, am I right about that?
Would you like help with anything?
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Must say Lay away is haemorrhaging money now
The mental aspect of it is so difficult. I meSm if the selections are on point then there shouldn't be any problem in the long term I suppose
Set and forget is so attractive but it may be time to go back to the trading LTD for a while
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@Thomas-Francis-Gill cheers I'll keep avoiding international breaks then!
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@Alex-Rendell Absolutely mate!
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@Martin Took a huge hit over thsat period. Easily the worst
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@John-Malloy Hi mate was looking at your filter and am having a little dabble myself and was wondering have you tracked what percentage of games actually finish with both teams scoring?
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@Martin is there a BFBM file??
I've skimmed through and didn't see one, or did i miss it?
