Set & Forget Football Strategies
-
@terry-heller said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@martin-walker said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Mines gone through a few tweaks so far and the current version is 250 games 83.5% fhg from kick off. Now i need another 100 games with the odds tracked and to see if the strike rate holds up to some tweaking and league removal.
Are you recording the goal times by any chance?
This could easily be done retrospectively if needed.
-
@martin-walker said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Mines gone through a few tweaks so far and the current version is 250 games 83.5% fhg from kick off. Now i need another 100 games with the odds tracked and to see if the strike rate holds up to some tweaking and league removal.
That's an impressive SR. Mine is 65% SR at the moment but not profitable, so far -14.19% ROI. Only started it again on the 08/03 and have had 144 selections but so far only have results for 86 as I have to wait for the data to become available on the historical BF data site.
-
@terry-heller no i didnt bother. I had to make it as simple as possible so fhg yes or no. I start very wide when creating filters so end up with hundreds of games to track at first.
Im also going to enter before kick off so it didnt matter to what i was trying to achieve
-
@martin-walker said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Mines gone through a few tweaks so far and the current version is 250 games 83.5% fhg from kick off. Now i need another 100 games with the odds tracked and to see if the strike rate holds up to some tweaking and league removal.
Are you recording the goal times by any chance?
-
Mines gone through a few tweaks so far and the current version is 250 games 83.5% fhg from kick off. Now i need another 100 games with the odds tracked and to see if the strike rate holds up to some tweaking and league removal.
-
@craig-vaulks said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Is it just me or are there alot of people testing FHG strategies?
I am also in the process of testing one. We should maybe start a thread to compare notes. I currently have FT score 0-0 set in my filter to odds under 11 which gives me odds around 1.5/6 for a goal. Which I think is on the higher end.Mine is based on o0.5 in the first half for home and away, both to qualify have to have scored atleast 4 out of 5 games where there has been a FHG. Ive also added average goal time between 15 and 30 mins
-
Is it just me or are there alot of people testing FHG strategies?
I am also in the process of testing one. We should maybe start a thread to compare notes. I currently have FT score 0-0 set in my filter to odds under 11 which gives me odds around 1.5/6 for a goal. Which I think is on the higher end. -
@martin-walker said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
Anyone know a rough average odds for fhg. Working on a set and forget and i havnt traded that market in a few years
Im working on a o0.5 FHG at the min and I get the data from Historical bet fair data and upload it to oddsvisualiser and get the data for my matches. I look have my strategy set up to look at games that have min odds of 1.3, but out of the 81 games I have had so far the average odds at KO are about 1.45 if that helps
-
Anyone know a rough average odds for fhg. Working on a set and forget and i havnt traded that market in a few years
-
@martin said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@jono said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
I am fairly new here, and am still reading through everything before posting much (was always told I have 2 eyes, 2 ears but only one mouth and to use them in that ratio etc).
However, I know we don't focus on the day to day performance of the strategies, but just wanted to say Tomasz u1.5 is over 9 points up for March at present.
I just think this is something worth celebrating,. These set and forget strategies could be genuinely life changing for a lot of people.
You will see after a while that when it's quiet that means things are going well
I notice I will get a lot of comments on here on a bad day but hardly ever any on a good one!
I always joke that people bemoan losses but don't celebrate the wins but there is a lot of truth to that.
So thanks for this! It's great to hear about the good days.
Fear of jinxing it!
-
@jono said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
I am fairly new here, and am still reading through everything before posting much (was always told I have 2 eyes, 2 ears but only one mouth and to use them in that ratio etc).
However, I know we don't focus on the day to day performance of the strategies, but just wanted to say Tomasz u1.5 is over 9 points up for March at present.
I just think this is something worth celebrating,. These set and forget strategies could be genuinely life changing for a lot of people.
You will see after a while that when it's quiet that means things are going well
I notice I will get a lot of comments on here on a bad day but hardly ever any on a good one!
I always joke that people bemoan losses but don't celebrate the wins but there is a lot of truth to that.
So thanks for this! It's great to hear about the good days.
-
I am fairly new here, and am still reading through everything before posting much (was always told I have 2 eyes, 2 ears but only one mouth and to use them in that ratio etc).
However, I know we don't focus on the day to day performance of the strategies, but just wanted to say Tomasz u1.5 is over 9 points up for March at present.
I just think this is something worth celebrating,. These set and forget strategies could be genuinely life changing for a lot of people.
-
Does anyone have a list of the selections from the Under 3.5 Backs strategy that is being tested for the following dates so that I can update my spreadsheet?
18th Feb
25th Feb
4th March
11th MarchThanks in advance
-
@james-everard stick to the filter selections
-
@james-everard said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@chris-osborne HI Chris , thought that is the case but i was wanting to know do you only trade if there is a difference for instance 100 points between the sides or just pick the matches on the filter regardless?
Lay the away team on the filter - its set and forget we're not trading
-
@chris-osborne HI Chris , thought that is the case but i was wanting to know do you only trade if there is a difference for instance 100 points between the sides or just pick the matches on the filter regardless?
-
@james-everard said in Set & Forget Football Strategies:
@martin Hi Martin can you confirm please on the ELO lay is this done at kick off and is has they elo ratings got to be 100 plus difference between the sides?
James there set and forgets you place them when your able to
-
Regarding the U3.5 Backs strategy that is under review
It was suggested that on Saturdays only it would have potential to make profits by Laying to a liability of the same stake that you would have backed with for the rest of the week.
Today was another proof of that concept.
Four selections from the filter with one still to be played and using the same stake as on the spreadsheet we would be +£88.
Assuming that the last game ends as an unders win then +£78.....though it could be another win for a bumper day of +£121 -
I split mine over the 4 exchanges. If I think It's a sure winning bet and there's not enough money in the exchanges, I've also, considered 365 or one of the other guaranteed odds sites too, as I've got funds there as well. I'm only talking about the set and forget though.
