Fortune Favours the Bold
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Sassuolo vs Juventus was 2/2. Still only paper trading but it seems to be going ok.
Nothing today
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@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Today's O1.5/SHG
- Newcastle Jets vs CCM
- Schalke vs Werder Bremen
- Freiburg vs M'gladbach
- Man City vs Watford
- Zurich vs Sion
- Bayern Munich vs Dortmund
- Benfica vs Famalicao
I will be paper trading all of these, except Man City as I know the current state of that league. I've been burnt by end of season scores so being cautious for now.
6/7 SHG
6/7 O1.53 of the above wouldn't have hit 4.0 or under which included Man City so no trading for me.
Today's SHG/ O1.5
- Sassuolo vs Juventus
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This post is deleted!
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Today's O1.5/SHG
- Newcastle Jets vs CCM
- Schalke vs Werder Bremen
- Freiburg vs M'gladbach
- Man City vs Watford
- Zurich vs Sion
- Bayern Munich vs Dortmund
- Benfica vs Famalicao
I will be paper trading all of these, except Man City as I know the current state of that league. I've been burnt by end of season scores so being cautious for now.
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Todays o1.5/SHG
- Ath Madrid vs Granada
- Pogon vs Rakow
- Man City vs the seaweed
I forgot to update this.
2/3 SHG
2/3 O1.5
Ath Madrid game let the side down with a 0-0. Luckily I only paper traded that one. -
@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Today’s SHG/ O1.5
- Western United vs Macarthur
- Liverpool vs Man Utd
- Villarreal vs Valencia
Only 3 trades got matched and 2/3 won. -2pts
I had said I would paper trade so only really have myself to blame. I think I’ll saw an actual trading for when I’m watching the football.Todays o1.5/SHG
- Ath Madrid vs Granada
- Pogon vs Rakow
- Man City vs the seaweed
I would trade the Man City game. I also see, it’s not on my filter but Newcastle vs Crystal Palace is 3.35 to lay u1.5 already. Could be value there if it dropped below 3.0 quite early?
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Today’s SHG/ O1.5
- Western United vs Macarthur
- Liverpool vs Man Utd
- Villarreal vs Valencia
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@chris-osborne I think both teams were trying not to lose which was why it was a bit of a flat game.
I’m surprised about the empty seats because we sold out our end. I know Chelsea handed seats back because originally our allocation was 33k but we ended up selling 38k. I can only assume it was due to the issues with trains.
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@dan-mackinnon Unlucky yesterday but as you say Chelsea we're the better team albeit in an incredibly poor game.
You did have your chances still dont know how Anderrson didnt score with the free header at the back post.
One thing I was surprised about was the volume of empty seats in both ends
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Nothing today, which is good because I am a physical wreck!
I joked to my sister on the way back that it's probably a good thing we didn't win yesterday as I don't think my body can take doing it all over again for the final.
Fair play, Chelsea were the better team and I think the second half showed it was an inevitability. I'm slightly disappointed that we didn't score because it would have been great to celebrate a goal at Wembley. As for the Palace fans, we knew it was going to be a party. I was behind the goal and it was non-stop noise from our end, whereas I didn't hear the Chelsea fans at all apart from when they scored. The loudest Chelsea got was after the game when they were calling out Palace fans from the safety of the upper tiers, even the stewards joined in! Quite funny for irony purposes alone to see a steward give full verbal abuse to a Palace fan from the upper tier to turn away and have "here to help" on the back of his shirt.
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Todays o1.5/SHG
- Cagliari vs Sassuolo
- Tottenham vs the seaweed
- Sandhausen vs St Pauli
- Sampdoria vs Salernitana
- Toulouse vs Q Rouen
- Dortmund vs Wolfsburg
- Watford vs Brentford
- Zurich vs Young Boys
- M’gladbach vs Koln
- Hamburger vs Karlsruher
SHG - 7/10
O1.5 - 8/10Paper traded so I'll just add it to the data pile.
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@dan-mackinnon trust my home team to let you down
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Taking Martin’s advice on board about end of season variance, plus I’m about to start doing some DIY to the house, I’m going to paper trade these for a while. As I’m still relatively new to this strategy going live I don’t want to risk anything. Plus, as stated on the podcast numerous times, “if you want this to be your job, treat it like your job”. I wouldn’t try and do my work whilst ripping wallpaper off the wall or having a few beers at Wembley (although if anyone is willing to pay for me the last one then I might change my mind).
Shame that yesterday was a bit of a kick in the plums, but overall still up for the month. It’s a marathon not a sprint.
Todays o1.5/SHG
- Cagliari vs Sassuolo
- Tottenham vs the seaweed
- Sandhausen vs St Pauli
- Sampdoria vs Salernitana
- Toulouse vs Q Rouen
- Dortmund vs Wolfsburg
- Watford vs Brentford
- Zurich vs Young Boys
- M’gladbach vs Koln
- Hamburger vs Karlsruher
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@gary-finnigan-0 yeah
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@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Today’s SHG
- Stoke vs Bristol City
- Portsmouth vs Lincoln
- Accrington vs Burton
Did you also do 01.5 goals on same games?
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@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Today’s SHG
- Stoke vs Bristol City
- Portsmouth vs Lincoln
- Accrington vs Burton
Well this has not been a good day.
1/2 SHG
1/3 O1.5
-14ptsI know my staking is quite aggressive but I had a similar situation last month and managed to bounce back. I’m busy this weekend so it’ll have to be up to the o1.5 set and forget to try and turn things around
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@chris-osborne to be honest I do usually just walk away. It’s just that FlashScore sends notifications before Betfair closes the market. I usually log on to see if it’s been matched and roughly what odds. That’s when I’ve noticed I’ve got close.
I’m not that fussed it was just more thinking out loud in fairness.
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@dan-mackinnon Alternatively dont watch the odds movement, once placed walk away
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@dan-mackinnon You could try looking at the queued money on the BF chart thingy see if that gives you an idea
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Once again, Lincoln goal came just slightly too early!
I wonder whether to queue at 4.1 because 4.0 is one of the major price changes and for the lay to get matched it’ll have to break through 4.0?
