Fortune Favours the Bold
-
Another 3/3 which takes the bank up to £40. So managed to double the bank in just under a month which isn't bad considering we lost a week's worth of races to the weather. At this stage if anyone is following along you could withdraw your initial £20 and know that from here on out it's "risk-free" trading.
But, as this is just a bit of fun, we shall proceed! Liability now up to £13
Quite a few today but some of the odds are shocking.
27/01/2023 14:40 Doncaster Calico - Layed to win £1
27/01/2023 14:30 Huntingdon Merry Mistress - Layed to win £0.50
27/01/2023 15:00 Huntingdon Found On - Layed to win £1
27/01/2023 15:35 Huntingdon Get A Tonic - Layed to win £1 -
3/3 yesterday so the bank goes up to £36 and can increase liability to £12. Got a bit lucky with Midnight Moss as it steamed in and became favourite.
Today's trades
26/01/2023 12:50 Wetherby Return Fire - Layed to win £2
26/01/2023 16:15 Wetherby Jet Legs - Layed to win £1.50
26/01/2023 16:15 Wetherby Rockmann - Layed to win £0.50 -
Finally back underway, but there are still some meetings getting abandoned. I'm sure this is one of the reasons why the cold months have a lower return than the summer.
2 winners yesterday brings the bank up to £30.
Today's trades
25/01/2023 13:45 Catterick Midnight Moss - layed to win £2
25/01/2023 14:45 Catterick McGarry - layed to win £2
25/01/2023 16:15 Catterick Misty Mani - layed to win £2 -
Finally some racing!
24/01/2023 13:15 Down Royal Caldwell Diamond - layed to win 50p
24/01/2023 13:50 Down Royal Trishknowsbest layed to win £2 -
Win yesterday so we're up to £27.50.
Nothing today due to it being freezing cold!
-
Another couple of wins. £26
Today's trades
17/01/2023 12:50 Clonmel Chautuaqua layed to win £1.50 -
Back to winning ways and bank is up to £23.
In my actual trading I realised an error with one of the conditions in my bot which caught a couple of losing trades that it shouldn't. A bit annoying but better to make mistakes early and catch them.
Today's trades
16/01/2023 15:20 Punchestown Mahler Appeal layed to win £1
16/01/2023 15:50 Punchestown Whispering Pines a bit risky as it's 2nd fav but the fav is odds on. Layed to win £2 -
We've dodged them before but got hit twice by some losers. Annoyingly the two losers had the highest odds! Good thing we didn't stake and have been using fixed liability. Unfortunately, it does mean the last 2 weeks' efforts have been erased and we're back to square 1 with £20 bank. I'm going to stick with £11 liability though, however, if this was my "real" trading then I'll probably use this opportunity to start again with £7.
15/01/2023 14:00 Kelso Ebendi queue at 15.0 for 50p
15/01/2023 14:30 Kelso Wor Verge queue at 15.0 for 50p
15/01/2023 15:00 Kelso First Account layed to win £2 -
2 wins yesterday so takes the bank up to £35. I'll bump up to liability to £11 now. A few today
Galudon - layed to win £2
Saint Calvados - layed to win £1.50
West Balboa - layed to win £0.50
Dubrovnik Harry - layed to win £1
Camp Belan - layed to win £1.50
Chosen Hero - layed to win £0.50 -
A win yesterday brings the bank up to £32 so almost ready to bump the liability up again and nearly 1/3rd of the way to our goal!
A few today
Looking through the above the only realistic one is 15.30 Huntingdon, so I've layed both of them, £2 on Dan's Chosen and £1 on T'Araison
-
Two have come up today, both at Catterick
12.30 - No But I Will
13.40 - MixedwaveMixedwave is currently the favourite and the top 3 all have very similar odds. I'll probably leave that one.
No But I will is 3rd in a 4 horse race. I know yesterday I said about not trading them, however, the top 2 seem quite far ahead of the others. I've layed that to win £1
-
This is how yesterday went...
Doncaster 12.15 - Win
Doncaster 12.45 - Didn't trade it on Betdaq because it was around 24, but put it in my bot and the price much have steamed in and the horse went on to win. So luckily avoided the loser on Betdaq but caught it on my Betfair one
Exeter 13.00 - Win
Doncaster 13.15 - Horse was favourite so avoided and missed on bot
Exeter 13.35 - Horse won, but I avoided it as there were only 4 horses. The price all seemed relatively close so thought it could easily slip into favourite. I might run through the software and see number of runners
Doncaster 13.50 - Win
New Bank: £31
Liability: £10 -
Quite a few today, so statistically speaking there will likely be a loser. However, as this is a bit of fun I'm going to stick with 33%
-
Nothing today but 3 wins yesterday. So the bank is now up to £28 and liability will be £9. Alternatively, could drop the liability back down to £7 and base it off 25% of the bank. That means when the inevitable loss comes you won't be minus on your initial bank.
Slow and steady. 1 week in and we've managed to increase the bank by 40% and the staking by 30%.
-
2 wins yesterday so the bank is now up to £26 so hopefully with a good day today we can up liability to £9
Am I Wrong - I'll wait and see if this comes down to 17 and hits Betdaq's min. trade of 50p
Buckhorn George - Layed at 9 for £1 profit
Estacas - Layed at 16 for 53p profit -
Just Over Land was a winner yesterday but the odds drifted out so not interested at this early stage.
As for today, there's 2 of interest.
13.58 Newcastle - Houston Texas - layed at 9 for £1 profit
15.50 Wincanton - Paseo - layed at 9 for £1 profit -
Yesterday can be put into the "very good" category, mostly thanks to Bobby Bow having low odds. From the 2 trades £2 profit (9.5pts), bringing the new bank up to £24 and liability can go up to £8.
Only 1 today and hoping it'll drop down to 15
13.00 Ludlow - Just Over Land
-
After getting truly disappointed with the football, back to the horses.
We have some selections today! I will double check later this morning to see if anything changes, but there are so few races on I doubt it.
Current Bank: £21
Current Liability: £7
-
@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Just the 2 today. Same rules apply as normal, don't trade if they're in the top 2 or take a judgement call. As nothing really happened yesterday it's still £20 bank and £7 fixed liability
1 winner and the other was outside the odds range. The new bank is £21 so sticking with £7 liability. I won't be messing about with pennies as anyone following along will likely be getting slightly different odds and I only want to increase liability at certain amounts.
£1 profit from 2 days (or 5%), if we keep this up it'll take 160 days to reach our goal. But we're looking to use the magic of compounding so hopefully it'll be a bit quicker!
Nothing today though
-
Just the 2 today. Same rules apply as normal, don't trade if they're in the top 2 or take a judgement call. As nothing really happened yesterday it's still £20 bank and £7 fixed liability