Fortune Favours the Bold
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@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Today’s O1.5
- Kongsvinger vs Mjondalen
- Sporting C vs Alianza L
1/2 -4pts. Ended the month with a losing day and 2nd 0-0 of the weekend
Today's O1.5
- Breidablik vs Akranes
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@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Todays O1.5
- Ulsan vs Gangwon
- Eskilstuna vs Dalkurd
- Tromso vs Sandefjord
- Inter Miami vs Cincinnati
- San Jose vs Salt Lake
3/4 didn’t get matched on Tromso. Scratch day
Today’s O1.5
- Kongsvinger vs Mjondalen
- Sporting C vs Alianza L
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Todays O1.5
- Ulsan vs Gangwon
- Eskilstuna vs Dalkurd
- Tromso vs Sandefjord
- Inter Miami vs Cincinnati
- San Jose vs Salt Lake
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@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Today's O1.5
- Sandefjord vs Kristiansund
- Grindavik vs Thor
- Kopavogur vs Grotta
- Vestri vs Throttur
- Cienciano vs Binacional
Test filter. Lay to win 1pt
- Kuala Lumpur vs Kedah
- Fredrikstad vs Raufoss
Only 2 got matched from the main filter and 1 from the test. 3/3 +5pts
Nothing today
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@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Today's O1.5
- Oster vs AFC Eskilstuna
- Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atl.
1/1. Not sure what happened in the Peru game but I think it got abandoned? +2pts
Busy one today
Today's O1.5
- Sandefjord vs Kristiansund
- Grindavik vs Thor
- Kopavogur vs Grotta
- Vestri vs Throttur
- Cienciano vs Binacional
Test filter. Lay to win 1pt
- Kuala Lumpur vs Kedah
- Fredrikstad vs Raufoss
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@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Nothing for today, but going with the test filter. I had a bet on the UFC on Saturday and using that as my mini-bank to change the staking for this. I feel pretty confident, however want to be slow and steady. I've changed the staking to win 1pt
- Sandnes vs Asane
- Trelleborg vs Skovde
No chance of Sandnes getting matched. The other was a winner so +1pt
Today's O1.5
- Oster vs AFC Eskilstuna
- Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atl.
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Nothing for today, but going with the test filter. I had a bet on the UFC on Saturday and using that as my mini-bank to change the staking for this. I feel pretty confident, however want to be slow and steady. I've changed the staking to win 1pt
- Sandnes vs Asane
- Trelleborg vs Skovde
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@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Today's O1.5/SHG
- Vestri vs Grotta
- Bodo/Glimt vs Jerv
I've also been testing another O1.5 filter and will start live trading them on min. stakes going for 1.34
- Brattvag vs Baerum
- Jaro vs Mikkeli
- Brage vs Halmstad
- PK-35 vs Ekenas
- Bodo/Glimt vs Jerv
- Eidsvold vs Alta
- Rosenborg vs Tromso
- Sport Boys vs San Martin
- Coquimbo vs La Serena
It seemed like a "Midas Weekend", everything was a winner! Didn't get matched on the top 2 but did on 8 of the test ones.
I forgot to post yesterday but had
- Brommapojkarna vs Norrby
- Stromsgodset vs Ham-Kam
2/2 +4pts
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@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Today/ Tomorrow's O1.5
- Gindavik vs Afturelding
- Hougang vs Geylang
Didn't get matched on the first but won the second +2pts
Today's O1.5/SHG
- Vestri vs Grotta
- Bodo/Glimt vs Jerv
I've also been testing another O1.5 filter and will start live trading them on min. stakes going for 1.34
- Brattvag vs Baerum
- Jaro vs Mikkeli
- Brage vs Halmstad
- PK-35 vs Ekenas
- Bodo/Glimt vs Jerv
- Eidsvold vs Alta
- Rosenborg vs Tromso
- Sport Boys vs San Martin
- Coquimbo vs La Serena
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Today/ Tomorrow's O1.5
- Gindavik vs Afturelding
- Hougang vs Geylang
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@dan-mackinnon what's the total p&l this month? good work!
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@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Tomorrow's O1.5
- Ekenas vs JaPS
- Vestri vs Afturelding
- Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur
Back from my European adventure and see all 3 won. 3/3 +6pts
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Nothing got matched yesterday. I'm off to Paris this weekend to see Pearl Jam!
Tomorrow's O1.5
- Ekenas vs JaPS
- Vestri vs Afturelding
- Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur
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@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Tomorrow’s O1.5
- Austin vs Houston
- Hougang vs Tampines
1/1 - The Singapore game had no chance of getting matched. +2pts
Today's O1.5
- Kopavogur vs Reykjavik
- Grotta vs Selfoss
Again, these will be set and forget as I'm out this evening.
The second part of my goal was to try and get fitter through martial arts and I've recently joined a MMA club. Any preconceived ideas I had of my fitness are quickly stripped away just on the walking to the venue in this heat!
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Tomorrow’s O1.5
- Austin vs Houston
- Hougang vs Tampines
I’ve queued them up now, turned off notifications and will wait and see
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@andy-donnelly I appreciate you saying that. I won't be scrapping the SHG element it's just a temporary solution. I've mentioned here before that I tend to "get inside my own head" at times and it causes me issues. Before I would have to just walk away, whereas now I like to find parts I can ease off on whilst still (hopefully) being profitable.
When reviewing my data the SHG was 83% SR vs 80% for O1.5. However, I only get matched on roughly 2 out 3 SHG vs O1.5
Once John, Martin, et al discover the supreme horse racing strategy I'll invest in a bot and then won't have to worry about manually trading SHG
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@dan-mackinnon Ever since you took a look at my data (thanks again for that) and I analysed it further I decided to switch tact on my SHG strategy and essentially ignore IPS. It goes a little against my initial theory but the stats backed up this approach. So far (albeit from a small sample size of 36 matches) the SR is in line with the previous 1000+ results and up a healthy profit.
May be worth looking at your stats and seeing if ignoring IPS would have worked for you.
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@dan-mackinnon said in Fortune Favours the Bold:
Today's SHG/O1.5
- Valur vs Keflavik
2/2 - I wanted to trust my data and not overthink it despite the red card. +4pts
I have noticed one potential error that I seem to remember Richard talking about. When actively trading a SHG I probably get more "involved" reviewing IPS, etc. Therefore, I might just focus on the O1.5 part for a while.
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Today's SHG/O1.5
- Valur vs Keflavik
