Question
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This is a curiousity question really. I had two matches on my list this week or last week
Man City Leeds
AC Milan Torino
In both cases draw odds were around 6 or 7. Now I didn't do either match because the odds were high, even though I knew from the stats I have that both Milan and City would win, which they did
So my question is this, "when the LTD are that high, is it worth doing LTD, knowing that potentially there could be an early cash out with the fave scoring first"
City scored 2 or 3 times in the first 10 Minutes. Milan score in about 20 I think from memory
Thanks In Advance
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@dave-hayes @darri has probably forgotten more than I’ll ever know about trading his blog is essential reading I’ve learnt a lot from it and I’m not the only one
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@Chris-Osborne thanks for sharing the link, I'll take a look, it was just for education really I was asking, I'm trying to avoid making obvious errors and @Darris advice on value, has been used to good effect for me in my last two LTD matches.
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@Darri Yes I've taken on board all you were saying, it was just a curiousity question really given the circumstances described, I didn't trade either game and based on what you said about value, I look for it, but, as I am still learning wanted to know if others might have
Its not something I am looking to do, I still like LTD and am using the advice you have given amongst others.
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It all boils down to what i said exatly in the other thread, VALUE. What is your upside here, youll only profit if the fav scores. So in the first half you planned to exit. Your only winning result is the fav scoring. Youll be in a perilous position at those odds with a dog scoring or no goals. So my advice to you here is if you need the fav to score with these size of odds better to be backing them than LTD.
Its all about your upside and downside. Maria staking for me although good for high lay odds, still revolves around value. The whole point of that system is to know that even at those high odds the odds infact are still value. But in my opinion if you are ltd id be very much against ever laying above 5 especially if you plan to trade out. Its why i really dont like the logic with that strategy you were following before. More profit to be had with a better entry, the entry in every trade is the most important. 6/7s to me just result in you needing one outcome or a dog to remain in lead for far too much exposure time. Stick to finding what is and is not value pre match and then work around trading within that range. Taking value is the aim of the game not a teams rep or our own opinion. Its the safety net to all trading.
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No it’s not a btc exclusive strategy. You should be able to Google it.
There are posts somewhere in here no idea where again worth sesrching
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@Chris-Osborne Very helpful. Is the Maria staking system part of BTC and if so where can I find it please.
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@dave-hayes have a look at the “Maria” staking system which reduces your liability. You can apply your own ranges depending on attitude to risk but goes something like this
Lay price up to 3.5 100% stake
Lay price between 3.51 to 6.6 lay 60% of stake
Lay price above 6.6 lay 40% of stakeAny more knowledgeable traders than me will probably have more to add but it’s an area I’m thinking about with one of my strategies