Journey to semi pro
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@martin-walker I was feeling that myself recently but a couple of adjustments made have put it right back on the radar. Don't give up.
I know you don't like to look at individual scorelines too intricately but I truly believe that is the key.
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@matt-wood me too, gonna pause it for a while
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@martin-walker Norway has been great for me up until the last week or so.
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@matt-wood i thought about it this morning and didnt make the call early enough
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@martin-walker I have just done the same. Probably be a winner now
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Im cancelling the next norway game off todays list
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0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Germany Bundesliga 30/10/2021 14:30:00 Dortmund FC Koln
Germany Bundesliga 30/10/2021 14:30:00 SC Freiburg Greuther Furth
Germany Bundesliga 30/10/2021 14:30:00 Bayer Leverkusen Wolfsburg
Norway Eliteserien 30/10/2021 15:00:00 Kristiansund Tromso
Netherlands Eredivisie 30/10/2021 15:30:00 PSV Twente
Italy Serie A 30/10/2021 17:00:00 Verona Juventus
Norway Eliteserien 30/10/2021 17:00:00 Rosenborg Lillestrom
Italy Serie A 30/10/2021 19:45:00 Torino Sampdoria
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 30/10/2021 19:45:00 St. Truiden Club Brugge KV -
Thanks, i was unsure wether constant profitable months was unrealistic or not.
30 days feels like a lot of time and work for no gain so its hard to tell when to start worrying and change things. -
@martin-walker there are many people who would love a break even month! esp with all those winning months on top
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Coming to the end of the month and im around break even, poor month for the filter/strategy.
Im trying to think longer term as its smashed profits for so long now but i have a question for the full timers/pros.How often do you have months that lose or dont produce the profit youd expect?
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0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Norway Obos-ligaen 29/10/2021 14:00:00 K. Oslo Aalesund
Norway Obos-ligaen 29/10/2021 17:00:00 Start Strommen
Denmark 1st Division 29/10/2021 18:00:00 Lyngby Helsingor -
@martin-walker breaks my heart seeing parma in Serie B - used to love managing them on FM
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0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Norway Eliteserien 28/10/2021 17:00:00 Brann Viking
Italy Serie B 28/10/2021 19:30:00 Cittadella Parma -
Late posting todays games been working away. 2 currently in play
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0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Norway Eliteserien 27/10/2021 17:00:00 Haugesund Rosenborg
Norway Eliteserien 27/10/2021 17:00:00 Lillestrom Stabaek
Norway Eliteserien 27/10/2021 19:00:00 Molde Bodo/Glimt
Italy Serie A 27/10/2021 19:45:00 Lazio Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 27/10/2021 19:45:00 Cagliari AS Roma
Italy Serie A 27/10/2021 19:45:00 Empoli Inter -
@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
@richard-latimer no i havnt delved that deep into each scoreline. Ive purposefully tried to keep the variables to a minimum
I found it made a huge difference when I did so may be worth looking into at some point. I know people say not to change stuff too quickly but when you're looking at odds of say 5-6 to lay then 3 losses may not seem a lot but it's a big enough sample in what you have to make back to break even.
Overcomplicating for the sake of it is pointless but when you can see a clear line on what has and hasn't been profitable why would you keep ploughing on just to keep things simple?
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@matt-wood i started out including all odds and have slowly increased my minimum. It went any, 1.2, 1.22 and now 1.23 and to be honest its a bit of data and a bit of an experiment each time
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@richard-latimer no i havnt delved that deep into each scoreline. Ive purposefully tried to keep the variables to a minimum
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@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
Min odds increased from 1.22 to 1.23
Quick question. Have you looked to see whether you can take lower odds on certain scorelines? I personally found 0-0 to be unworkable in many scenarios. One of which was odds below a certain point.
When goals have already been scored though, I am able to go much lower.
