Journey to semi pro
-
@richard-latimer im not quite there yet in learning how to do that. Think i need to watch some youtube videos or something on spreadsheets
-
@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
@richard-latimer yes and its happening most months. Ive been finishing the months in profit thankfully but im hoping ive found the reason i feel like im spinning my wheels a lot.
Have you tried plotting a graph to see what the overall curviture of profit is like? I can see mine has been going up and up and up until recently when it flattened out for a good 100 or so results.
-
@richard-latimer yes and its happening most months. Ive been finishing the months in profit thankfully but im hoping ive found the reason i feel like im spinning my wheels a lot.
-
@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
Ive briefly checked and will confirm once fully gone through tonight but ive just checked the stats that fall below my new cut off for the last 3 months and its showing 67 trades at around break even. A lot of risk for nothing returned.
Seems theres a lot to go through and get sorted with thisIt's like something I recently removed. Still had a few losses on the tightened up criteria, just would have been even more losses on the untightened.
Did you get off to a flying start in Oct only for this weekend to set you back? That's what happened to me.
-
Ive briefly checked and will confirm once fully gone through tonight but ive just checked the stats that fall below my new cut off for the last 3 months and its showing 67 trades at around break even. A lot of risk for nothing returned.
Seems theres a lot to go through and get sorted with this -
@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
@richard-latimer its on apple numbers on my iphone, looks like excel. No idea if its similar.
Does need sorting out though its now in a mess only i can understand.
No idea what that even is haha! I use smart filters so I can look at small sections of data on their own. Any criteria I want to look at for a particular subset I can just filter it.
-
@richard-latimer its on apple numbers on my iphone, looks like excel. No idea if its similar.
Does need sorting out though its now in a mess only i can understand.
-
@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
I wish i was better at spreadsheets. Got 1127 games to sort.
Think i need to make a call on several leagues aswell. Need to decide at which point theyre worth keeping in
I'm not great but can do what I need to do. If you want I can take a look and see if any formulas can be added to make sorting easier.
-
I wish i was better at spreadsheets. Got 1127 games to sort.
Think i need to make a call on several leagues aswell. Need to decide at which point theyre worth keeping in
-
@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
@martin yes but now im thinking i need to check if just the ones below my new limit are viable without the higher ones added. If that makes sense
Shows the importance of tracking everything, not just what you're actually trading.
-
@martin yes but now im thinking i need to check if just the ones below my new limit are viable without the higher ones added. If that makes sense
-
@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
Funny that i tightened the stats and hit 4 losers yesterday. At this rate ill only be trading a couple of summer leagues next year. They have been painful.
Down 1 point for the month now so nothing too drastic.
Maybe 1 month soon ill have a nice steady rideare you split testing the two? tightened and not? good to be sure it's the right thing to do
-
Funny that i tightened the stats and hit 4 losers yesterday. At this rate ill only be trading a couple of summer leagues next year. They have been painful.
Down 1 point for the month now so nothing too drastic.
Maybe 1 month soon ill have a nice steady ride -
Belarus Vysshaya Liga 17/10/2021 11:00:00 FC Minsk FC Gomel 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Italy Serie A 17/10/2021 11:30:00 Cagliari Sampdoria 0-0 0-1
Austria Bundesliga 17/10/2021 13:30:00 Wattens Hartberg 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Austria Bundesliga 17/10/2021 13:30:00 LASK Linz AC Wolfsberger 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Italy Serie A 17/10/2021 14:00:00 Genoa Sassuolo 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Germany Bundesliga 17/10/2021 14:30:00 Bayer Leverkusen Bayern Munich 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Norway Eliteserien 17/10/2021 16:00:00 Stromsgodset Viking 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Norway Eliteserien 17/10/2021 16:00:00 Brann Stabaek 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Norway Eliteserien 17/10/2021 16:00:00 Bodo/Glimt Sarpsborg 08 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Austria Bundesliga 17/10/2021 16:00:00 Sturm Graz Ried 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Norway Eliteserien 17/10/2021 18:00:00 Rosenborg Valerenga 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 17/10/2021 20:00:00 Gent Eupen 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1 -
I tightened the stats yesterday as i felt it was time to look at reducing the trades slightly. I mentioned it a while back that it was always something i would look towards but needed to let it happen naturally. The whole goal was to start extremely wide with as low stats as possible and as many leagues as possible then really start to zero in but needed the data and time trading it live to really understand this strategy.
It gave me 5/5 yesterday even though stupid betfair only let me trade 3/3 which is a very reasonable saturday i feel.
As the bank grows im starting to feel the need to protect it more now, feelings i just didnt get or understand when using £100.
Although im perfectly comfortable trading 20 games on a saturday if need be because the maths behind it is sound you do notice the best traders here dont do that and hopefully i can start to now head in their direction -
Norway Obos-ligaen 16/10/2021 14:00:00 Asane Ull/Kisa 0-0 0-1
Germany Bundesliga 16/10/2021 14:30:00 Dortmund 1. FSV Mainz 05 0-0 0-1
Netherlands Eredivisie 16/10/2021 15:30:00 Feyenoord Waalwijk 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Italy Serie A 16/10/2021 17:00:00 Lazio Inter 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 16/10/2021 17:30:00 Waregem Antwerp 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
France Ligue 2 16/10/2021 18:00:00 Dijon Amiens 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Netherlands Eredivisie 16/10/2021 20:00:00 PSV Zwolle 0-0 0-1
France Ligue 1 16/10/2021 20:00:00 Lyon Monaco 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Netherlands Eredivisie 16/10/2021 20:00:00 Sittard Cambuur 0-0 0-1 -
Serbia Super Liga 15/10/2021 14:00:00 Novi Pazar Sp. Subotica 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Ukraine Premier League 15/10/2021 15:00:00 Shakhtar Donetsk FK Zorya Luhansk 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Serbia Super Liga 15/10/2021 16:00:00 FK Vozdovac Napredak 0-0 0-1
Ireland Division 1 15/10/2021 19:45:00 Galway Wexford 0-0 0-1
Ireland Premier Division 15/10/2021 19:45:00 Bohemians Dundalk 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Ireland Premier Division 15/10/2021 19:45:00 Derry City St. Patricks 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1 -
Denmark 1st Division 14/10/2021 18:00:00 Helsingor Esbjerg 0-0 0-1
-
@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
End of month review.
5.72 points gained, i stake 5% so 28.6% bank increase.
Very pleased with the outcome and this is 8 months on the bounce now finishing in profit with this strategy.
Although a great outcome it was actually a very poor month as the amount of games traded was double last month and it gave slightly less profit. 15 losses which is huge for me in a month, 2 or 3 were probably my own fault for not jumping on bad leagues quick enough but easy to see in hindsight.
What i have spotted is a slight tightening of a stat that would of more than doubled the profit and got rid of 7 or so losses. Im thinking to run next month on this tighter version for safety.
Korea, denmark super and premier league all moved to the bin for now.
Stakes moved up to reflect new 5%
Good call on binning Denmark Superliga. Wish I'd done the same haha! Honestly feel like you could bin certain teams rather than whole leagues but of course would take an age to get meaningful data.
-
Seemed to be a fair few 0-0’s yesterday from what I observed from a filter I’m tracking
