Journey to semi pro
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@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
Min odds increased from 1.22 to 1.23
Morning Martin, Have you made this move due to your analysing the data?
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Min odds increased from 1.22 to 1.23
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0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Japan J1 League 24/10/2021 09:00:00 Kawasaki Frontale Shimizu
Japan J1 League 24/10/2021 11:00:00 C-Osaka Yokohama M.
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 24/10/2021 12:30:00 Antwerp Club Brugge KV
Netherlands Eredivisie 24/10/2021 13:30:00 Cambuur Feyenoord
Norway Obos-ligaen 24/10/2021 14:00:00 Asane K. Oslo
Germany Bundesliga 24/10/2021 14:30:00 FC Koln Bayer Leverkusen
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 24/10/2021 15:00:00 Anderlecht Beerschot VA
Norway Eliteserien 24/10/2021 16:00:00 Rosenborg Sandefjord
Norway Eliteserien 24/10/2021 16:00:00 Kristiansund Sarpsborg 08
Germany Bundesliga 24/10/2021 16:30:00 VfB Stuttgart Union Berlin
Italy Serie B 24/10/2021 19:30:00 Spal Como
Italy Serie A 24/10/2021 19:45:00 Inter Juventus -
0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Norway Obos-ligaen 23/10/2021 12:30:00 Jerv Start
Italy Serie B 23/10/2021 13:00:00 Ternana Vicenza
Germany Bundesliga 23/10/2021 14:30:00 RB Leipzig Greuther Furth
Germany Bundesliga 23/10/2021 14:30:00 Bayern Munich Hoffenheim
Norway Eliteserien 23/10/2021 15:00:00 Viking Lillestrom
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 23/10/2021 17:30:00 KV Mechelen Waregem
Netherlands Eredivisie 23/10/2021 17:45:00 Utrecht Heerenveen
Italy Serie A 23/10/2021 19:45:00 Bologna AC Milan
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 23/10/2021 19:45:00 Eupen St. Gilloise -
@martin-walker it's a really good example of discipline for other members too, no emotions involved on the bad days just a solid consistent trading output!
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@martin thanks, its done its job so far and kept me on one strategy for 3 months now
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@martin-walker love the consistency of this thread and the updates!
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@richard-latimer thanks, hopefully carry it on through the weekend
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Decent night for you. Good to see.
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Italy Serie A 22/10/2021 17:30:00 Torino Genoa 0-0 0-1
Denmark 1st Division 22/10/2021 18:00:00 Hobro Jammerbugt 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Italy Serie B 22/10/2021 19:30:00 Alessandria Crotone 0-0 0-1
Ireland Division 1 22/10/2021 19:45:00 UC Dublin Treaty United 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Belgium Jupiler Pro League 22/10/2021 19:45:00 Seraing Utd Charleroi 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1 -
Luckily im around break even for the month. Keep gaining 1 point then hitting a loss.
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@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
I tightened the stats yesterday as i felt it was time to look at reducing the trades slightly. I mentioned it a while back that it was always something i would look towards but needed to let it happen naturally. The whole goal was to start extremely wide with as low stats as possible and as many leagues as possible then really start to zero in but needed the data and time trading it live to really understand this strategy.
It gave me 5/5 yesterday even though stupid betfair only let me trade 3/3 which is a very reasonable saturday i feel.
As the bank grows im starting to feel the need to protect it more now, feelings i just didnt get or understand when using £100.
Although im perfectly comfortable trading 20 games on a saturday if need be because the maths behind it is sound you do notice the best traders here dont do that and hopefully i can start to now head in their directionThis is a very healthy reminder for many traders on here bud, especially those who are just starting to hit good bank levels. Its easy to just plunge a lot of bank outlay on a weekend when your bank is sub £100 using min stakes, but as soon as those numbers tick you start to realise wait thats hefty. Its reason we dont want to be staking to high, especially on these high strike rate intensive strats, they just eat up outlay. All it would take is one bad day. We are all prone to them. Its why i cringe at some of the liabilities, especially if you are trading more than 5-6 games a day, can be nearly 30-40% if not more risked. Some people doing those actually are just lucky right now. I once was one of them. This is a sign you are maturing as a trader and youll learn from the messing up of spreadsheets, all part of the learning and growing. Hopefully you can bounce back and drive the bank upwards.
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3/4 rough going for me at the moment, cant seem to get on a roll.
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Norway Obos-ligaen 20/10/2021 17:00:00 Raufoss Stjordals Blink 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Norway Obos-ligaen 20/10/2021 17:00:00 Fredrikstad Strommen 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Norway Obos-ligaen 20/10/2021 17:00:00 Start Grorud 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1
Bolivia Division Profesional 20/10/2021 20:00:00 Always Ready Wilstermann 0-0 0-1 1-0 1-1 2-0 2-1 -
@matt-wood i really should of done that. Messed it right up lol
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@matt-wood said in Journey to semi pro:
@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
@richard-latimer thanks will look at trying this. Ive just messed the spreadsheet up messing about with it so need to get it back in order first.
Morning Martin,
I created a duplicate of my spreadsheet data and messed about with that to get things the way I wanted. This was because I didnt trust myself not to ruin my data. One of my better ideas as there was always the safety net of the original data set to copy again and again if I needed to. Allowed me to really mess about and learn how to make a better spreadsheet without fear of losing my data.
Good idea
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@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
@richard-latimer thanks will look at trying this. Ive just messed the spreadsheet up messing about with it so need to get it back in order first.
Morning Martin,
I created a duplicate of my spreadsheet data and messed about with that to get things the way I wanted. This was because I didnt trust myself not to ruin my data. One of my better ideas as there was always the safety net of the original data set to copy again and again if I needed to. Allowed me to really mess about and learn how to make a better spreadsheet without fear of losing my data.
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Ive found the lower stats by themselves produced 10 points since feb but 0 of those came in the last 4 months.
A few leagues start to look viable again with just the higher stats such as denmark, japan, norway and france although ill let them play out a bit longer to confirm.
The trades i did drops from 519 to 288. Obviously it was working at first and produced profit but now isnt so not something i could of spotted much earlier.
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@richard-latimer thanks will look at trying this. Ive just messed the spreadsheet up messing about with it so need to get it back in order first.
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@martin-walker said in Journey to semi pro:
@richard-latimer im not quite there yet in learning how to do that. Think i need to watch some youtube videos or something on spreadsheets
Easiest way is to tally up your wins and losses against each result then add the following formula in the the right hand cell next to it.
So say your first result is in T1 in the cell next to it do =T1.
The next cell down and the result is in T2 you enter the following formula into U1.
=SUM(U1+T2)
Drag that formula all the way down in column U. This gives your tally.
Create a new tab and enter a line graph.
Right click in the middle of that to select data. Go back to the other tab and copy all the way down column U.
This then enters that data into your chart. You will be able to see a visual representation of your progress that way.
