My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road
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Also I ahve noticed over time that sometimes if you add selection In play it can cancel if the market does suspended. What has been annoying when I've added them thinking I got a result knowing it hasn't happened as I havent press keep.
The amount of times the cash out button doesn't work frustrating.
On the Portland game I must of got in after the goal bit the little one woke up at 6 so was able to check it and get out for a small loss around 80th
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@chris-osborne said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell That's occurred to me before now mainly with Stuarts LTD strategy, I'm with you would probably cancel if an early goal and not yet matched if able to do so
yeah definitely a re think. The Portland game if i was at my pc would have cancelled the bet and moved on but i suppose its swings and roundabouts. Will have a think about that one
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@steve-sandell That's occurred to me before now mainly with Stuarts LTD strategy, I'm with you would probably cancel if an early goal and not yet matched if able to do so but not in the middle of the night.
Its an attitude to risk I guess, do you want to treat as a set and forget in which case leave alone and take the risk or do you only place on games you can actively trade?
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@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Lay U1.5
Results
Early tomorrow morning
1.00 Real Salt Lake v Houston 1-1
4.30 Portland v Minnesota 0-1-2.92 points
One thing i have noticed in the Portland game the starting odds on U1.5 was about 6.4 approx and i put my bet in for 4.9 to get matched in play. There was a goal on the 2nd min meaning i didnt get matched but obviously its still in the market and was no more goals so eventally the bet was placed. If i was at my pc could have cancelled it and moved on or got in a new trade. Something im not sure i want money in the market with no control over -
Lay U1.5
Early tomorrow morning
1.00 Real Salt Lake v Houston
4.30 Portland v Minnesota -
@steve-sandell wow this is looking good.
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@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
No Lay U1.5 today
But have a LTD half stakes at the moment. Got good numbers at the moment from approx 100 games but will log a few more before i go full stakesResult
7.45 Dundalk v Derry LTD 2-1
0.49 pointsAnother game that was not on my filters but might have a go on is Waterford v St Patricks
When St Patricks are away and priced under 2.0 the following comes up
1 draw out of 13 games
O1.5 11 out of 13 games
O2.5 8 out of 13 games
Didnt do this game in the end but ended 1-1 -
@ryan said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell Nice whats the SR on the LTD?
You've been smashing it with the lays, I always find that with lays they are amazing for ages, then they hurt you and when they hurt they hurt - as long as correct staking and the value and SR there it's all good.
83% odds 5 or less at the moment but think i can nudge that up with a bit of filtering. Also have another LTD which is a small sample size at the moment which is currently 16/16
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@steve-sandell Nice whats the SR on the LTD?
You've been smashing it with the lays, I always find that with lays they are amazing for ages, then they hurt you and when they hurt they hurt - as long as correct staking and the value and SR there it's all good.
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No Lay U1.5 today
But have a LTD half stakes at the moment. Got good numbers at the moment from approx 100 games but will log a few more before i go full stakes7.45 Dundalk v Derry LTD
Another game that was not on my filters but might have a go on is Waterford v St Patricks
When St Patricks are away and priced under 2.0 the following comes up
1 draw out of 13 games
O1.5 11 out of 13 games
O2.5 8 out of 13 games -
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Lay U1.5 - Thurs 24.6.21
Thats more like it 2-0 after 25 mins played
5.00 Stromsgodset v Sandefjord 4-0
0.98 points
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Just looked back at my data and been missing a few trades. When i post my trades im looking for a certain odds range but a few teams there odds are dropping to KO. So i will post these games nearer KO if they qualify
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@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell Joking aside though mate you have been on fire with these. Do you know what your strike rate is with them?
After yesterdays results - started logging on 15.5.21
+15.28 points 82.35%I would imagine anything over 80% has got to be worth consideration as a strategy?
Cant complain at that points profit though
Yeah happy enough. I felt yesterday was coming at some point it had too
Yea you cant win everything. Good old variance has to kick in at some point. Hers to another winning run though
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@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell Joking aside though mate you have been on fire with these. Do you know what your strike rate is with them?
After yesterdays results - started logging on 15.5.21
+15.28 points 82.35%I would imagine anything over 80% has got to be worth consideration as a strategy?
Cant complain at that points profit though
Yeah happy enough. I felt yesterday was coming at some point it had too
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Lay U1.5 - Thurs 24.6.21
5.00 Stromsgodset v Sandefjord
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@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell Joking aside though mate you have been on fire with these. Do you know what your strike rate is with them?
After yesterdays results - started logging on 15.5.21
+15.28 points 82.35%I would imagine anything over 80% has got to be worth consideration as a strategy?
Cant complain at that points profit though
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@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell Joking aside though mate you have been on fire with these. Do you know what your strike rate is with them?
After yesterdays results - started logging on 15.5.21
+15.28 points 82.35% -
@steve-sandell Joking aside though mate you have been on fire with these. Do you know what your strike rate is with them?
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@matt-wood said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Lay U1.5 - Weds 23.621
Results
11.00 Flamengo v Fortaleza 2-1
Early morning games
12.30 New York City v Atlanta 1-0
12.30 Philadelphia v Columbus 1-0
1.00 Chicago Fire v Cincinnati 0-1
3.30 Los Angeles v Dallas 2-0A few MLS games lets hope for a goal fest
-8.84 points ... Well that was a car crash. Properly was coming as been on a good run
You clearly had been doing far too well with these so the trading gods need to slap you down a little
Yeah i feel slapped
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@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
@steve-sandell said in My Betfair Journey - The Long & Winding Road:
Lay U1.5 - Weds 23.621
Results
11.00 Flamengo v Fortaleza 2-1
Early morning games
12.30 New York City v Atlanta 1-0
12.30 Philadelphia v Columbus 1-0
1.00 Chicago Fire v Cincinnati 0-1
3.30 Los Angeles v Dallas 2-0A few MLS games lets hope for a goal fest
-8.84 points ... Well that was a car crash. Properly was coming as been on a good run
You clearly had been doing far too well with these so the trading gods need to slap you down a little
