2022 Tennis Trading Thread
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@david-reid Hi,
Nope if the score goes to 4-4 I stay in the trade and don't do anything else, I will make a judgement on my exit - usually if the player breaks I will remove my liability which has then given me some green to play around with in the match.
Works on ATP and WTA, the premise behind it is that how many time have you seen a top player effectively write off the first set then come back firing set 2? it happens a fair bit, but this gives us a good low risk lay and then some green to play with - or you can hedge out.
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@ryan-carruthers if it is 3-3 and you lay the fav, if it goes 4-4 do You lay the fav again?
Do you exit trade when:
- Either player breaks
- It goes to a tiebreak
- Only when set completed
Assuming this works better in wta?
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@damon-heslop said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
Dimitrov has drifted pretty significantly (1.4 to 1.55). Injury fears perhaps? Obviously his previous 5-setter will have taken a bit out of him. Tempted to lay him from the start and close off if he gets broken early on - partly to insure against my outright position on him, which has drifted from 12.5 to 19! Any other Dimitrov backers feel the same?
Broken immediately. Traded out at 1.9. Left the green on Rublev to cover my Dimitrov outright position.
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Dimitrov has drifted pretty significantly (1.4 to 1.55). Injury fears perhaps? Obviously his previous 5-setter will have taken a bit out of him. Tempted to lay him from the start and close off if he gets broken early on - partly to insure against my outright position on him, which has drifted from 12.5 to 19! Any other Dimitrov backers feel the same?
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Tomorrow's sheet guys!
I am going to be adding to this
making it smoother as the stats software is tested out etc... -
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Day 4 Aus Open Sheet
Not really spotted anything that sticks out to me.
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@jonathan-mcdaid said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
kyrgios mental game is very weak.
it's improved massively though, Triocki is no mug that's a solid straight sets win
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kyrgios mental game is very weak.
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@ryan-carruthers said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
Nothing screaming out at me just yet guys! Might be just because I have woke up.
an amazingly high number of one sided odds matches this round, may not find anything until 3rd round now
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Today's sheet
I'll delve into them this afternoon, when I have had some sleep lol
0_1516101105245_AusOpenDay3.pdf
Key to Figs
P1 Break - price if P1 broke P2
P1SW - price is P1 won set
P2 Break - price is P2 broke P1
P2 SW - price is P2 won setAverage hold - is the % of average hold at this tournament
P1 SG W - P1 service games w in %
P1 RG W - P1 return games w in %
P1 Serving - according to the serving % won are they a good or bad serverP2 SG W - P2 service games w in %
P2 RG W - P2 return games w in %
P2 Serving - according to the serving % win are they a good or bad server -
@ryan-carruthers Just see Watson trough, and then bed for me also
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@frode-lia Incredible! Bed time for me now I think!
