2022 Tennis Trading Thread
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@damon-heslop these are rocking again today! Big green on the Fed game, good profit from Marterer and scratch tiny loss on Raonic. @Martin-Futter spot on re Fed!
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There's the Fed break!
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real good marterer shout !
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@simon said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
@ryan-carruthers yeah going to continue to trade these until there is more data on the straight laying. Also a good education for myself on trading tennis.
Yeah good point, definitely worth tracking this angle too.
Today’s lays are Raonic (from yesterday) Federer (surprisingly) Marterer and Pouille. The last 2 games aren’t backed up by ELO ratings as not available.Federer is never a lock in such low key events, lost to Haas last year despite a great year in majors!
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@ryan-carruthers yeah going to continue to trade these until there is more data on the straight laying. Also a good education for myself on trading tennis.
Yeah good point, definitely worth tracking this angle too.
Today’s lays are Raonic (from yesterday) Federer (surprisingly) Marterer and Pouille. The last 2 games aren’t backed up by ELO ratings as not available. -
@simon I think we should track the straight laying of these as well matey! As well as trading these
Also on ones where we can take the liability out - so on the ones that don't go on to win, is there an opportunity to take the liability out and move the green onto the dog - we have a 0.00 on the fav and some profit on the dog but with little risk.
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@david-friend yeah typically where there is a favourite about 1.5 or less but the PJH, BPC and BPS are within 1% or preferably the dogs is better. I’m then waiting until the favourite hits about 1.2 in play then laying them.
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@simon amazing - how are you filtering these, still based on close projected hold difference?
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@simon said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
4 cheap lays today. Kohlschreiber, Raonic, Pospsil and Seppi. Kohlscreiber and Raonic are backed up with the ELO ratings, but couldn’t get the ratings of the opponents of the other 2, so more wary of them.
Raonic game delayed until tomorrow but all other dogs won today! Should potentially be straight laying these. I’ve now done 20 of these and the dog has won 6 of them. If I’d been laying them and letting them run i’d be roughly 19 pts up. Easy to say after a good day, but will continue to monitor, still a very small sample size.
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Seppi broken.
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Kohlschreiber out in straight sets. Thought he was supposed to be a specialist on the grass??
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Can't believe Stollar was 2.25 against Zhang. Missed the first break but still jumped in at 1.36. Far superior PJH and breaks first 62% of the time. Zhang's win-rate after losing first set was woeful. Stollar wins in straights.
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too good !
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@simon said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
4 cheap lays today. Kohlschreiber, Raonic, Pospsil and Seppi. Kohlscreiber and Raonic are backed up with the ELO ratings, but couldn’t get the ratings of the opponents of the other 2, so more wary of them.
Boom! Kohlschreiber loses first set!
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Daily sheets
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@simon Wahoooo hopefully another cracking day
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4 cheap lays today. Kohlschreiber, Raonic, Pospsil and Seppi. Kohlscreiber and Raonic are backed up with the ELO ratings, but couldn’t get the ratings of the opponents of the other 2, so more wary of them.
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@simon best start to the week this!!
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@ryan-carruthers and there’s the set! Nice start to the week.
