2022 Tennis Trading Thread
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@simji said in 2020 Tennis Trading Thread:
on peoples spreadsheets about what trades they have done do they log any other information then stake and p/l?
Players, who I am backing/Opposing, Strategy and whether or not liability removed
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@chris-osborne Fantastic information, thank you.
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Couple of interesting things I've found in the Stats for tonights games: -
Clara Burel after winning the first set has lost the second 43% of the time you very rarely see a return above 40 most are between 20 and 35. Definite lay if she wins the first set
Claire Liu v Viktoriya Tomova - both have a high percentage of 3 set matches automatic lay for me of whoever wins first set. 47% for Liu and 56% for Tomova
Potapova v Doi There won 1st set lost 2nd set stats balance out - Potapova has won 35% of second sets after losing the first whereas Doi is the reverse loses the 2nd set 35% of the time after winning the first. Doi wins first will be a lay - Potapova I'll probably steer clear
55% Hailey Baptiste's matches have gone to 3 sets and she has won the fsecond set 45% of the time after losing the first problem here is Tomljanovic is by far the better player - not often you'll get me saying that
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Does anyone here use TennisProfits? I've taken a week's trial with it for a quid but not convinced yet whether it will be worth continuing.
Please delete if posts about other software are not allowed.
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Indian Wells Starts tonight today's WTA Line Up
No Reason not to do anything but keep it simple, Lay First Set Winner order of the day in the following games: -
19:00 Bondar v Martic
20:15 Liu v Tomova
20:15 Potapova v Doi
20:30 Riske v McNally
21:40 Burel v Kalinina
21:45 Tomljanovic v Baptiste - only if Baptiste wins first
22:45 Volynets v Rus
22:55 Konjuh v Dart
00:15 Tan v Peterson
02:00 Yastremska v GarciaWon't trade all of these by any stretch of the imagination just games I'll be looking at
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I feel for these two lasses in Monterrey, just about to start their quarter final at 1.00am their time.
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giorgi wins first set. Shes looked quite good. if you take away the one broken serve shes only lost 4 points on her serve. Garcia has struggled slightly more.
i got a small green in the first set. I dont think i will be getting involved in second unless its late on now as giorgi looks comfortable
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With Indian Wells starting next week, line ups are lower ranked players this week - Giorgi top seed in Lyon for example. Could be ripe for three set matches but proceed with caution
Svitolina top seed in Mexico but in view of world events, her mind is going to be back home same with Yastrzemska and Kostyuk if playing.
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@simji Serrano although she has massive potential has a serve as reliable as Mertens i.e. absolute garbage. I would have exited very early in this one, and certainly wouldn;t have added to the position. I would have also layed Kalinskaya after the first set but never at 1.6. Anything above 1.5 I would back Serrano or the player who lost the first if I wanted to get involved
If she got the first break n the second I would have cashed out immediately wouldn't have stayed in at all she is never likely to hold serve
I've seen a few posts like this from you over the past few month's, you need to look at bank roll and risk management
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Last night diaster hit. Completely ruined everything that I've done in the last 3 or more months. Messing around on the software. Match was researched.
There was a few breaks first set. And all tournament she's struggled on some service games. I got a nice lay or two on her a round or so again against wang.
So she went to 1.25 after first set but She had a medical time out what sent the price out to 1.6 and bounced around a bit. It was layed at 1.6
First service game 40-15 osrio. Went to 1.7 wasn't able to get matched. She got broke lost next 4 points. So another lay @1.15 she then broke again what of course sent it to 1.05. It was in the second break I realised that I wasn't on training mode so the stake was of course a lot high liability then I would dream off at tennis at present. And bank defo depleted by 86%
It's days like this it's now damage limitation
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@keelan-kanji Would have traded both but too busy couldn't trade anything today. Ostapenko along with Kontaveitt are the two inform players right now at least until Barty returns for Miami and Indian Wells next month. Would probably still have layed her as she is inconsistent although tightened up on that this year. Sabalenka has been in horrible form all year I had Swiatek as the favourite although her serve isn't the strongest.
If you look down a couple of days I've shown how I trade Laying the first set winner, its just my take definitely not an expert so take at your own risk but I look for two things - motivated favourite losing the first set or a close first set with breaks of serve
