2022 Tennis Trading Thread
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@nathan-bennett leave it for two points matey
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@Ryan-Carruthers hey mate the server trades is it for one point leave trade in for or two . cheers
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@ryan-carruthers I am on Haase today also.
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@simon
I like the 2% per trade on these and the 1% on straight lays. Works well, plus you know where you are and as the bank grows the stakes grow incrementally which is key, the markets are always moving the same - all that changes is you. If you go from £10 to £50 stakes that's a big jump for your brain and emotions to cope with, whereas 2% of bank its steady you build confidence and it compounds (impact of compounding is huge and so many people overlook it).
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Today’s lays:
Kohlschreiber (250)
Verdasco (250) -
@frode-lia @Nathan-Bennett thanks for this. I’ve been risking 2% per trade using the calculator too and 1% on the straight lays. Just interested to hear other opinions and if I could be doing things better.
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@simon said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
Today’s lays:
Kilzan
Red on Kilzan to finish a poor day
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Lays for tonight:
Washington (500)
Baghdatis
Herbert
Wawrinka
ZverevLos Cabos (250)
Lopez -
yeah I use a fixed liability same on all matches despite price diff been rolling it for couple weeks . and yeah if first set goes against me and was a close set might re lay time to time if watching and if win set 2 bank that trade and leave initial liability roll
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@frode-lia said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
@david-friend said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
@simon said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
@simon said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
Today’s lays:
Jarry
Out at 4-4 for a small loss
@Simon wonder how many of these have gone to 3 sets where fav has won first set. Opportunity to double-down on the fav at even lower odds could maybe be another angle as with this match.
Think trad swing trad strat is a good angel on these 250 selections.
Zopp a win for second set.
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@simon said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
General question, do most of you stick to a % of bank stake, or do you stake more/less based on how good you perceive the oppertunity to be. In the past month there have been 5 lays where the elo probability calculator have shown the favourites price should be over evens (i.e. the market have the wrong favourite) . All 5 trades were winners and 4/5 of the straight lays won. Feels like I should up stakes when this opportunity arises.
I use 1% of bank per trade. But are often in 2-3 times per game, so if every trade loses I will be down 3%.
I dont use Kelly or Elo calculator, but I use the BTC staking calculator to calculate 1% after stop loss. So I can feks use 2% stake, but after stop loss it will be about 1%.
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General question, do most of you stick to a % of bank stake, or do you stake more/less based on how good you perceive the oppertunity to be. In the past month there have been 5 lays where the elo probability calculator have shown the favourites price should be over evens (i.e. the market have the wrong favourite) . All 5 trades were winners and 4/5 of the straight lays won. Feels like I should up stakes when this opportunity arises.
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@david-friend said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
@simon said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
@simon said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
Today’s lays:
Jarry
Out at 4-4 for a small loss
@Simon wonder how many of these have gone to 3 sets where fav has won first set. Opportunity to double-down on the fav at even lower odds could maybe be another angle as with this match.
Think trad swing trad strat is a good angel on these 250 selections.
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@david-friend I’d have to look back at my records but it certainly feels like a high percentage do. It’s very rare though that the favourite wins the first set then goes on to lose.
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winning
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@simon said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
Today’s lays:
Kovalik
MartererGreen on Kovalik red on Marterer.
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Small sample size of what I have traded with this PJH method but so far the Fav has only won 48 percent of these matches with an average lay price of 1.59 which makes for good reading
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@simon said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
@simon said in Tennis Trading Thread 2018:
Today’s lays:
Jarry
Out at 4-4 for a small loss
@Simon wonder how many of these have gone to 3 sets where fav has won first set. Opportunity to double-down on the fav at even lower odds could maybe be another angle as with this match.
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@alan-de-arth Hi Alan, I look for games where the underdog is within 1 or has better PJH, BPS and BPC.
