2022 Tennis Trading Thread
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@simon Thats some stat that!!
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Osaka has won 59 games in a row when winning the first set!
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@martin-futter 6.25 from memory
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@martin-futter you mean rather than in prime time for the US audience? Money talks my friend.
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@col you’d be spewing if you backed at that price!!
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@martin-futter yeah annoys me how they always schedule the big names in the evening, they are usually the dullest matches. Djokovic was always going to rollover a massively tired Nishikori. Weak serve vs best return in the game. Nothing to get excited about.
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@simon There were 6 figures waiting to be laid at $1.01. Never seen anything like it!!
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@simon 100% crazy!!
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Wow, Serena must have traded at 1.01
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The waiting for both to serve on tennis is the best advice I can give anybody ever!
Just like today, you get the stats and look at the data price it up then wait for both to serve to see how they start.... it saved a loss, yes it would of been a small loss but it saved going into that trade, effecting the mindset for other trades etc....
Plus by waiting for both to serve if they both hold the price hardly moves.
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@simon yes exactly, if he really starts at Rafa we could do very well very quickly.
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@ryan-carruthers I was thinking along the same lines. Tiafoe seems boom or bust, he could start quickly and could win a few ticks. Suck low risk at 1.07 too.
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I am going to have a little lay on Nadal here, I love Rafa and he doesn't usually give up that much in terms of losing games when he is on song but if you look at how Tiafoe has played and the games he has taken off players to get to this point he has done well.
Plus Rafa is zero value on my pricing structure - he can be laid @ 1.07 which is a low risk lay in my eyes when I think he should be 1.38. I will let them both serve if they both hold I'll lay Rafa.
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@simon said in 2018 Tennis Trading Thread:
Looking at tomorrow's quarter finals I think Tsitsipas price looks too short again. RBA has the better stats on hard, and from that side of things it's hard to see how they are both priced around evens at the moment. I think the market has over reacted to Tsitsipas win over Federer. He was outstanding, but he saved all 12 break points he faced. To be that clutch is unsustainable. I also like to oppose players when they have had a huge win like this, as sometimes mentally they are still on a high from this and not 100% focused on the job at hand and can start slow. However I have opposed Tsitsipas quite a lot in the past 6 months and been burned on more occasions than I haven't, so this makes me cautious. Maybe his stats are on the rise, which is why he consistently shows up to me as a weaker player than the market thinks, but maybe he won't in 6-12 months time. Also RBA has had three 5 setters so far to get here. He is a machine, but this must have taken it's toll. I also won't be up to trade this, so I may have a small wager on RBA to win set 1 with all things above considered.
The boy can’t definitely play
glad I was cautious with staking. Seems to save his best for the big games.
