2022 Tennis Trading Thread
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@ryan-carruthers RBA is an absolute machine! 3rd 5 setter. Would love to see him get through here.
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If Halep loses first set would defo be interested in backing her, she loves to fight back and both of these love 3 setters so far this week. Halep worth a lay too if she wins first set as odds will be so short but she has won pretty easily vs Venus last two times they played. Hopefully be a good trading match.
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@simon Very helpful. Cheers Simon.
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@charles-cartwright said in 2018 Tennis Trading Thread:
@mark Weirdly if you watch the video on the Sportsbook rather than Exchange you can watch full screen. Don't know why but it works.
Thanks @Charles-Cartwright ! I'll take a look. Best of luck
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@mark Weirdly if you watch the video on the Sportsbook rather than Exchange you can watch full screen. Don't know why but it works.
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Anyone know how to watch the 365 or betfair streams in full screen, rather than the small window?
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Anything from the tennis gurus for tonight?
Cheers
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I use Bet 365 or a streaming service that doesn't now allow new people in which is weird!!
I am shocked at the way Sharapova played, you could see it though on that first service game for Woz, couple of break points early doors was never a good sign for her. Games like that are great for locking in why I wait and let them both serve.
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@col hi Col, I use Betfair or Bet365 to stream the pictures, but always have flashscore up too because of the delay in the pictures. I find it updates pretty quickly, although you can usually tell what’s happened in the point by watching the odds movement.
I think unless you are scalping, the delay in the pictures isn’t an issue. -
Hi gents
Another n00b question, apologies, what do you guys use to stream matches? Obviously speed is everything. I'm from Australia and have television pictures which is slighty ahead of bet365 streaming/visualisation product.
Obviously there would be blokes/groups courtsiding which is why market is a second or so ahead? Is that right? Or are other streaming services I should be looking in to?
Cheers
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@simon just been looking at the Seppi game after you pointed it out he was 2.02. He’s now 1.84 after a big bet placed at 2.02. Someone is definitely thinking the same way as you and gone big!
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Sharapova (BF 2.16 / Me 7.76) v Woz (BF 1.83 / Me 1.15)
I like this one, I have some serious value on Woz here too. Woz has started well and she’s 3rd in the world, she is a top player. Woz game is great and she counters players, forcing them to make an error, an excellent returner of the ball - the previous history is there but for me Woz is a much calmer player now as her rise in the rankings show she will make Sharapova win every single point.
I will let them both serve and if they both hold I will back Woz, I am looking for Woz to be moving well around the court, returning a lot of Sharapova’s ground strokes and really enforcing her will on her and her to serve well.
Maria Sharapova’s strengths - her return of serve, her own serve and her ground strokes - she hits the ball very well and crisp.
I will aim to be out at the end of the first set with a Woz win of S1 - at any point its tight or Sharapova is dominating and the momentum is with her I will trade out.
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@simon Thanks for the info!
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2 Value picks for tomorrow.
Really like the prices of Basilashvili Vs Tsitsipas (2 of the harder names to spell). Although Tsitsipas is a huge talent, I do think there is often a lot of love for him in the market, and again i think he's over priced here. There really isn't much between the two players stats wise on hard court over the past 12 months, serve %ages almost the same, Tsitsipas slight advantage on return. They are also both bang in form with great ends to the 2018 season. I make Tsitsipas more like 1.65 and currently available on BF at 1.38.
I also like the look of Seppi Vs Tiafoe. Seppi seems to love playing in Australia, he's won 6 out of his last 7, and 5 of his last 6 at the Aus open. Tiafoe can be erratic and inconsistent, and although he scored a big win against Kevin Anderson in the last round, Anderson was complaining of elbow issues afterwards, so that could have played a big part in the result. I make Seppi about 1.85 here, and currently available at 2.02.
The question is will I be awake to trade these or not haha!!
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@charles-cartwright Hi Charles, as far as I understand you look for favourites priced at 1.35 or below with 80% or higher project service hold (can find this in the BTC tennis forecast stats). Don't do this blindly though, for example Dominic Thiem qualified today, but i'd never back him at such short odds on Hard court, he's predominantly a clay courter.
Let both players serve each, and then back the favourite (unless they broke early). This morning i was ready to back Zverev but he took a 2-0 lead in the first set, so no trade. When the fave goes a break up, remove liability and let the bet run. If the dog breaks, then hedge up for a loss.As Frode said, these work best at slams and masters events as the favourites are highly motivated.
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