2022 Tennis Trading Thread
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@simon Thank you Simon.
How do you intend to trade on these is it lay the favourite at the start and cash out if its a close game during the match? -
@gary-brown the first 2 at 6 and 6:30, the Querrey game after midnight (assuming you live in the U.K.). However as discussed below, these games rarely start at the scheduled time! Best bet is to download FlashScore on your phone, star the matches your interested in and they will show you the start times. I find it way more reliable than the start times shown on BF.
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@simon Hi Simon I was wondering what time are these games set to go in play
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So going with the same theme as yesterday, I've been looking for clay courters who look too big. The one's standing out to me are Ruud vs Auger-Aliassime. Daniel Vs Rublev and Ferrer Vs Querry.
I think the price on Rublev looks crazy (1.28) against a player who's game suits these conditions. I think the Ruud match should be a lot tighter than the current BF odds suggest, and the same goes for Ferrer Vs Querry. This game is at a time that will suit @col so i'll just have a bet on it
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@simon said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:
Lots of action today! Will take a while to pick this apart.
LOTS of action today. I see rain forecast for the next week in Miami too. Hopefully it means they push more matches to a more friendly viewing time
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Lots of action today! Will take a while to pick this apart.
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@ryan-carruthers really interesting re Sau Paulo. As I’ve gathered results from my 250 lay system, it seems to perform best on slower surfaces. It made a loss in Sau Paulo! I had my suspicions when I saw it was indoor clay as thought it would be faster than an outdoor clay. I think court speed is crucial for this strategy, although I’m not exactly sure why, but the results speak for themselves.
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There's a little bit on here
http://www.tennisabstract.com/blog/2013/02/19/the-fastest-surface-on-the-atp-tour/
Annoying as I have a sheet in my google that was there last week but now its gone, let me have a deeper look.
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@simon For sure. I read an article a couple weeks ago. That the Miami court was sluggish & humidity contributes to slow conditions. Will keep an eye on it for sure.
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@col cheers bud. I think there is definitely an edge in looking at court speed. Most punters would look at a players record on hard, or clay or grass, but these can differ a lot, especially hard courts I’ve found, there is a big difference between tournaments.
Matt Willis on twitter recently had a post covering different courts and the speed of them (CPI he called it - court pace index). Well worth a look. -
@simon great areas mate
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@simon said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:
2 I like the price on today. Delbonnis Vs Gojo and RCB Vs Kudla. Miami is a slow surface and i think should give a chance to the clay courters. I was also keen on Copil Vs Ramos from a stats point of view, but just can't see Copil hitting many winners on a slow surface like this, so will give that one a pass.
On slower hard court surfaces like this I have started looking at the 2 players stats on clay as well as hard court to get a bigger picture. It forms a small part of my analysis, but it think it's worthwhile.RCB broke in game 1 so no trade. But happy with today’s work
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@simon Well played!
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@simon said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:
2 I like the price on today. Delbonnis Vs Gojo and RCB Vs Kudla. Miami is a slow surface and i think should give a chance to the clay courters. I was also keen on Copil Vs Ramos from a stats point of view, but just can't see Copil hitting many winners on a slow surface like this, so will give that one a pass.
On slower hard court surfaces like this I have started looking at the 2 players stats on clay as well as hard court to get a bigger picture. It forms a small part of my analysis, but it think it's worthwhile.Greening up on Delbonis
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If its not raining, Betfair breaks down
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2 I like the price on today. Delbonnis Vs Gojo and RCB Vs Kudla. Miami is a slow surface and i think should give a chance to the clay courters. I was also keen on Copil Vs Ramos from a stats point of view, but just can't see Copil hitting many winners on a slow surface like this, so will give that one a pass.
On slower hard court surfaces like this I have started looking at the 2 players stats on clay as well as hard court to get a bigger picture. It forms a small part of my analysis, but it think it's worthwhile. -
@frode-lia I bloody agree here, nothing worse its always late - drives me mad, its one of the big challenges with tennis trading, especially when its late and you've got up for it lol
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@gary-brown The lay of the first set winner is always a good one, I have a PDF about it in the files section I'll get you a link
http://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com:4567/topic/164/betgreen-tennis
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@col just looked into it since you posted and 100% agree. I would have Puntiseva as favourite but not by much, 1.57 way too short for me.
Flipkens is the value price for sure, but neither player in great form slightly puts me off getting involved in this.
Value is value though
