2022 Tennis Trading Thread

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Plan for today is to lay whoever goes a break up in the Nishikori vs Schwartzman match, then green up when broken back. I may repeat this several times depending on how the game is going. Both these players are great returners and weak servers, so on paper there should be breaks a plenty!

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@simon said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

Watchlist for today:

Back if a break down before 4-4 or 1 set down.

EDIT - Going to discount Schwartzman. His form isn't sitting right with me.
Fognini (will only back if loses S1)
Cilic (will only back if loses S1)

WTA low PJH picks
Anisimova
Vondrousova
Siniakova

Also still have Kohlschreiber from yesterday as a value pick.

Only 1 of these trades qualified in play which was Cilic and a loss.

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@simon said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

Watchlist for

Also still have Kohlschreiber from yesterday as a value pick.

Waited almost 2 days for this trade and it’s now a no trade

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Thanks all. It's not a problem. I'll run the stats I want and then look further to see which player it refers to.

Ryan

@steven-thornley Only just seen this matey, at present it won't give a player 1 or player 2 we are working on the differential between this because right now you have to go through an attribute it to a player.

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@steven-thornley Sorry, I can't help but try posting here - http://forum.betfairtradingcommunity.com/topic/292/tennis-software-support-thread/57 - or tag @Adam-Williams for software queries.

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@simon said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

Another wee trade i like today is to have a cheap lay of Thiem Vs Verdasco at 1.2. Verdasco leads the H2H 3-0 and the damp conditions means Thiems heavy topspin will be nullified more than normal. Will look to exit for 25-30% profit.

In at 1.07 and out at 1.25

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Hi - can anyone help with my query below, or is it best to email queries re the tennnis software?
Thanks

Ryan

@martin-futter

Ive got high hopes just looking at that list for Thiem one!

Martin

@simon got Ryan's 3-3 4-4 picks sent out but will post them here too:

Atp - Singles Rome 16/05/2019 09:00:00 Thiem D. Verdasco F.
Wta - Singles Rome 16/05/2019 09:00:00 Anisimova A. Bertens K.
Wta - Singles Rome 16/05/2019 09:00:00 Osaka N. Cibulkova D.
Wta - Singles Rome 16/05/2019 10:30:00 Halep S. Vondrousova M.
Atp - Singles Rome 16/05/2019 10:30:00 Chardy J. Nadal R.
Atp - Singles Rome 16/05/2019 10:30:00 Sousa J. Federer R.
Wta - Singles Rome 16/05/2019 10:30:00 Keys M. Kenin S.
Atp - Singles Rome 16/05/2019 12:00:00 Albot R. Fognini F.
Atp - Singles Rome 16/05/2019 12:00:00 Djokovic N. Shapovalov D.
Wta - Singles Rome 16/05/2019 12:00:00 Putintseva Y. Kvitova P.

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Early start in Rome today, same trades as yesterday as was no play at all.
Some players will have to play twice today against fresh legs so worth watching out for. For example the winner of Sousa Vs Federer will have to play a fresh Borna Coric later in the day.

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The tennis stats software - when I select "Player" and then whatever criteria I need, how do I know which player it is referring to on the final list?

So, as an example, stat subject is player, stat type is total, the stat is broke first. Then operator is greater / equal to 5 in the last ten matches. All comps, etc etc (I'm looking for players who have broken 1st at least 5 out of the last ten matches). I run the query and get a list of matches, but I can't see which player is the player that's broken 1st at least 5 out of the last ten matches.

Is there a way of finding out?

Ryan

@simon Thats about the only thing I have on my list for today!

Agree totally his game is not suited to this anyways, the damp will only make this worse.

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Another wee trade i like today is to have a cheap lay of Thiem Vs Verdasco at 1.2. Verdasco leads the H2H 3-0 and the damp conditions means Thiems heavy topspin will be nullified more than normal. Will look to exit for 25-30% profit.

Ryan

@ryan-carruthers said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

Rome Today

I like the look of a couple of games today in Rome, which is where my focus will be. I have 2 for the WTA and one on the Mens side of of the tournament.

1pm

Bencic v Sevastova

Bencic is the value player for me here, but at the current price of just over 1.5 it will be one that I will watch, I think if she has a tough first set (which could happen) then I will look to back her @ 1.80+ as I think she will grow into the match and will have enough to see off her opponent to be honest over the course of the match.

***Trade write up:

She did trade much higher as she did drop the first set, seemed to take forever for me to get my entry point. Small dabble @ 0-2 in the second as I was thinking she was growing dropped the next game but it wasn't a major issue as she was playing well in my eyes and moved it through to get out end of the second. ***

1.50pm

Garcia v Mladenovic

Only one player for me in this one, Garcia her price is amazing value I have her as the heavy fav here and I am surprised that we are being treated to this, I will let them both have a serve if both players hold their serve I will back Garcia - I will be out if she wins the first set, will take the loss if she loses control in the first set.

***Trade write up

3pm Dimi v Struff

I like the price on Dimi here, currently 1.79 he is a hell of player when he wants to be so again let them both take a serve if they both hold then similar to the above I will back Dimi and trade out when he wins the first set, taking the loss if he loses control

**Trade write up:

Lost her first serve, which meant a no trade. Turned out that saved us a loss. I know people don't like the let them both take a serve but yesterday 3 trades. 2 no trades saved because of it, saving losses one win!***

3pm

Dimi dropped his serve, which became a no trade. Good for us because he actually dropped the first set and the match, saved us a loss.**

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Watchlist for today:

Back if a break down before 4-4 or 1 set down.

EDIT - Going to discount Schwartzman. His form isn't sitting right with me.
Fognini (will only back if loses S1)
Cilic (will only back if loses S1)

WTA low PJH picks
Anisimova
Vondrousova
Siniakova

Also still have Kohlschreiber from yesterday as a value pick.

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Forecast in Rome for rain all day, might not get much play but will take a look at the card anyway.

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@lee-woodman thank Lee. These are doing well at the moment. It’s been a well needed good run

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@simon Appreciate you posting these up! Its good to follow someone who knows what theyre talking about

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@simon said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

My watchlist for today:

Back if a break down before 4-4 or a set down
Bautista Agut
Zverev
Djere

One on the WTA low PJH
Collins (Wozniacki has fitness concerns so will tread v carefully on this one)

I also think Kohlschreiber should be evens vs Cecchinato, current BF price is 2.32. I’ll let both players serve then back Kohl if both hold.

RBA - no trade
Zverev - win on break back. Scratch on second set (removed liability when he was a break up)
Djere - win on break back. Loss on second set.
Collins - no trade
Kohlschreiber- yet to start but may take the evening off as it’s been a good day.