2022 Tennis Trading Thread

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

Who else but Djok tomorrow. If I can lay Bautista @ 4.9 I'm in.

Almost got on but djok broke too early in the 3rd.

[Ryan]

These two defy all logic!

[Richard Latimer]

Who else but Djok tomorrow. If I can lay Bautista @ 4.9 I'm in.

[Ryan]

Not for me either, I actually don't do that much on the slams!

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing on the tenniss tomorrow. Halep just falls short on account of her PJH% being less than Svitolina's.

[Ryan]

@richard-latimer Novak played well!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

Only Querrey/Nadal doesn't qualify as a potential today with Nadal's overall ELO dwarfing Querrrey but surface elo being significantly worse.

Numbers to the right are odds I have left my unmatched lays in at. Quite a ways to go on all of them so maybe none get matched today. We'll see.

Djokovic trade just about as easy as it gets!

[Richard Latimer]

Only Querrey/Nadal doesn't qualify as a potential today with Nadal's overall ELO dwarfing Querrrey but surface elo being significantly worse.

Numbers to the right are odds I have left my unmatched lays in at. Quite a ways to go on all of them so maybe none get matched today. We'll see.

[Richard Latimer]

@ryan-carruthers said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer have you taken out the S1/S2/S3 data out of the sheet?

I did when Adam was looking into them and not sure of need to add back at the moment as I'm just looking for a better price and letting the trade run until it's looking sketchy

[A Former User]

@frode-lia said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

Backing O1.5 @ 1.4 in UiTM v Sabah.
Backing O0.5 @ 1.4 in Astana v Cluij.

Risk 1 pt.

[Richard Latimer]

@frode-lia said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

Backing O1.5 @ 1.4 in UiTM v Sabah.
Backing O0.5 @ 1.4 in Astana v Cluij.

Wrong thread haha

[A Former User]

Backing O1.5 @ 1.4 in UiTM v Sabah.
Backing O0.5 @ 1.4 in Astana v Cluij.

[Ryan]

@richard-latimer have you taken out the S1/S2/S3 data out of the sheet?

[Ryan]

@richard-latimer It seems you were the ones running these trades bud, what I hear in your post there as well was that you managed the risk and the actual event and what was happening was leading the decision making process not the numbers on the screen - well played sir!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

Just the one in tomorrows quarters. Price already there is apparently value so I'll wait for the first couple of games and then either get in or leave unmatched.

It's lay Zang by the way

[Richard Latimer]

Just the one in tomorrows quarters. Price already there is apparently value so I'll wait for the first couple of games and then either get in or leave unmatched.

[Richard Latimer]

An alltogether more important day today in terms of the long term trading aspect I feel. 2 outright winners from the ones I managed to get in price wise but more importantly on the 2 losers I didn't lose anything.

After Pliskova won the first set I dripped out around 60% of the liability to ensure I was in a position to get out easy enough if things went south. I wasn't particularly interested in cashing out completely at this point as seemed like the profit was still minimal in terms of my initial risk and stake on that risk.

Knowing I held the cards I kept hold of the trade waiting for Pliskova to break but safe in the knowledge I could get out if the break didn't come or worse, went the other way. The break did go the wrong way and I cashed out immediately for break even which in the scheme of things I was more than happy to do. The fact she broke back immediately is neither here nor there, as is the fact she went on to lose in the end. I was well out.

Lay on Pella was matached when he won the 4th set and drew the match at 2 sets a piece. I monitered it from there on looking out for a break either way. When no break came and Raonic survived match point on his serve I realised I had already stayed in too long and with the win of hiis service game to tie it up once more I got out for tiny profit.

Small steps but for the most part I felt in control with these today.

[Richard Latimer]

@ryan-carruthers said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer Yep, I would have a think about the players as well - try get their strengths mapped out then you can see what you will be looking for from them to turn it around.

Example: KA Pliskova

Attacking, big serve, slower starter, hits the ball very flat - usually with power.
Tactic employed and I'm kind of happy even though the bitch broke back next game. I removed more than half liability from muchova after pliskova won first set. Profit was never that great yo fully cash and whole she was on top and I had the odds and low liability in my favour I stayed in. Muchova broke and I got out immediately for a break even.

[Ryan]

@richard-latimer Yep, I would have a think about the players as well - try get their strengths mapped out then you can see what you will be looking for from them to turn it around.

Example: KA Pliskova

Attacking, big serve, slower starter, hits the ball very flat - usually with power.

[Richard Latimer]

@ryan-carruthers said in 2019 Tennis Trading Thread:

@richard-latimer I think that was his entry point, not 100% sure but sure he did something like that.

Does my contingency plan sound solid enough?