2022 Tennis Trading Thread
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Verdasco v Mannarino game looks like it could be tasty, I mean they are both useless in my eyes. But Mannarino has the value for me at the moment, I’d have him as fav to be honest @ 2.8 that’s a good price - I will let them both serve and back Mannarino should they both hold their own serves and get out first set.
Half stakes for me though
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Bit of a strange week for me this week, traded 37 games for 0.5pts profit.
3.5pts loss over 9 games in ATP games but 4pts profit over 28 WTA games. Small sample size but maybe should have stuck to the WTA.
On the positive side, no losses of more than 1.1pts but no profits above this either.
Althought there are a couple of tournaments this week, probably going to take this week off and look at more research especially when the draws come out later in the week
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@chris-osborne said in 2020 Tennis Trading Thread:
@chris-osborne said in 2020 Tennis Trading Thread:
With the weather yesterday and games being postponed just 35 games today weather permitting, be good game selection practice for the French Open in a couple of weeks.
The highlight looks like it could be one of the final games in Lyon - Karatsev v Sinner
Karatsev v Sinner pushed back to today teo evenly matched players. If both motivated, got three sets written all over it
Konjuk v Putintseva probably thr stand out game on WTA side of things, Putintseva highest seed remaining aftet Pavlyuchenkova pulled out but is wildly inconsistent, I think there's value on Konjuh at 2.36.
Both of these came in although didn't get involved in the Karatsev game as he took the 1st set 6-0
Konjuh banked a nice 0.6pt profit after the first set.
Putintseva is another of thise players and its a growing list who is ranked far too high and is helped by the Protected Rankings, whereas Konjuh is on the comeback trail after 3 years out injured. If she carries on at this rate, will be back in top 100 by end of the year.
With the bad weather in Belgrade and Lyon yesterday, schedules all over the place 3 players in Belgrade will be playing twice today weather permitting.
Gauff v Anisimova is the standout game today for me, a repeat of a US Open Girls final from a few years ago. Gauff should win but if she starts slowly or serves a high proportion of double faults both if which she is prone to do, could make it interesting.
ATP Thiem v Norrie probably the highlight of a poor slate of games. Norrie been in good form and Thiem is recovering from an injury in Australia. Norrie probably needs to take the first set
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@chris-osborne Same! Annoying when that happens
but it has saved my arse so many times -
@chris-osborne said in 2020 Tennis Trading Thread:
With the weather yesterday and games being postponed just 35 games today weather permitting, be good game selection practice for the French Open in a couple of weeks.
The highlight looks like it could be one of the final games in Lyon - Karatsev v Sinner
Karatsev v Sinner pushed back to today teo evenly matched players. If both motivated, got three sets written all over it
Konjuk v Putintseva probably thr stand out game on WTA side of things, Putintseva highest seed remaining aftet Pavlyuchenkova pulled out but is wildly inconsistent, I think there's value on Konjuh at 2.36.
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@ryan Definitely, I'd moved on after two games
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@chris-osborne He was as well lol broken serve way too early so a bit of a damp squid for me didn't even need to get in!
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@ryan alot depends for me on Fognini and whether he can be bothered
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2pm Fognini v Pella
Looking at it both of these players aren't that great, but I do think Pella is better than the price he is being given here of 3 is value to me, with his stats and his game I have him priced at 2.44 to win the match, now I won't be trading it that far as I am more focused first set only.
I will let them both have a serve and look to back Pella if they both hold their serve and get out if he wins the 1st set.
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With the weather yesterday and games being postponed just 35 games today weather permitting, be good game selection practice for the French Open in a couple of weeks.
The highlight looks like it could be one of the final games in Lyon - Karatsev v Sinner
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@james-woodroffe thanks for the info. It has to be a strange tournament when Pliskova wins matches comfortably.not to mention one of Martic or Pegula will be in the semi finals
Seriously Barty should win this fairly easily although her match with Gauff could be interesting tomorrow
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@chris-osborne mate it’s the turn around from Madrid and normally the French Open follows Rome almost straight away. It’s a tough tournament to gage especially if someone has a good Madrid tournament normally Rome is a bit of an afterthought. This year it should have been a little different with the French postponed by a week but still seeing odd results. Nadal will most likely play either Opelka or Delbonis in a Masters semi on clay
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@chris-osborne Rome is always crazy! They put something in the soil I'm sure
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Finding this a difficult tournament to trade so many of the favourites especially on the WTA side don’t look interested.
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@karl-mccarthy said in 2020 Tennis Trading Thread:
@ryan Nice 1 point made from that first set.
Nice result, completely missed the notification of the match starting
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@james-woodroffe Med will be my main trade today then I think, if the weather holds off
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Good day yesterday, dreadful today, only traded three games Bencic, Vondrousova and Konta.
Bencic and Vondrousova capitulating against two of the worse players out there in straight sets in Mladenovic and Tomjlanovic I can’t work out although both of there serves were horrendous. Konta is someone who is ranked far too high doesn’t deserve to be in the top 100 on current form even then she should have given Ostapenko a decent game but didn’t.
With the games cancelled today loads scheduled for tomorrow
my modelling has taken a pounding recently - good to see its back with a few tweaks.