Attacking Betfair Trading
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Hey All,
2023 Goal earn 100 points from my O1.5 and U1.5 Strats. Plan to post daily selections. I track my bets from excel so will post updated links to google sheets at the End of the month to hold me to account. Confident can do it been profitable last 6 months of 2022 after about 18 months of trying to figure out trading. Got my plan going to ignore the noise and stick to what i am doing for this year.
Be some ups and downs along the way but hopefully by December will have +100 Points
O1.5 Filter
0_1678723150633_filter-settings (9).txt
O1.5 Odds Less than or equal to 1.25 before KO -
Sorry for not posting much still be trading but most trades are weekends now and i am training for three peaks and gnr so my weekends have been filled with getting up early and excersing so finding it hard to keep todate will post a EOM review soon
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@James-Rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Todays
O1.5
DC United Real Salt Lake +098
Sporting Kansas City Los Angeles FC +0.98U1.5
NoneSince Jan 2023
O1.5 +23.34
U1.5 +11.59 -
Todays
O1.5
DC United Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City Los Angeles FCU1.5
NoneSince Jan 2023
O1.5 +21.38
U1.5 +11.59 -
@Trevor-H said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Hi James. Are you doing yourself a disservice by awarding -4 pts to every O1.5 loser but only +0.98 to every winner? If your odds are better than 1.25, then should your return on winners be 0.98*(ODDS - 1)/0.25? Also, on your spreadsheet, in monetary terms 1pt on the U1.5 = 4 points on the O1.5 (£10 vs. £2.50 on your spreadsheet). Would you adjust for that in live trading? Good luck with the challenge.
Hi Trevor
Thanks for the question. So the reason i risk 4 Points for the Overs trade as when i look at my data by backing with 1 Point over the year I would of made roughly 25 Points for the year. So i decided to lay to win a point instead so instead I would of made 100 Points for the year. I have thought about increasing it to 1.3 or even just entering at HT if games are 0-0 or 1-0
I have two different banks for both stradegy why the amount of money are different i am manily focusing on the points earned
I hope that answers you question if not please let me know. Always happy to answer questions
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Hi James. Are you doing yourself a disservice by awarding -4 pts to every O1.5 loser but only +0.98 to every winner? If your odds are better than 1.25, then should your return on winners be 0.98*(ODDS - 1)/0.25? Also, on your spreadsheet, in monetary terms 1pt on the U1.5 = 4 points on the O1.5 (£10 vs. £2.50 on your spreadsheet). Would you adjust for that in live trading? Good luck with the challenge.
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Weekend Results
O1.5
Chicago Fire Columbus Crew +0.98
Vancouver Whitecaps Cincinnati +0.98U1.5
C-Osaka Kobe -1.0
Machida V-Varen Nagasaki -1.0
Kofu Renofa Yamaguchi -1.0
Seoul Pohang -1.0Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +21.38
U1.5 +11.59 -
@James-Rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Today
O1.5
Los Angeles FC Atlanta United -4.0U1.5
Qingdao Jonoon Shanghai Shenhua +2.16Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +19.42
U1.5 +15.59 -
Today
O1.5
Los Angeles FC Atlanta United -4.0U1.5
Qingdao Jonoon Shanghai ShenhuaSince Jan 2023
O1.5 +19.42
U1.5 +13.43 -
@James-Rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Today
O1.5
Sivasspor Kayserispor - Didnt Get MatchedU1.5
NoneSince Jan 2023
O1.5 +23.42
U1.5 +13.43 -
Today
O1.5
Sivasspor KayserisporU1.5
NoneSince Jan 2023
O1.5 +23.42
U1.5 +13.43 -
@James-Rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Saturday
O1.5
Kasimpasa Besiktas +0.98
Reims Montpellier +0.98
Brest Rennes +0.98
Nice Lyon - Didnt Get Matched
Paris SG Clermont - Didnt Get Matched
Monaco Toulouse +0.98U1.5
NoneSunday
O1.5
NoneU1.5
Daejeon Incheon -1.0
Udinese Juventus +2.94Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +23.42
U1.5 +13.43 -
Today
O1.5
Kasimpasa Besiktas
Reims Montpellier
Brest Rennes
Nice Lyon
Paris SG Clermont
Monaco ToulouseU1.5
NoneSince Jan 2023
O1.5 +19.50
U1.5 +11.49 -
So wont lie last 2 months have been hard over my year data the last 2 months on the overs have been the worst most it lost before then from a years data is -11.0
i am dedicated to doing this for a full year highs and lows and still 30% up overall but its hard atm as losing alot but got to remember where come from and overall still up
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Apolgises for not posting lately ive been so busy with work atm but calming down a bit now
so heres my EOM Review
O1.5
Trades:45
Winners: 33
Win Rate:73%
Profit/Loss: -11.66U1.5
Trades:54
Winners: 18
Win Rate: 33%
Profit/Loss: +11.49Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +19.50
U1.5 +11.49 -
Today
O1.5
New England Revolution Chicago Fire +0.98
Los Angeles Galaxy Charlotte -4.0
Manchester United Fulham
Aston Villa Brighton
Brentford Manchester City
Lazio CremoneseU1.5
Qingdao Jonoon Shandong Luneng
Shenzhen Meizhou Hakka
Bologna Napoli
Atl. Madrid Real SociedadSince Jan 2023
O1.5 +21.54
U.5 +8.79 -
@James-Rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Today
Wolfsburg Hertha Berlin -DGM
Dortmund 1. FSV Mainz 05-DGM
FC Koln Bayern Munich -DGM
B. Monchengladbach FC Augsburg -DGM
Eintracht Frankfurt SC Freiburg +0.98
VfB Stuttgart Hoffenheim +0.98
Bochum Bayer Leverkusen +0.98
FC Porto Guimaraes -DGM
Rennes Monaco +0.98
Lille Nantes +0.98
Strasbourg Paris SG +0.98U1.5
Fiorentina AS Roma -1.0
Clermont Lorient -1.0Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +21054
U.5 +8.79