Attacking Betfair Trading
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Today None
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Does anyone do anything with EV (Expected Value) Ive just attempted to add it to my excel data sets but just looking to talk to someone to Check if along the right lines. Just with my filter i look for O1.5 That are below 1.25 before KO then look to get matchec at 1.25 in play
So for my EV i am doing this below. Just checking this is right and its useful. Its just when i get matched at 1.25 in play theres less time for goals so is it really postive EV or not ?
EV= (Profit x Probability ) + ( Loss x Probability)
so for my trades for example a game is 1.18 pre match so calculate it as
EV = (2.45 x (1/1.18)) + (-10 x (1-(1/1.18))
EV= 2.076 + (-1.525)
EV=£0.551Does anyone know if this looks right
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Today
None
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@james-rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Todays
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +7.44
None
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +1.34
Utsikten Orgryte v Trelleborg -4.0
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +7.44
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 -2.66 -
One Game now qualfies
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Todays
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +7.44
None
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +1.34
Utsikten Orgryte v Trelleborg
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@james-rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Today
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +7.44
None
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +4.36
Vasteras SK Brommapojkarna -4.0
AFC Eskilstuna Jonkoping +0.98Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +7.44
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +1.34 -
Today
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +7.44
None
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +4.36
Vasteras SK Brommapojkarna
AFC Eskilstuna Jonkoping -
Weekend Results
Sorry no posts being doing DIY
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +7.44
Benfica v Arouca
O1.5 - Didnt Get Matched
SHG +0.98Porto v Martimo
O1.5+0.98
SHG +0.98Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +4.36
Rosenborg Ham-Kam +0.98
Kawasaki Frontale Yokohama M. +0.98
Sandefjord Viking +0.98
Stromsgodset Sarpsborg 08 +0.98Had a couple more selections didnt get matched
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +10.38
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +8.28 -
Decent weekend will post results tomorrow at some point
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Season Bets
Put a bet on Liverpool to Win the league for 1 points looking to remove red when odds drop maybe after games
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Today
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +7.44
Benfica v Arouca
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +4.36
None
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@james-rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Today
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +7.44
Brann v Start
SHG - Didnt Get Matched
O1.5 -4.0Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +4.36
PEPO v Gnistan +0.98
Orgryte v AFC Eskilstuna - Suspended GameRatings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +7.44
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +4.36 -
Today
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +11.44
Brann v Start
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +3.38
PEPO v Gnistan
Orgryte v AFC Eskilstuna -
@james-rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Today
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +11.44
None
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +2.40
Fram Stjarnan +0.98
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +11.44
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +3.38 -
On a tough run atm last 10 games had 5 losers got to stay calm and remember variance is random easy when you on a winning run trading is hard when you on stickypatch just got to stick to your plan
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Today
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +11.44
None
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +2.40
Fram Stjarnan
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@james-rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:
Today
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +11.44
None
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +6.40
KA KR Reykjavik -4.0
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +11.44
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +2.40 -
Today
Ratings O1.5 & SHG - Total since June 2022 +11.44
None
Filter O1.5 - Total since May 2022 +6.40
KA KR Reykjavik
