Attacking Betfair Trading

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Hey All,

2023 Goal earn 100 points from my O1.5 and U1.5 Strats. Plan to post daily selections. I track my bets from excel so will post updated links to google sheets at the End of the month to hold me to account. Confident can do it been profitable last 6 months of 2022 after about 18 months of trying to figure out trading. Got my plan going to ignore the noise and stick to what i am doing for this year.

Be some ups and downs along the way but hopefully by December will have +100 Points

O1.5 Filter
0_1678723150633_filter-settings (9).txt
O1.5 Odds Less than or equal to 1.25 before KO

U1.5
0_1678723176697_filter-settings (10).txt

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Sorry for not posting much still be trading but most trades are weekends now and i am training for three peaks and gnr so my weekends have been filled with getting up early and excersing so finding it hard to keep todate will post a EOM review soon

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@James-Rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:

Todays
O1.5
DC United Real Salt Lake +098
Sporting Kansas City Los Angeles FC +0.98

U1.5
None

Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +23.34
U1.5 +11.59

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Todays
O1.5
DC United Real Salt Lake
Sporting Kansas City Los Angeles FC

U1.5
None

Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +21.38
U1.5 +11.59

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@Trevor-H said in Attacking Betfair Trading:

Hi James. Are you doing yourself a disservice by awarding -4 pts to every O1.5 loser but only +0.98 to every winner? If your odds are better than 1.25, then should your return on winners be 0.98*(ODDS - 1)/0.25? Also, on your spreadsheet, in monetary terms 1pt on the U1.5 = 4 points on the O1.5 (£10 vs. £2.50 on your spreadsheet). Would you adjust for that in live trading? Good luck with the challenge.

Hi Trevor

Thanks for the question. So the reason i risk 4 Points for the Overs trade as when i look at my data by backing with 1 Point over the year I would of made roughly 25 Points for the year. So i decided to lay to win a point instead so instead I would of made 100 Points for the year. I have thought about increasing it to 1.3 or even just entering at HT if games are 0-0 or 1-0

I have two different banks for both stradegy why the amount of money are different i am manily focusing on the points earned

I hope that answers you question if not please let me know. Always happy to answer questions

Trevor H

Hi James. Are you doing yourself a disservice by awarding -4 pts to every O1.5 loser but only +0.98 to every winner? If your odds are better than 1.25, then should your return on winners be 0.98*(ODDS - 1)/0.25? Also, on your spreadsheet, in monetary terms 1pt on the U1.5 = 4 points on the O1.5 (£10 vs. £2.50 on your spreadsheet). Would you adjust for that in live trading? Good luck with the challenge.

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Weekend Results

O1.5
Chicago Fire Columbus Crew +0.98
Vancouver Whitecaps Cincinnati +0.98

U1.5
C-Osaka Kobe -1.0
Machida V-Varen Nagasaki -1.0
Kofu Renofa Yamaguchi -1.0
Seoul Pohang -1.0

Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +21.38
U1.5 +11.59

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@James-Rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:

Today
O1.5
Los Angeles FC Atlanta United -4.0

U1.5
Qingdao Jonoon Shanghai Shenhua +2.16

Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +19.42
U1.5 +15.59

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Today
O1.5
Los Angeles FC Atlanta United -4.0

U1.5
Qingdao Jonoon Shanghai Shenhua

Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +19.42
U1.5 +13.43

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@James-Rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:

Today

O1.5
Sivasspor Kayserispor - Didnt Get Matched

U1.5
None

Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +23.42
U1.5 +13.43

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Today

O1.5
Sivasspor Kayserispor

U1.5
None

Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +23.42
U1.5 +13.43

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@James-Rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:

Saturday

O1.5
Kasimpasa Besiktas +0.98
Reims Montpellier +0.98
Brest Rennes +0.98
Nice Lyon - Didnt Get Matched
Paris SG Clermont - Didnt Get Matched
Monaco Toulouse +0.98

U1.5
None

Sunday
O1.5
None

U1.5
Daejeon Incheon -1.0
Udinese Juventus +2.94

Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +23.42
U1.5 +13.43

Martin

@James-Rome love that attitude, I know losing months stink but they are part of the game for all good traders!

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@Martin I said at the start of the year going to do it for a full year as need to experience the high and more importantly the lows.

Martin

@James-Rome good idea to keep going, we know May will be a tough month for winter leagues as teams play so differently (Southampton scored 4 at home to Liverpool and Everton scored 5 away to Brighton!)

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Today

O1.5
Kasimpasa Besiktas
Reims Montpellier
Brest Rennes
Nice Lyon
Paris SG Clermont
Monaco Toulouse

U1.5
None

Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +19.50
U1.5 +11.49

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So wont lie last 2 months have been hard over my year data the last 2 months on the overs have been the worst most it lost before then from a years data is -11.0

i am dedicated to doing this for a full year highs and lows and still 30% up overall but its hard atm as losing alot but got to remember where come from and overall still up

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Apolgises for not posting lately ive been so busy with work atm but calming down a bit now

so heres my EOM Review

O1.5
Trades:45
Winners: 33
Win Rate:73%
Profit/Loss: -11.66

U1.5
Trades:54
Winners: 18
Win Rate: 33%
Profit/Loss: +11.49

Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +19.50
U1.5 +11.49

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Today

O1.5
New England Revolution Chicago Fire +0.98
Los Angeles Galaxy Charlotte -4.0
Manchester United Fulham
Aston Villa Brighton
Brentford Manchester City
Lazio Cremonese

U1.5
Qingdao Jonoon Shandong Luneng
Shenzhen Meizhou Hakka
Bologna Napoli
Atl. Madrid Real Sociedad

Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +21.54
U.5 +8.79

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@James-Rome said in Attacking Betfair Trading:

Today

Wolfsburg Hertha Berlin -DGM
Dortmund 1. FSV Mainz 05-DGM
FC Koln Bayern Munich -DGM
B. Monchengladbach FC Augsburg -DGM
Eintracht Frankfurt SC Freiburg +0.98
VfB Stuttgart Hoffenheim +0.98
Bochum Bayer Leverkusen +0.98
FC Porto Guimaraes -DGM
Rennes Monaco +0.98
Lille Nantes +0.98
Strasbourg Paris SG +0.98

U1.5
Fiorentina AS Roma -1.0
Clermont Lorient -1.0

Since Jan 2023
O1.5 +21054
U.5 +8.79