LTD set and forget (if you wish)
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Just looking and, in France at least, the odds range to avoid is 3.4 to 3.49- loses 8 points. The 3.25 to 3.4 wins you 13.
The last time there was a game with away between 2 and 2.2 and the draw odds under 3.4 was 2018. Just shows that in this case the home draw specialists, Dijon, played to form.
Across all the leagues, that odds range, 3.4 to 3.49, wins you 38 points. -
@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@richard-latimer said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
24th Jan
This is what's on offer today:
Ignore the Porto game as that isn't taking place today.
Dijon Strasbourg is worth keeping an eye on as Strasbourg is around 2.
Did anyone else Dijon? Did it fit the criteria by KO?
It fit criteria for this strategy as far as I can see but like I keep saying, the points tally for draw odds under 3.51 makes this way more volatile from the data.
Maybe, but:
France Ligue 1 is still very profitable up to 2.2
Dijon are home draw specialists-
I was hoping that this pattern would end.
Do you know how many points have been scored between 2.01-2.2 in France then? I would imagine most of the draw odds would be lower in these instances.
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@richard-latimer said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
24th Jan
This is what's on offer today:
Ignore the Porto game as that isn't taking place today.
Dijon Strasbourg is worth keeping an eye on as Strasbourg is around 2.
Did anyone else Dijon? Did it fit the criteria by KO?
It fit criteria for this strategy as far as I can see but like I keep saying, the points tally for draw odds under 3.51 makes this way more volatile from the data.
Maybe, but:
France Ligue 1 is still very profitable up to 2.2
Dijon are home draw specialists-
I was hoping that this pattern would end.
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@daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
24th Jan
This is what's on offer today:
Ignore the Porto game as that isn't taking place today.
Dijon Strasbourg is worth keeping an eye on as Strasbourg is around 2.
Did anyone else Dijon? Did it fit the criteria by KO?
It fit criteria for this strategy as far as I can see but like I keep saying, the points tally for draw odds under 3.51 makes this way more volatile from the data.
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
24th Jan
This is what's on offer today:
Ignore the Porto game as that isn't taking place today.
Dijon Strasbourg is worth keeping an eye on as Strasbourg is around 2.
Did anyone else Dijon? Did it fit the criteria by KO?
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@daniel-cooper Not a problem brother!!
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@terry-cooke thanks!!! Also, thanks @Lee-woodman , that would have been fab also!
cheers guys -
@daniel-cooper here see if this is what you need. I download all my stats daily
0_1611489523583_20210120 - Daily Stats.xlsx
0_1611489533339_20210121 - Daily Stats.xlsx
0_1611489541181_20210122 - Daily Stats.xlsx
0_1611489548965_20210123 - Daily Stats.xlsx
0_1611489558727_20210124 - Daily Stats.xlsxFilter out LTD Set and Forget
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24th Jan
This is what's on offer today:
Ignore the Porto game as that isn't taking place today.
Dijon Strasbourg is worth keeping an eye on as Strasbourg is around 2.
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@daniel-cooper I can post a screenshot of what i have if its any good? You may need to type the data out into your sheet but better than nothing if youre stuck
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Does someone have the Excel run off of the two filters (2.0 and 2.2) for Friday and today? I think I missed them, traded them from checking the filter and here but never pulled them off!
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
23rd Jan
In addition, Dover Solihull Eng National qualifies. But for reasons unknown this game is not on betfair.
1.1 pts today- Had to use smarkets for the Dover Solihull game.
Did you not have Dunkerque on your list? It was on mine but draw odds too low for the price point I'm looking at.
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
23rd Jan
In addition, Dover Solihull Eng National qualifies. But for reasons unknown this game is not on betfair.
1.1 pts today- Had to use smarkets for the Dover Solihull game.
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@alastair-todd said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@eamonn-hogan said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
It just isn't profitable for this strategy, Eamonn.
Thanks Stuart,
I'm not sure Serie A or B are profitable either on today's results - bloody italians!
On any other day Inter score haha! I do think the profit of 23pts across 7.5 years on odds of 3-3.5 is almost negligible when you look at the big picture. Strike rate goes down and volatility goes up. I got on Ascoli by mistake but I wouldn't do it again. I imagine a few teams in Serie B may have low draw odds especially at the end of the season as you mentioned Stuart. This probably goes some way to explaining why the profit on that league isn't so good.
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@eamonn-hogan said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
It just isn't profitable for this strategy, Eamonn.
Thanks Stuart,
I'm not sure Serie A or B are profitable either on today's results - bloody italians!
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
It just isn't profitable for this strategy, Eamonn.
Thanks Stuart,
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It just isn't profitable for this strategy, Eamonn.
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I notice la liga is not on the list, do you have records of it, must be poor is it?
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
23rd Jan
In addition, Dover Solihull Eng National qualifies. But for reasons unknown this game is not on betfair.
I'm keeping an eye on Augsburg as well in case the odds come in for away team.
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23rd Jan
In addition, Dover Solihull Eng National qualifies. But for reasons unknown this game is not on betfair.
