LTD set and forget (if you wish)
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My April was just under 8pts profit
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@stuart-capstick Thats fantastic Stuart, much appreciated
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@eamonn-hogan Thanks for checking that mate. I wonder if it is a time thing. When would you say you normally do the checks for the games? Or do you just grab what Stuart kindly posts here?
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Here is everything from April. You can check each game on each date. I've always included the daily total and score.
April 2nd 1.1
April 3rd -3.7
April 4th -4.14
April 5th -2.6
April 6th 0.98
April 7th -0.55
April 8th -1.1
April 9th 1.96
April 10th 5.75
April 11th 2.82
April 12th 1.96
April 13th 1.96
April 15th 0.98
April 16th 6.86
April 17th scratch
April 18th 7.84
April 19th -2.82
April 20th 3.1
April 21st -6.7
April 22nd -2.2
April 23rd -1.4
April 24th 8.82
April 25th -3.4
April 26th -6
April 27th 0.98
April 28th 0.98
April 29th 4.9
April 30th 2.94 -
My April was -6.
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@daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@matt-wood that is a big difference. I’ll check my April now
Thanks
I clearly am doing something wrong here. -
@matt-wood that is a big difference. I’ll check my April now
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@stuart-capstick Thanks for the reply
My next task was to go through what has been posted here and see how it compares to my list. I think you posted a little while back that April had been a good month so had a look at mine. All games was 10.5pts loss. Removing anything over 5.5 odds was a 3.5pt loss. Im sure you posted something like 20 pts gained! A slightly different list might account for a bit but Im surprised by the difference. You might be right though about the busy days although I run the filter every day to check.
I did wonder if the time at which someone runs the filter/checks for the qualifiers would make a difference? I do it first thing in the morning, usually around 6am and had wondered if the data/odds would change that much from the night before.
Im sure I miss the odd game as I tend to rely on the software to generate my list and it does seem to miss games from the more obscure leagues so. Most days I do check in here though to compare the posted list you kindly do for us.
Again, please dont take any of this as any kind of attempt to poke holes in your system as its not meant that way at all. Im sure you and others do very well out of this
and it was fantastically generous of you to give this to our community. I just have a tedious brain that needs to understand everything :weary_face: -
At the time of writing, I don't even know if this game qualifies.
Do you get on every game? In this type of system missing a busy day can be the difference between profit and loss for the month: some days in April have been clean sweeps with nearly 9 points, one day it lost 7 points.
Have a look at what is posted on here and compare to what you have.
It may also be an idea to stick to the 3.5 to 5.5 range. I lay mine the night before, trying to hit that range. So, if it is currently 6.5, I'll lay for 5.5, queue it and hope it gets matched. Sometimes, with the "scarier" prices I'll aim for a little lower and get matched also.
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
Thanks to Daniel for putting up today's selections. Meant to do it last night as normal but got distracted.
If the Toulouse qualifies, it could be classed as a must win game for both teams: one to secure promotion play off, Le Havre are just above relegation and could do with the win.
Afternoon Stuart.
Using the Le Harve game as an example, do you take form into account with these? Toulouse have an appalling away from over the last 5 games, 1pt. Le Harve have an almost equally bad home form, 2pts.Only asking out of curiosity as I (paper trading) still dont make a profit on these. Not in any way having a poke at the system you have spent ages building. I am sure, 100% sure, it is something I am doing wrong and need to figure it out before I commit actual money to it.
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
Thanks to Daniel for putting up today's selections. Meant to do it last night as normal but got distracted.
If the Toulouse qualifies, it could be classed as a must win game for both teams: one to secure promotion play off, Le Havre are just above relegation and could do with the win.
Well spotted!
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Thanks to Daniel for putting up today's selections. Meant to do it last night as normal but got distracted.
If the Toulouse qualifies, it could be classed as a must win game for both teams: one to secure promotion play off, Le Havre are just above relegation and could do with the win.
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Toulouse borderline
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May 4th:
Nevezis vs Zalgiris (Lithuania)
Back Palanka v Novi PazarToulouse could fluctuate to qualify for tomorrow. As could Cholet, maybe...
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
May 3rd
Tula Spartak Moscow 1-2
Vancouver Colorado Rapids 0-1
Hapoel Beer Sheva Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 (disappointing as Maccabi are challenging for the title and needed the win)
Longford Dundalk 2-2 (Jesus...No, no tantrums today....Get the Rosary Beads..)
Grenoble Clermont 1-2 with thanks to James Everard for spotting this one-4 pts
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@stuart-capstick Only on you lol
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No pressure there, James?
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@stuart-capstick So hard to judge this time of the season isn't it? i suppose best to look for clubs where only one team needs to win . I will follow your advice as it is pretty clear that you have spent a vast amount of time and effort collating data and it is clearly a profitable system. Thanks mate.
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I'd say Clermont needs the win to secure promotion and Grenoble needs the win to stay in the play off spots.
That's a guaranteed 0-0 or, in my case given often I hit strike upon them, a 2-2 with a 98th minute equaliser..
