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LTD set and forget (if you wish)

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #401

    @stuart-capstick I can’t imagine the tantrum if it finished 2-2 πŸ˜‚

    S 1 Reply Last reply
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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    wrote on last edited by
    #402

    May 7th

    There are some Serie B games that qualify:

    Cosenza Monza
    Entella Chievo

    I'm only going in on the Cosenza game. Monza needs the win to push for automatic promotion. However, Chievo is in the play off positions and can't really push any higher; Entella is doomed.
    But, as ever, at your own peril.

    Smorgon Neman Grodno (Belarus)

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #403

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    6th May

    Roma Man Utd 3-2

    Yes, I know Man Utd won 6-2 last time, but they are not the type of team to play out a 0-0...he says confidently....

    0.98 pts

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    wrote on last edited by
    #404

    I got 4.10 matched in Ehime at 10 minutes to 10 last night on Betfair

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    wrote on last edited by
    #405

    6th May

    Roma Man Utd

    Yes, I know Man Utd won 6-2 last time, but they are not the type of team to play out a 0-0...he says confidently....

    S 1 Reply Last reply
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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #406

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    May 5th

    Ehime Iwata0-0
    Rio Ave Sporting currently 0-2

    There are two games in Serbia (Cajetina Metalac and Rad Beograd Crvena Zvezda) but the games seem to have little at stake: Crvena has won the league by a country mile, Cajetina is already relegated, Metalac is firmly mid table etc). At your own peril, really, but I'm not touching them.

    Past my bedtime, but in the best case scenario, today will be -1.97

    As can be seen below I laid Ehime Iwata overnight at 3.95 (I think the lay price at the time was 4.4 or 4.5 on smarkets).
    0_1620250932816_2afee23f-3da2-4b0e-ad2d-3615639c2233-image.png

    In Serbia, Metallac won (should have ignored me) but there was a 2-2 in the Rad Crvena game. I think if I'd been caught by another 2-2, I'd be looking to sell my soul to Satan.

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  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    wrote on last edited by
    #407

    Cajetina Metalac finished 1-0, so you’d be up by just a point, HOWEVER, Rad Beograd Crvena Zvezda ended 2-2, and I think the lay odds were at 6.3 or something at K/O - good read by @Stuart-Capstick, thanks for the heads up πŸ‘πŸ» I avoided both as suggested

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  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #408

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    May 5th

    Ehime Iwata
    Rio Ave Sporting

    There are two games in Serbia (Cajetina Metalac and Rad Beograd Crvena Zvezda) but the games seem to have little at stake: Crvena has won the league by a country mile, Cajetina is already relegated, Metalac is firmly mid table etc). At your own peril, really, but I'm not touching them.

    Thanks for the transparency and your insight with these picks! 😁

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    wrote on last edited by
    #409

    May 5th

    Ehime Iwata
    Rio Ave Sporting

    There are two games in Serbia (Cajetina Metalac and Rad Beograd Crvena Zvezda) but the games seem to have little at stake: Crvena has won the league by a country mile, Cajetina is already relegated, Metalac is firmly mid table etc). At your own peril, really, but I'm not touching them.

    Daniel CooperD S 2 Replies Last reply
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  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #410

    @mark-gorton said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @stuart-capstick traded Toulouse but missed Cholet...both of which greened....thanks Stuart.

    I traded Toulouse too, between 4pm and 5pm today it was well within qualifying, it slipped out again towards kick off, after I had already entered. Don't worry about Cholet, I was watching it all day and pretty sure it never qualified πŸ™‚

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #411

    @stuart-capstick traded Toulouse but missed Cholet...both of which greened....thanks Stuart.

    Daniel CooperD 1 Reply Last reply
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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to Daniel Cooper on last edited by
    #412

    @daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    May 4th:

    Nevezis vs Zalgiris (Lithuania) 0-2
    Back Palanka v Novi Pazar 0-1

    Toulouse could fluctuate to qualify for tomorrow. As could Cholet, maybe...

    1.96 pts

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by Stuart Capstick
    #413

    @matt-wood

    The easiest way to see if you are going wrong is to look at the profitable days on the list. If you aren't in profit on those days ( I mean the ones where I'm in profit by 5-8 points) at all, then something has gone wrong.

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  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #414

    @stuart-capstick Really appreciate you taking the time to help out here, legend 🀘

    thanks also @Daniel-Cooper and @Eamonn-Hogan

    More evidence of the great community aspect on here!

    Catch that Green!

    S 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #415

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    I think there are a few things happening here:

    1. I get on every game; even the 10.5 type prices, because I trust the system
    2. The BTC filter doesn't capture every game that qualifies. I check manually the night before and sometimes on the day spot games (or another poster spots games) that qualify
    3. I queue for lower than the offered price. Doing so overnight for a game in the evening of the following day gives a good chance of being matched.

    Me too, I queue one tick above the offered BACKING price which is sometimes way below the offered Lay price

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  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    wrote on last edited by
    #416

    I was on the Nevezis vs Zalgiris game, but have cashed out for about 30p under full profit due to the liability being so high.

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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    wrote on last edited by
    #417

    I think there are a few things happening here:

    1. I get on every game; even the 10.5 type prices, because I trust the system
    2. The BTC filter doesn't capture every game that qualifies. I check manually the night before and sometimes on the day spot games (or another poster spots games) that qualify
    3. I queue for lower than the offered price. Doing so overnight for a game in the evening of the following day gives a good chance of being matched.
    Daniel CooperD Matt WoodM 2 Replies Last reply
    2
  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #418

    @matt-wood I did as far as I was aware I did! πŸ™‚

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    1
  • Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt WoodM Offline
    Matt Wood
    replied to Daniel Cooper on last edited by
    #419

    @daniel-cooper Thanks mate, did you get on every game?

    Catch that Green!

    Daniel CooperD 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to Matt Wood on last edited by
    #420

    @matt-wood said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @eamonn-hogan Thanks for checking that mate. I wonder if it is a time thing. When would you say you normally do the checks for the games? Or do you just grab what Stuart kindly posts here?

    I use the BTC filter generally, If it misses something I would use Stuarts posts. I only traded 3.5-4.1 from 11th onwards so I would not have been on all trades. I am up 20 points on this from Jan

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

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