LTD set and forget (if you wish)
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@terry-cooke said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@richard-latimer said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
Looking like another 3 for today!
Yeah, I've just seen. Not getting notifications on these ones on purpose as seeing no point in stressing myself out haha!
I've done the same! It does make all the difference
I only jumped on one today but only had 2 on my filter, guess it depends on when the stats are pulled. Congrats all!!
I specifically didn't do English National but odds were pretty static on the other 2 in Turkey and Germany.
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@daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@richard-latimer said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
Looking like another 3 for today!
Yeah, I've just seen. Not getting notifications on these ones on purpose as seeing no point in stressing myself out haha!
I've done the same! It does make all the difference
I only jumped on one today but only had 2 on my filter, guess it depends on when the stats are pulled. Congrats all!!
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@richard-latimer said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
Looking like another 3 for today!
Yeah, I've just seen. Not getting notifications on these ones on purpose as seeing no point in stressing myself out haha!
I've done the same! It does make all the difference
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@daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
Looking like another 3 for today!
Yeah, I've just seen. Not getting notifications on these ones on purpose as seeing no point in stressing myself out haha!
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Looking like another 3 for today!
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@richard-latimer said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
The draw market is always the most inefficient of markets as it's the hardest to predict and do the hardest to price correctly.
I'm just trying to go through your spreadsheet to find s/r for away because there seems to be a lot of away wins.
Forget that. 58% when draw odds at best price point. Some leagues better than others. S
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
The draw market is always the most inefficient of markets as it's the hardest to predict and do the hardest to price correctly.
I'm just trying to go through your spreadsheet to find s/r for away because there seems to be a lot of away wins.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
The draw market is always the most inefficient of markets as it's the hardest to predict and so the hardest to price correctly.
About 60% of the results are away wins, so you'd need odds of over 1.67.
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What strikes me is if the draw market is so inneficient then surely this must point to inneficiency elsewhere. Either both the home and away odds would hold a small edge or one of them would hold a bigger edge. Is this something you've already looked at @Stuart-Capstick?
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There we go
2-0 and zero stress -
@richard-latimer said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
I'm specifically avoiding the score as it's not something I need to monitor and will almost certainly be less stressful. I would advise everyone to do the same.
Amen to that.
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I'm specifically avoiding the score as it's not something I need to monitor and will almost certainly be less stressful. I would advise everyone to do the same.
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
I just leave it. I trust the data knowing that every now and again, I'll lose.
If it stays 1-0 and it's near the end, you could cash out, but for reduced profit.
Nice one, your a scholar and a gent my friend
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I just leave it. I trust the data knowing that every now and again, I'll lose.
If it stays 1-0 and it's near the end, you could cash out, but for reduced profit.
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@Stuart-Capstick, what do you do if the dog scores first, do you just leave it regardless and hope that they win, or that the fav comes back to win, or do you scratch it out when (& if) the odds go back to the entry point?
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@lee-woodman
You've nailed what I was trying to say, Lee. The forum here is where you learn so much, rather than any "tips".
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Its great that you have shared this. A lot of people dont like to share too much but i find it actually benefits your own work when you do. You tend to get asked stuff which gets you thinking in maybe an alternative way or you get a different perspective on what you are doing which often helps tweak things.
By the way, i love the disclaimer; theres no twats here, well in fact there may be but i dont see anyone acting like one so im good with that
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19th Jan
Kayerispor Basaksehir Turkey 1300
Mainz Wolfsburg 1930A potential is Dagenham Stockport in the Eng National- hovering around 2, but Eng National is my least preferred league.
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As I said in the header post, I've gained so much from this community. Without wanting to get maudlin and gushy, look at some other trading forums: they look awful.
It's worth repeating- there are no twats in this community. Or, maybe better put, twattish behaviour isn't displayed here because of the example set by the community members. -
@daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
Anyone one tonight, I got on for same odds as @Richard-Latimer, really happy with this since I started tracking!
Jinxed - statistical downswing incoming hahaha
The good thing is you've got 7 years of profitable data to back it up. Not sure how you came across this @Stuart-Capstick but just this alone could be enough to build a really solid bank.
I'm also incredibly thankful because it's easy enough to post selections but the analogy of teaching someone to fish rather than just giving them some cod works here. Not so much teaching how to fish but also supplying the rod and the bait haha!
