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LTD set and forget (if you wish)

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
1.5k Posts 40 Posters 88.8k Views
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  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1161

    @richard-latimer

    Just looking and, in France at least, the odds range to avoid is 3.4 to 3.49- loses 8 points. The 3.25 to 3.4 wins you 13.

    The last time there was a game with away between 2 and 2.2 and the draw odds under 3.4 was 2018. Just shows that in this case the home draw specialists, Dijon, played to form.
    Across all the leagues, that odds range, 3.4 to 3.49, wins you 38 points.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #1162

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @richard-latimer said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    24th Jan

    This is what's on offer today:

    0_1611478193165_5e11ecdd-fd1f-418c-b1b6-d9618d00b0f2-image.png

    Ignore the Porto game as that isn't taking place today.

    Dijon Strasbourg is worth keeping an eye on as Strasbourg is around 2.

    Did anyone else Dijon? Did it fit the criteria by KO?

    It fit criteria for this strategy as far as I can see but like I keep saying, the points tally for draw odds under 3.51 makes this way more volatile from the data.

    Maybe, but:

    France Ligue 1 is still very profitable up to 2.2
    Dijon are home draw specialists-
    0_1611513560854_b7fa35df-1240-425c-b0d3-0059c5af2b93-image.png

    I was hoping that this pattern would end.

    Do you know how many points have been scored between 2.01-2.2 in France then? I would imagine most of the draw odds would be lower in these instances.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    S 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #1163

    @richard-latimer said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    24th Jan

    This is what's on offer today:

    0_1611478193165_5e11ecdd-fd1f-418c-b1b6-d9618d00b0f2-image.png

    Ignore the Porto game as that isn't taking place today.

    Dijon Strasbourg is worth keeping an eye on as Strasbourg is around 2.

    Did anyone else Dijon? Did it fit the criteria by KO?

    It fit criteria for this strategy as far as I can see but like I keep saying, the points tally for draw odds under 3.51 makes this way more volatile from the data.

    Maybe, but:

    France Ligue 1 is still very profitable up to 2.2
    Dijon are home draw specialists-
    0_1611513560854_b7fa35df-1240-425c-b0d3-0059c5af2b93-image.png

    I was hoping that this pattern would end.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Daniel Cooper on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #1164

    @daniel-cooper said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    24th Jan

    This is what's on offer today:

    0_1611478193165_5e11ecdd-fd1f-418c-b1b6-d9618d00b0f2-image.png

    Ignore the Porto game as that isn't taking place today.

    Dijon Strasbourg is worth keeping an eye on as Strasbourg is around 2.

    Did anyone else Dijon? Did it fit the criteria by KO?

    It fit criteria for this strategy as far as I can see but like I keep saying, the points tally for draw odds under 3.51 makes this way more volatile from the data.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    S 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #1165

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    24th Jan

    This is what's on offer today:

    0_1611478193165_5e11ecdd-fd1f-418c-b1b6-d9618d00b0f2-image.png

    Ignore the Porto game as that isn't taking place today.

    Dijon Strasbourg is worth keeping an eye on as Strasbourg is around 2.

    Did anyone else Dijon? Did it fit the criteria by KO?

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Daniel Cooper on last edited by
    #1166

    @daniel-cooper Not a problem brother!!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #1167

    @terry-cooke thanks!!! Also, thanks @Lee-woodman , that would have been fab also! 😁 cheers guys

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Daniel Cooper on last edited by A Former User
    #1168

    @daniel-cooper here see if this is what you need. I download all my stats daily

    0_1611489523583_20210120 - Daily Stats.xlsx
    0_1611489533339_20210121 - Daily Stats.xlsx
    0_1611489541181_20210122 - Daily Stats.xlsx
    0_1611489548965_20210123 - Daily Stats.xlsx
    0_1611489558727_20210124 - Daily Stats.xlsx

    Filter out LTD Set and Forget

    Daniel CooperD 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    wrote on last edited by
    #1169

    24th Jan

    This is what's on offer today:

    0_1611478193165_5e11ecdd-fd1f-418c-b1b6-d9618d00b0f2-image.png

    Ignore the Porto game as that isn't taking place today.

    Dijon Strasbourg is worth keeping an eye on as Strasbourg is around 2.

    Daniel CooperD S 2 Replies Last reply
    2
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Daniel Cooper on last edited by A Former User
    #1170

    @daniel-cooper I can post a screenshot of what i have if its any good? You may need to type the data out into your sheet but better than nothing if youre stuck

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel CooperD Offline
    Daniel Cooper
    wrote on last edited by
    #1171

    Does someone have the Excel run off of the two filters (2.0 and 2.2) for Friday and today? I think I missed them, traded them from checking the filter and here but never pulled them off!

    ? ? 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #1172

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    23rd Jan

    0_1611392979791_7976100a-aaf2-4c12-901e-6f52a42f852e-image.png

    In addition, Dover Solihull Eng National qualifies. But for reasons unknown this game is not on betfair.

    1.1 pts today- Had to use smarkets for the Dover Solihull game.

    Did you not have Dunkerque on your list? It was on mine but draw odds too low for the price point I'm looking at.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #1173

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    23rd Jan

    0_1611392979791_7976100a-aaf2-4c12-901e-6f52a42f852e-image.png

    In addition, Dover Solihull Eng National qualifies. But for reasons unknown this game is not on betfair.

    1.1 pts today- Had to use smarkets for the Dover Solihull game.

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Alastair Todd on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #1174

    @alastair-todd said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @eamonn-hogan said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @eamonn-hogan

    It just isn't profitable for this strategy, Eamonn.

    Thanks Stuart,

    I'm not sure Serie A or B are profitable either on today's results - bloody italians! 😂

    On any other day Inter score haha! I do think the profit of 23pts across 7.5 years on odds of 3-3.5 is almost negligible when you look at the big picture. Strike rate goes down and volatility goes up. I got on Ascoli by mistake but I wouldn't do it again. I imagine a few teams in Serie B may have low draw odds especially at the end of the season as you mentioned Stuart. This probably goes some way to explaining why the profit on that league isn't so good.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Alastair Todd
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #1175

    @eamonn-hogan said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @eamonn-hogan

    It just isn't profitable for this strategy, Eamonn.

    Thanks Stuart,

    I'm not sure Serie A or B are profitable either on today's results - bloody italians! 😂

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #1176

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    @eamonn-hogan

    It just isn't profitable for this strategy, Eamonn.

    Thanks Stuart,

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    A 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    replied to Eamonn Hogan on last edited by
    #1177

    @eamonn-hogan

    It just isn't profitable for this strategy, Eamonn.

    E 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • E Offline
    E Offline
    Eamonn Hogan
    wrote on last edited by
    #1178

    I notice la liga is not on the list, do you have records of it, must be poor is it?

    Trading spreadsheet
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1uQGqrD_SJLxH3URHO1lgDPqecTGXwCdTDREJIRcrkeU/edit#gid=415583658

    S 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Stuart Capstick on last edited by
    #1179

    @stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):

    23rd Jan

    0_1611392979791_7976100a-aaf2-4c12-901e-6f52a42f852e-image.png

    In addition, Dover Solihull Eng National qualifies. But for reasons unknown this game is not on betfair.

    I'm keeping an eye on Augsburg as well in case the odds come in for away team.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • S Offline
    S Offline
    Stuart Capstick
    wrote on last edited by Stuart Capstick
    #1180

    23rd Jan

    0_1611392979791_7976100a-aaf2-4c12-901e-6f52a42f852e-image.png

    In addition, Dover Solihull Eng National qualifies. But for reasons unknown this game is not on betfair.

    Richard LatimerR S 2 Replies Last reply
    0

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