LTD set and forget (if you wish)
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@matt-wood said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
Morning all,
KTP vs Haka popped up for me this morning
Cheers
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Finland has been overperforming (yes, I know, given the shite, parlous state of this strategy this month, that seems daft) lately: 1 loss since May.
These two teams are near the bottom of the league...This now means a 7-0, 0-7 victory, I'm sure, but I'm giving this one a miss.
BUT- I like the chances of a SHG in this one.
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@stuart-capstick Cheers mate
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July 19th
There have been two consecutive draws in Lithuania. Time for a change.......
Dainava Riteriai
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
July 18th
Ehime Tokyo Verdy 2-2
Waterford Sligo 1-0Oh look! A 2-2 scoreline with a 90+ minute equaliser.......
For f**k's sake...
-3pts for me today.
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Yes, James, just the top tiers only.
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
I've been looking at the data (including all the 2021 material and other leagues). The winter leagues all look solid.
I'll be adding Chile and Paraguay to the list.
J1 is a goner.
Uruguay, Denmark (both Superliga and Division 1) may also get added.
Some people have asked about the Netherlands. Great figures, but very unlikely that we'd get matched.Two selections yesterday
Grorud Alesund (1-2)
Rentistas Liverpool Montevideo (2-1)- Uruguay, but jury is still out in this league.Hi Stuart i take it just the Chile Prem and not the second tier as well? Paraguay doesn't matter as i haven't ever seen a second tier match on Betfair.
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@keith-anderson
Last month, for sure. Bastards.
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Wonder if it’s more profitable just backing the 2-2 scoreline?!
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Three things here:
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I think there is an optimum number of successive wins from each league. Belarus had three on the trot and then the 2-2 yesterday. I need to do a little more work on this before any conclusions.
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I seriously think there is value in bunging some money on 2-2 at HT if we have 1-1, 2-1 or 1-2.
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Some leagues it may be better to lay U1.5 than LTD. Again, needs a little more stat testing.
Anyway, I've been in profit with this thing since last September. I guess it was due a losing month or two.
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
July 18th
Ehime Tokyo Verdy 2-2
Waterford SligoOh look! A 2-2 scoreline with a 90+ minute equaliser.......
For f**k's sake...
I saw the 1-2 scoreline for a while and did think to myself "this is awfully close to our famous 2-2" and here it is!!! It is insane how often its been happening XD oh well, the usual peaks and troughs of any strat! Onwards and upwards
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@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
July 18th
Ehime Tokyo Verdy 2-2
Waterford SligoOh look! A 2-2 scoreline with a 90+ minute equaliser.......
For f**k's sake...
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July 18th
Ehime Tokyo Verdy
Waterford Sligo -
@stuart-capstick said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
July 17th
Smorgon Energetik 2-2
Oulu HJK 2-1Ah yes, that incredibly rare result, 2-2.....
Two other games came up:
Partizan (Serbia) and Atlanta. Both winners.I ended up -2 pts, but if you got on all four, you'd have scratched.
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@stuart-capstick Nice one i didnt get matched on the first Belarus game but the other two more than made up for it - my max lay odds are below 4 - combined with Keiths 2 for 2 on his U1.5 was a decent day on the set and forgets.
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July 17th
Smorgon Energetik
Oulu HJK -
Right, looks like we are back in business.
Three winners tonight. I didn't post because although I was confident enough to lose my own money, I draw the line at extending that confidence to other people's money.
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@chris-osborne said in LTD set and forget (if you wish):
@stuart-capstick thanks Stuart
Agreed, Thanks for your words of wisdom Stuart
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@stuart-capstick thanks Stuart
