MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY
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Afternoon all update for September. Much quieter month with summer leagues coming to a conclusion and winter leagues not having enough data( min of 10 matches overall played). Although today i have a few leagues now meet the minimum requirement so many more matches on my potential filters for October.
As discussed before i am now sticking to two strategies that have been profitable month on month now , laying the underdog if they take the lead and also the last 10 mins goal system.
My balance before at the end of August was £652.10 with stakes of £13.04 ( but these i do as 4 splits to enhance profit)
Here are the results for SeptemberLaying the underdog if they take the lead
Total trades 24
Won 12
lost 12
s/rate 50%
profit £151.21
points profit 11.60Breakdown of the above system
Laying home underdog
Trades 10
won 4
lost 6
s/rate 40%
Profit £98.75
points 7.58Laying away underdog
Trades 14
won 8
lost 6
s/rate 57.14%
Profit £52.46
points 4.02System 2 - Late goal last 10mins ( split over 4 stakes on 81,85,88 and 91mins)
Trades 6
won 3
lost 3
s/rate 50%
profit £ 53.80
points 4.13So overall profit for the month of September was £201.01 , so my new balance is £857.11 and new stakes of 2% of the bank now being £17.14
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@james-everard yeah won't be long before that big winter league boost in selections!
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A couple of losing trades in the last couple of days , but still healthily uo so far this month. Never seen so little trades on the possibility list for the weekend, and maybe even less if any of the leagues mentioned by others the other day are on the list ( i haven't removed the leagues , as i know i will forget to reinstate them when they resume next season) but made notes on the leagues to avoid.
Looking at the league tables within 2 weeks the winter leagues will have played 10 matches and some may appear on my filters. I see the Championship has played 9, Leagues 1&2 have played 8 along with most of the european leagues . The best news now finally is i think the mentality is now set and it doesn;t bother me there is nothing to trade and i am just finding other things to occupy my time whilst in a slow period of trading. -
Morning all , update from yesterday's trades
I traded two matches in my late goal strategy, with this system i split the stakes in 4 , of £3.26 stakes on 81,85.88 and 90+1 mins. I had one winner and one loser yesterday
The Losing trade was the Colombian A match which i layed under 0.5 goals and the matched ended 0-0 so a loss of £13.04.
The winning trade was in the South Korean K1 match between Seoul vs Suwon City, the score on entry was 2-1 and the final score was 2-2 with a 94min equaliser that won me £41.51.And i had one trade on laying of the underdog if they take the lead , this was a loss but i only trade 1/2 a point on this match in the Lithuanian A match between DZiugas Telsiai vs Suduva . I was annoyed with myself on this trade as i shouldn't have traded , i checked the lineups and the away side which was the favourite was missing the top two goal scorers the match ended 2-1 to the underdog. So a loss of £6.52 on this trade
A have 9 matches on my filters today 8 laying the undedog and 1 late goal , will update this evening how i get on good luck all today with your trading
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Been a quiet month on the trading so far with the winter leagues not meeting my minimum of 10 matches played and for some reason there have been very few matches from the summer leagues meeting the criteria to trade.
Only my 3rd and 4th trades of the month this evening ,i had a nice winner this evening on laying the underdog in the Irish Div 1 with Galway getting a 96min equaliser to boost the bank nicely with a profit of £98.12.
The weekends tend to produce a few more matches than midweek and a few games are on my two filters for tomorrow.
I am going to try to be like Richard a bit more and update my blog more regularly to help me keep myself motivated and accountable . -
@dan-mackinnon Sorry Guys
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@chris-osborne said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@james-everard said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@chris-osborne I need to give a team by 3pm will look at lunchtime to see if he been given the boot if he hasn’t Brighton it is
Nothing personal but hope you go no further
Went with Spurs in mine so still in - still have Man City and Liverpool available whichmight not be a good thing currently
I agree with that statement
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@james-everard said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@chris-osborne I need to give a team by 3pm will look at lunchtime to see if he been given the boot if he hasn’t Brighton it is
Nothing personal but hope you go no further
Went with Spurs in mine so still in - still have Man City and Liverpool available whichmight not be a good thing currently
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@james-everard I take it you went for those lot on the South coast?
I’ve only seen the highlights but how did Newcastle not score?! I’m definitely happy with the point
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@dan-mackinnon said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@james-everard we did this in our office a couple of years back. I won it with Liverpool beating Palace. One of my lowest moments
Palace have Newcastle away, we’ve got a terrible record up there and Newcastle are looking decent. The only thing is we might play 5 at the back and try and get a draw. I also think saint maximum is out?
Otherwise, maybe Nottingham Forrest? There’s no obvious standout
Fingers Crossed the other competitors either Chose Newcastle, Forest , Man City or Liverpool. Palace are looking a strong outfit this season even with a very difficult set of fixtures at the start a good point as you predicted
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@chris-osborne I need to give a team by 3pm will look at lunchtime to see if he been given the boot if he hasn’t Brighton it is
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@james-everard we did this in our office a couple of years back. I won it with Liverpool beating Palace. One of my lowest moments
Palace have Newcastle away, we’ve got a terrible record up there and Newcastle are looking decent. The only thing is we might play 5 at the back and try and get a draw. I also think saint maximum is out?
Otherwise, maybe Nottingham Forrest? There’s no obvious standout
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@james-everard if we sack Rodgers tomorrow as we need to I’d steer clear otherwise Brighton should be a good shout.
I’m in a similar competition started a bit later I’ve still got Spurs available which will be my pick this weekend
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Hi all advice please not trading related but football still. I have entered a competetion a bloke at works mate runs "Last man standing", over 150 people entered at £10 a player winner takes all and i am one of 9 players left.
You have to pick a side in the Premier League to win the match ( a draw or loss you are out of the competition) , Picked so far Man City , Spurs , Liverpool, Arsenal and Crystal Palace. So i have Man Utd and Chelsea still but Utd are Playing Arsenal and Chelsea are playing West Ham i have my thoughts on Brighton to win at home to Leicester do you think that is a good move or does anyone have a different view ? Thanks -
@james-everard Hi all update for August,
after a good first couple of days of the month, it went horribly wrong on a couple of the strategies which i scrapped trading fairly early on into the month
. I stopped trading the over 1.5 goal system and for some reason i thought i would get onto a lcs on 60mins which i soon stopped also. The lay under 0.5 fh goals strategy i will be paper trading this month only as i know i missed a few matches that would have reduced the loss on this system.
Again like every month laying the underdog system was in profit which i will keep and the late 80mins plus strategy i will be continuing.
The over 2.5 goal system i thought was the strategy that was performing worst, got it wrong it was the 1.5 goal., but dont feel the need to trade a 3rd system , So will now be trading laying the underdog and the late goal 80plus onlySystem 1 - Lcs on 60mins if no 1st half goal
Trades 4
Won 0
Lost 4
s/rate 0%
Loss -£40.65
-2.95 pointsSystem 2 - Back over 1.5 goals 2.28 odds
Trades 16
won 4
lost 12
s/rate 25%
Loss -£91.18
Points -6.62System 3- Lay under 0.5 fg goals on 30mins
Trades 17
Won 4
Lost 13
s/rate 23.33%
Loss -£39.35
Points -2.86System 4- Late goal 80+mins
Trades 17
won 7
lost 10
Profit £21.48
s/rate 41.18
Points 1.56System 5- Lay the underdog
Trades 19
won 10
lost 9
s/rate 52.63%
Profit £46.62
Points 3.38 profitSystem 6- Back over 2.5 goals odds 2.28
Trades 25
Won 13
Lost 12
s/rate 52%
Profit £66.09
Points profit 4.80Total monthly loss over the 6 systems -£36.99, i now have a trading bank of £652.10 , so my new stakes will be £13.04
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@james-everard if you like LCS you should check out the ones in the daily email been on fire recently!
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as said I have scrapped the Lcs and back ov 1.5 and 2.5 systems thought I maybe onto a winner with the other 3 systems but guess what 7 losses on the bounce including a Japanese match of laying the underdog and thought finally will win a trade and decent money 97th min penalty for the favourite and of course they miss.
Will not be trading the rest of the month give me time to decide if I will bother to continue ever again
