MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY
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Feb results
Laying the away underdog if they take the lead
Trades 16
won 6
lost 10
loss of £28.47
s/rate 37.50%Laying the home underdog if they take the lead
Trades 21
won 6
Lost 15
Loss of £90.79
s/rate 28.56%Back under 1.5 First half goals ( filter based on 80% under 1.5 fh goals, also for both home and away sides, aver goals per match less than 2.5 and minimum odds of 1.30 or no trade)
Trades 6
won 6
lost 0
profit £15.93
s/rate 100%Back home(underdog) plus draw ( odds under 2.80 for away team fav)
Trades 39
won 26
lost 13
s/rate 66.66%
Profit £36.90Back away at ht if drawing
Trades 6
won 3
lost 3
s.rate 50%
Profit £31.97Back home to win h1 ( odds 2.28 )
Trades 4
won 2
lost 2
s/rate 50%
Profit £6.73Back home to win h2 if drawing at ht
Trades 4
won2
lost 2
s/rate 50%
lost £0.76Total monthly loss of £26.97 , the new bank is now £352.24, new liability stakes of £7.04
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Hi All, after a terrible run on my laying of the underdog if they take the lead i have decided to scrap altogether and started looking at different way of trading.
looking the opposite way but with a different filter all based on odds. At the end of the day trading is about trying to find a edge in the market where you believe the odds are favourable.
So i am dutching only the home/draw where the favourite odds are too low and basically backing the draw and underdog. I am further looking at the selections from the filters further based on h2h and same oppo type.
Also been trading some other markets and feel so much more confident now that i will start progressing results will be updated shortly
i was paper trading the late goal this month which would have lost loads so that is finally shelved -
@chris-osborne said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
Also be useful to run through back testing when available
the exact reason I'm not deleting anything!
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Also be useful to run through back testing when available
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@martin Hi Martin i have deleted the filter , i may look at reinstating just paper trading the system i don't want to trade any money on the system.
Hopefully the other systems will be profitable this month -
@james-everard may be worth monitoring rather than totally scrapping it
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Right spent the last two evenings recording my results for January. As feared the late goal 70 plus mins went from doing ok to a totally down turn over the last two weekends. Other strategies weren't so bad as feared and i think my head went with all these losses on this system and perhaps looking back i should have stopped trading the system after this Saturday but lesson learnt.
System 1- Lay unders market on 74mins
Trades 77
Won 28
Lost 49
Loss £47.04System 2 - Lay the away underdog
Trades 8
Won 5
Lost 3
Loss £3.22System 3 - Late goal last 10mins split stake
Trades 12
Won 3
Lost 9
Profit £0.54pSystem 4 - Lay the Home underdog
Trades 13
Won 9
Lost 4
Profit £50.40after all that i made a whopping £0.68p profit. So the start of January the bank was £378.53 , new trading bank is £379.21 and at liab stakes of £7.58.
I will scrap the the late goal 70 plus system and keep the others . -
Not a good December , with a monthly loss of £82.06. My new trading bank £378.53. New liability stakes reduced to £7.57. Although towards the end of last month things have started to improve and the start of this month has been ok , so positive thinking i can turn the tide and get back to 3 months ago where is was doing ok
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@james-everard said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
Quick update for November , will do a breakdown of the results when i get time. But certainly another poor month so much so the late goal 80plus mins has been omitted and will only trade the summer leagues which proved profitable over the summer.
Monthly loss for the Month -£150.66
New trading bank of £460.59
New stakes £9.21Will see how December goes with the laying of the underdog system, this is the only system to be traded in December , fingers crossed a turn around next month.
Just clearing my paperwork and forgot to record the breakdown of Novembers results, the breakdown is as follows
Laying of the home underdog
Trades 7
Won 2
lost 5
S.rate 28.57%
Profit - £34.58
Points profit 2.84System 2 - Laying of away underdog
trades 12
won 5
Lost 7
s/rate 41.67%
loss -£55.12
Points loss - 4.52System 3
Late goal 80 plus mins
Trades 19
Won 3
Lost 11
s/rate 21.43%
points loss -9.72
Loss of -£118.56System 4 - No late goal last 10 matches
Trades 19
won 14
lost 5
s/rate 73.68%
Loss -£11.56
Points loss -0.95I have got involved in different systems this month and will post my results at the end of the month.
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@james-everard no on that one I enter at 59 mins but I'm tracking the goal stats of it, the SHG filter looks good for this entry I've tested half the games not a massive sample size but there is a goal after 69 mins around 60%, after 59 mins it's around 79%!
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@martin said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@james-everard I'm looking at 69mins as a potentially better entry point, need to get some stats actually on last goal time
Hi Martin , i have watched the video and was going to amend my filter i had for the late goal +80mins to your entry time suggestion. But is the filter you use the saved members filter "going for a late goal any scorline" ?
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@james-everard I'm looking at 69mins as a potentially better entry point, need to get some stats actually on last goal time
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@chris-osborne Brilliant thanks Chris i will watch the video when i get back from the gym
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@james-everard Its explained here - don't neeed the Automation necessarily
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@martin Hi Martin. So the late goal filter you use is it on the preset filters ( going for a late goal anyscoreline) if so you go in with the full stake at around 74mins?
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@james-everard so the late goal filters work well for this, I need to pull up more of the goal times for this actually but basically I’m noticing that 70-74 mins can be a great entry time.
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@martin said in MY TURN FOR TO TAKE THIS SERIOUSLY:
@james-everard have you looked at 70 mins for late goal? I've found that can be a great entry point
Hi Martin , no i hadn't tried going in that early . Do you go in and do the full trade on 70mins as i was doing a split stake on 81,85,88 and 91mins, but i has gone from being great to dreadful.
My filter i had set up was as followsOverall scored in 80-90 +91+ mins 50% or greater
overall matches played greater or equal to 10
home goals for + and home goals conceded greater or equal to 50%
Away goals for + and home goals conceded greater or equal to 50%
Overall goals 91-90 + 91+ - fulltime greater or equal to 8
Home goals total for and away goals for 81-90 + 91+ mins greater or equal to 4Is your filter similar or can you point me in the right direction how to get this system profitable please?
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@james-everard have you looked at 70 mins for late goal? I've found that can be a great entry point
