Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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When I say 6 games in I mean 3 for home team and 3 for away
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In this latest endeavour I've been all about removing the matches that come up infrequently the minute I get a sniff I could be best served doing so.
I know small samples can mean very little but when I think early season form it's quite obvious it doesn't truly settle down for a while.
I started looking at all matches 6 games in indiscriminately until It became obvious that if the home team wasn't winning the majority of games early on it was a little bit russian roulette.
After last night I'm thinking that bar could be raised and. It doesn't lose many games but the games it does lose have been inconsistent.
It's a bitch that you learn these things through losing and so the real bank looks way worse than the system bank but I guess it can't be helped. Right now I'm kind of breaking even while the chart continues to creep up in the right direction.
So new rule to add which I've already added to sheet:
When either team has played less than 5 matches the home team must have won at least 80% of first few games.
As for AZ today well.........just can't legislate for that. 0-3 down @ HT to a team without a win away all season haha!!
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Was all going ok until Jong AZ had a first half to forget.
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Time to forget yesterday but also learn from it.
Sheet updated for today. I'm unsure on Dundalk due to odds and possibly even removing early season games (less than 10 combined matches) where home team has less than 100% win rate.
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Crap!! It was always going to be an 'interesting' day and 1 very late goal just about did it!
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Next game in Columbia starts under 15 mins
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Overnight games went to plan. Nothing until later tonight now. All on sheet.
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It's all about South America in the next 24hrs and specifically Columbia. Keeping fingers crossed it doesn't unravel here haha!
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@simon said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@richard-latimer thanks Richard! Also noticed typo in my original post saying “our work” rather than “your work”! I obviously have contributed zero to this haha!!
haha, you've contributed just by commenting!
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Looking like a good end to the day. Next lay in Columbia starts midnight. Lay Junior.
Updating the rest.
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@richard-latimer thanks Richard! Also noticed typo in my original post saying “our work” rather than “your work”! I obviously have contributed zero to this haha!!
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@simon said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@richard-latimer Hi Richard, New to the forum and just taking a look at our work in this thread. Where you say x% max liability given the odds range, is this the percentage of your bank?
Yes Simon, exactly
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@richard-latimer Hi Richard, New to the forum and just taking a look at our work in this thread. Where you say x% max liability given the odds range, is this the percentage of your bank?
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Columbia game currently losing but short enough odds. All other lays for tomorrow updated.
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Updating presently but next lay starts midnight. in Columbia. Deportivo Cali.
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2 lays, 2 wins
I'll update later.
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@neil-mallett said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
I can see it all now, including two games for today, currently inplay. What is the strategy? From the posted results, my guess is Lay the away team at the start. Is this correct? Do you trade out or let it run?
I was trading out in a winning position but to be honest it's pointless. Only 1 team winning at ht ended up losing so far.
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@neil-mallett said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
Aha! I feel like a blind man who's been given his sight back. Thanks, I knew something was off.
@neil-mallett said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
Aha! I feel like a blind man who's been given his sight back. Thanks, I knew something was off.
You're welcome haha! Today's looking good so far.
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@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@Neil-Mallett, the stuff you reference is stuff I put on the back burner a long time ago. These are just straight team lays from my filter 'Lay The Lot!!'
For some reason the original link I put in OP still works but link in signature asks me to login or register.
@Ryan-Carruthers what are you getting from these links?
@Neil-Mallett, is that any better now? Changed link in signature.
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@Neil-Mallett, the stuff you reference is stuff I put on the back burner a long time ago. These are just straight team lays from my filter 'Lay The Lot!!'
For some reason the original link I put in OP still works but link in signature asks me to login or register.
@Ryan-Carruthers what are you getting from these links?
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0
