Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

@neil-mallett said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

I'm sure this really is amazing, I just can't tell. I'm baffled, to be honest. I think I might be seeing the wrong spreadsheet because when I click on activity, it says "This file hasn’t been updated in the past year". So, is it possible the ink is wrong?

It isn't my intention to belittle your work, I'm just struggling to work out what I'm looking at. If there is a post on here detailing everything, please feel free to direct me there, failing that, could you help me with these particular issues.

Every game referenced seems to be from last year. (EDIT: I've just noticed there are many more games than I thought, for some reason Dropbox isn't sending any more than the first page)

I guess the FHG & LCS on the 'rules' sheet refer to your strategies in member filters, I can't see a strategy for the 1X2 H1 rules.

These two lines which appear on the strategy rules;
"Difference between criteria 6/7 should be at least 6 and no more than 1.1 on the positive and -1 on the negative" & "Difference between criteria 6/7 should be 4+ (experimenting with 3+) but no more than 1+"

How can something be at least 6 but less than 1.1 or 4+ but no more than 1+? I know I'm missing something here, I can't work out what.

I wish you the best of luck with this, whatever this is.

Cheers, Neil

Click on the link in my signature

Richard Latimer

Click on the link in my signature

Richard Latimer

As promised I've added a sheet giving general rules I'm following.

Richard Latimer

@ryan-carruthers said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

@richard-latimer this is amazing

Thanks @Ryan-Carruthers.

2 more team lays for tomorrow. All updated.

Ryan

@richard-latimer this is amazing

Richard Latimer

No team lays for Monday

Richard Latimer

Zaragoza also became the only team within odds range of 7.6-11.0 to go in @ HT losing.

Richard Latimer

Zaragoza losing gives only the 2nd loser in odds range 7.6-11.0

Richard Latimer

I need to add some rules as I did before so the filter can be followed if I don't have time to do them myself on any given day. Will look at this later.

Richard Latimer

Based on odds taken:

7 - No' of odds sub-par 3.5
6 - No. of wins in those

98 - No. of odds falling in range between 3.55-7.40
83 - Wins in that odds range
84.69 - Strike rate in %

47- No. of odds falling in range between 7.60-11.00
46 - Wins in that odds range
97.87 - Strike rate in %

22 - No. of odds falling in range between 11.50-15.00
22 - Wins in that odds range
100 - Strike rate in %

17 - No. of odds falling in range between 15.50-20.00
16 - No. of wins in that odds range
94.12 - Strike rate in %

22 - No. of odds falling in range between 21.00-25.00
22 - Wins in that odds range
100 - Strike rate in % (small sample but these have so far come pretty easily)

Richard Latimer

Thanks @Ryan-Carruthers . First game due to start shortly. Laying CD Izarra.

A couple more stats to follow...

Ryan

@richard-latimer that is some serious analysis!!

Richard Latimer

Made a few tweaks recently although mainly against early season form so time to break out some more stats for anyone still watching:

213 - Total No. of Lays
96 - No. of those winning @ HT
95 - No. of teams winning at HT which have successfully avoided defeat by the end of the match.
98.96 The above numbers by %
43 Teams winning by more than 1 goal @ HT
43 Teams who have gone on to avoid defeat when winning @ HT
100 Above numbers in % format
96 - No. of teams drawing @ HT
86 - No. of teams who have avoided defeat when drawing @ HT.
89.58 - Those numbers in %
21 - No. of teams losing @ HT
13 - No. of teams who have successfully turned that deficit around to either win or draw.
61.9 - Those numbers by %

39 - Longest winning streak
2- Longest losing streak
9 - No. of streak amounting to 10+ wins
10 - Current win streak

I'm pretty happy with the way things are going at the moment. It remains for me to turn these results into actual money.

Overs, I keep collecting data and I'm almost halfway to 1000 matches now. Hopefully when i get there a pattern will emerge.

Richard Latimer

Columbia completes the sweep for the day at decent odds.

Richard Latimer

Russia 2 and Poland 2 gone. Liquidity nowhere near good enough.

Richard Latimer

Sheet updated for the day. First game at 12:00 providing liquidity ok. If not I'll remove Russian 2 for future.

Richard Latimer

A nice overnight winner.

Richard Latimer

Early lay. Leones in Columbia.

Richard Latimer

@keith-anderson said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:

Aside from that it's a lay of Carrick Rangers anywhere 25.00 or under.

You should be fine with the Coleraine v Carrick match. Personally I wouldn't lay anything that price. Do you know our local bookies won't take single bets in the Northern Irish League at this time of the season. They only accept trebles or upwards. They believe the clubs and players are corrupt at this time of the season. These players are part-time footballers, plenty of them like to bet on the football.

I didn't know about the whole Northern Irish corruption thing mind so thanks for that. Certainly something to keep an eye on.

Richard Latimer

2 wins (1 very short odds and the other very long).

Just updating sheet for tomorrow.