Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £244.17 (+£8.39 for Dec):
Going to post these now in case I'm feeling worse for wear:
Not the Prem. League is in the red currently.
Some more stuff has shown up in English leagues so I'm going to have to force myself in front of the computer. Bugger!
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@richard-latimer Nice one Richard, well done for this
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@martin that’s what I think sometimes. When it’s slow at the start it can seem pointless but trading is like a snowball effect. I do everything on 1% compounding (or 1/2% compounding if it’s swingy). If the strategy is any good it will get where you want it in time. That little snowball will become an avalanche, especially if over time you develop a few of them.
Anyway who won the race? The tortoise or the hare?
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £244.17 (+£8.39 for Dec):
Have a good new years all!
You too mate, really love the foundation you are building here showing how to build from the ground up, of course the initial stages will be slow and not yield big profits but if it creates a winning trader then all you need to do is scale, keep up the good work!
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Have a good new years all!
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Going to post these now in case I'm feeling worse for wear:
Not the Prem. League is in the red currently.
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Considering stepping back on the current tracking of FHG. Still only up to 134 qualifying selections and some of the leagues have almost nothing. I'll still be collecting the data so if I want to look at it again in the future I can easily enough. Would hopefully have ecquired 2 or 3x as much data by then as well.
In the meantime I've noticed just from looking at a couple of the better leagues that this filter will work for the over 1.5 which may be a nice bonus in the future. I'm going to keep looking at this angle just to make sure it holds up although it won't be replacing the SHG which I believe is my golden goose haha!
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £184.41 - Current Bank £220.78 (+£6.57 for Nov):
LCS Bournemouth @ 5.1 1-0 HT
2-0. Dec ends in small profit to the tune of almost 3pts.
+£8.39
Bank £244.17 -
LCS Bournemouth @ 5.1 1-0 HT
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@john-folan said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £184.41 - Current Bank £220.78 (+£6.57 for Nov):
Your posts seem more consistently positive. So there has definitely been a turning of the worm. You are still the Tinkerman but if it works for you then crack on my friend. What the f*** do any of us really know anyway?
Here’s to a cracking 2022
I've been thinking the same of late. Certainly seems to be light at the end of the tunnell. Big upturn in positivity in posts in the last few weeks.
Good luck for 2022
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The difference is I'm tinkering on one consistent which I have never ever done before. Not only that that but collecting every piece of data allows me to put it in and out again like the hokey cokey haha!!
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@john-folan said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £184.41 - Current Bank £220.78 (+£6.57 for Nov):
Your posts seem more consistently positive. So there has definitely been a turning of the worm. You are still the Tinkerman but if it works for you then crack on my friend. What the f*** do any of us really know anyway?
Here’s to a cracking 2022
I used to get really frustrated and blame luck all the time etc. VAR and all that. I now look at it from the point of view that luck had almost nothing to do with it. Analyze the data, find the mistake if there is/was one, correct it for future reference if necessary and move on.
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Your posts seem more consistently positive. So there has definitely been a turning of the worm. You are still the Tinkerman but if it works for you then crack on my friend. What the f*** do any of us really know anyway?
Here’s to a cracking 2022
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I could literally copy and paste keiths post here, what works for you is the most important, hopefully 2022 is a year you turn this theory into £££s and get to the level of trading you aspire to, good luck mate
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@stuart-capstick said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £184.41 - Current Bank £220.78 (+£6.57 for Nov):
@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £184.41 - Current Bank £220.78 (+£6.57 for Nov):
The other incredible positive is that my qualifying data for how it could and should (ok not quite as some leagues only being watched) have gone for Dec is 78/80
Instead, I got hit by a few of the more outlying outliers and skipped on a few of the less outlying outliers, I ignored warnings that were there on a small range in the odds at 2-0 which looked dicey (for me, so much of what happens is down to the pre-match odds certainly on this filter and there are 3,500 lines of data to back that up) and I also placed a trade in the first game in all my data which had 2x reds in the FH.
I'm not saying I could have reached 78/80 as that would have been a points total of +65.64 there or thereabouts when in actuality I have achieved around 2pts touch wood.
I definitely believe I could have come in the top bracket though so 30+ with a little more nous.
Well done, Richard. You've worked incredibly hard on this in the face of considerable scepticism. So glad it's paying off for you.
Cheers Stuart.
2022 will be the real litmus test. Have to start turning theory into actual $
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@richard-latimer Yes it is, but at least its a positive step for you
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £184.41 - Current Bank £220.78 (+£6.57 for Nov):
The other incredible positive is that my qualifying data for how it could and should (ok not quite as some leagues only being watched) have gone for Dec is 78/80
Instead, I got hit by a few of the more outlying outliers and skipped on a few of the less outlying outliers, I ignored warnings that were there on a small range in the odds at 2-0 which looked dicey (for me, so much of what happens is down to the pre-match odds certainly on this filter and there are 3,500 lines of data to back that up) and I also placed a trade in the first game in all my data which had 2x reds in the FH.
I'm not saying I could have reached 78/80 as that would have been a points total of +65.64 there or thereabouts when in actuality I have achieved around 2pts touch wood.
I definitely believe I could have come in the top bracket though so 30+ with a little more nous.
Well done, Richard. You've worked incredibly hard on this in the face of considerable scepticism. So glad it's paying off for you.
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You know how I feel about this. Too much faffing around for so little outcome.
However, you’re in profit and that’s important. Secondly, if what you do suits your trading style and you’re consistently profitable, then it really is none of my business
Hope you also smash it in 2022
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@dave-hayes said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £184.41 - Current Bank £220.78 (+£6.57 for Nov):
@Richard-Latimer Well done on your trades Richard. Excellent work.
Thanks. Next year is the real test!
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@Richard-Latimer Well done on your trades Richard. Excellent work.