Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £244.17 (+£8.39 for Dec):

Full update:

More or less the same. Left out today was Kasimpasa based on it being outlier territory. Still only 2x qualifiers with ave as low as 1.5 for home team so it would remain an outlier. Nevertheless more important data.

Only 1 for tomorrow and I'll post in the evening.

When I went to look at my settled bets I noticed an error which luckily worked for me rather than came back to bite me in the arse! I somehow managed to lay under 4.5 twice in the Empoli game.

Should have been a loss of just under 2pts yesterday but I'll take it haha!

Only one potential tonight in Portugal. I'll post up in a bit.

Richard Latimer

Full update:

0_1642983957894_48fdf4a8-96cc-4892-94c9-9965115027e8-image.png

More or less the same. Left out today was Kasimpasa based on it being outlier territory. Still only 2x qualifiers with ave as low as 1.5 for home team so it would remain an outlier. Nevertheless more important data.

Only 1 for tomorrow and I'll post in the evening.

Richard Latimer

Another 3/4 and I've just taken a look at the Mechelen game to see if I would do it again and yes I would. 100%!!

First 0-1 loss in Belgian Jupiler
Plenty more wins with higher home odds
Ave goals, home ave and home SH ave all in what I would consider the sweet spot
Over odds plenty high enough.

I won't say one of those weekends. Fri was decent enough and Sat/Sun just stopped me moving forward on that. Frustrating but looking at the big picture I'm in decent profit for Jan still and there have been a mountain of postponed games. Still one week and even if it is an international break I'm sure there will be a few trades.

Richard Latimer

Here's tomorrow:

0_1642898474274_b529d45d-ffe9-48e2-a00b-3db168fba335-image.png

Only 2-0 in Aus would facilitate a trade there so if I miss it from being asleep it's most likely not going to amount to a hill of beans!

Richard Latimer

Well here's what happened today in the big picture:

0_1642898080185_60f6ec05-4704-4e28-8557-b7a921b5988f-image.png

I went 3/4 for a 1pt loss.

On top of this Portugal has played itself into contention on the basis the odds are so good there and with 6 wins/0 losses at present even a loss will leeave the league in small profit.

Laliga continued the 100% record when 0-0 as a HT result is taken away. The home odds were in outlier territory today but it all adds to the data and makes the solid evn more solid!

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £244.17 (+£8.39 for Dec):

There will be a full update later as always but loss of around 1pt today and Eng National league taken off the board temporarily.

Still profitable but not by enough and another quick loss could take it too close to break even. Need another few successful games there before I'll add it back in.

Ah what a conundrum. I'm still 89% on that league and another quick loss would leave me a pt to the good and put the league on pause for a time. However 1 more win and that league is still in a position of strength to grow so do I play the next qualifier knowing if it wins I would play the next anyway or do I pause for 1 game what is more than likely a pts green?!

I'll probably pause it.

Richard Latimer

There will be a full update later as always but loss of around 1pt today and Eng National league taken off the board temporarily.

Still profitable but not by enough and another quick loss could take it too close to break even. Need another few successful games there before I'll add it back in.

Richard Latimer

Just realised I accidentally added Ger regionalliga west. That one is a watch league. Also Union Berlin has way too low SHG ave.

Richard Latimer

Not league 2 yet, not enough data

Richard Latimer

0_1642849153752_3df3c862-8b9a-4cf0-9d0f-1ed6aee8c402-image.png

John Folan

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £244.17 (+£8.39 for Dec):

@chris-osborne I initially planned to do it until stakes reached more than the input but I'm over halfway there now and I need the excess in my normal bank more than I do here now so yeah that's it.

Milestone reached