Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

Stupid stupid Estonia. Chastening! It's not a knee jerk decision to rule that crappy league out. It was just a stupid one to trade it in the first place.

Stats are wildly swayed to one side, liquidity is crap and I don't trust the league. Still pondering on the Meistriliiga but so far that's been ok.

Richard Latimer

Well after a decent Friday and a disappointing Sunday it took an injury time goal.

Still just about have chance for a winning weekend with one trade Monday.

Richard Latimer

Oh Estonian lower league, why did I let you do this to me???

1 selection from that league all year and it's an absolute car crash.

I so can't wait for Winter Leagues to kick in proper. Still seems like only a few in play for me at present with mostly the dregs of summer.

Richard Latimer

Richard Latimer

Ok the odds have come down to 1.35 to lay and it's not started. Avoiding like the plague!!!

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

2/2 last night.

All Czech games postponed because of dangerous weather.

Just Malaysian game left today.

Looks like the odds are going to be too low for this one. Currently 1.83 to lay.

Richard Latimer

2/2 last night.

All Czech games postponed because of dangerous weather.

Just Malaysian game left today.

Richard Latimer

@Peter-Williams all home lays yes

Peter Williams

@Richard-Latimer Is this Lay the home team Richard?

Richard Latimer

This looks to be everything for the weekend.

Richard Latimer

Looking ahead to Friday:

Lay home

Richard Latimer

Game should have been 2.56 at most to lay but I got sidetracked trying to help the missus and couldn't get on. Every time I upped my price hoping to get matched the lay price went out again.

In the end I left it until ht then decided to go in with less stake at higher odds as the amount I stood to lose was similar and at least I could make a gain. In the end it was the former and really shouts out to me that I need to be more organised.

In the end, with a portfolio, I plan to get a VPS and BF Bot Manager. Have already been researching but that's a little while off yet.

Richard Latimer

And 2-0 so weekend rather as you were. I'll post up specifics in a bit. Took a slightly higher hit than normal from being disorganised but I'll explain that when I post the figures.

Richard Latimer

1-1 tonight

Richard Latimer

1-1

nick

@Richard-Latimer Congrats on finding something during the International break.

Richard Latimer

Can now add a 3rd for this weekend!

Richard Latimer

The cancelled Uruguayan game has finally been rearranged:

Lay both home teams.

The hope is definitely that home teams in this system are inferior to the away teams but it's also a question of current run etc for both teams. I stopped looking at home teams that hadn't won at home for 2+ games as the results were dreadful. Plentiful and dreadful.

I also stopped looking at any teams where the h2h record isn't the full 10 games that my filters look at. These were very inconsistent.

Hopefully my sheet which is attached explains quite a lot but if you have any other questions please ask.

Richard Latimer

It's 16 different filters of conceding, scoring and h2h as explained above.

I follow the data as long as it makes sense and doesn't have me looking down a rabbit hole.

A record that's too good can be just as detrimental as one that's not good enough.

Joe Beeston

Morning Richard,

I have been having a look at this every day, just to see how you are getting on Every positive September so far, lets hope that carries on. Also, still positive in for August, which isn't to be sniffed at.

I am just keen to learn from your thought process, so I can see that you are laying the home team. Is this working on the basis that the home team is clearly the weaker team of the 2 teams, but because they are at home, you can lay a slightly cheaper lay price?