Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Goal in Paraguay already. Under coming up in Ecuador at 2am.
Sheet updated for unders now.
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So far analysis shows no reason to get rid of any playoff games in the unders. Mores the point to keep excluding Mexico and Venezuela haha!
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Currently going through the analysis of playoff games in the unders but an over coming up in Paraguay shortly so sheet updated for that.
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Venezuela last night was a bust while the Irish games didn't qualify due to odds or not going inplay. Paraguay keeps on giving.
As for the unders I need to a bit more analysis on playoff games and other than that I think Venezuela could be one to avoid moving forward.
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@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
Decided to take the under in Venezuela. Stats look good. Let's see how it goes!
Hmmm.......not a great start
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Decided to take the under in Venezuela. Stats look good. Let's see how it goes!
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Sheet updated for tomorrow.
4 overs, 2 of which are in largely untested Ireland Div 1.
1 under overnight in Venezuela which I'll probably leave well enough alone as long as that league isn't in profit.
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@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
Regardless of any of that there's 3 more unders going overnight. One is in Peru and right now I'm not sure if this league is in profit or not depending on where I go with certain exclusions.
Sheet updated.
Columbia odds too low but the other 2 won.
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Regardless of any of that there's 3 more unders going overnight. One is in Peru and right now I'm not sure if this league is in profit or not depending on where I go with certain exclusions.
Sheet updated.
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Analyse analyse analyse......There's small samples within my larger sample in the unders which I'm not completely happy with it.......I said from the beginning this time that if it smelt a little funny I'd remove it as unwanted outlier. Going back and forth and toying with the idea. Is there meaningful data to be found from small datasets hidden within larger numbers??!!
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Disappointing again after being goalless at ht.
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Just the one under tomorrow and it's an overnighter in Peru. Sheet updated.
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Paraguay continues to be good. 0-2 final scoreline.
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Starts 00:40 by the way so not much time until kick-off.
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Correction:
That's the problem looking at both unders and overs. Attributing stats and rules to one and not the other. One game in Paraguay qualifies as an over but I was looking at it as an under.
Sheet updated.
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Absolutely zilch for tomorrow!
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Today result in Ireland right out of the blue. 100% transparent, I missed it as thought it was later for some reason so while it will appear in the system it won't appear in my actual bets.
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Game in Ecudor I didn't bet on also coming good.0-1 in the 90th.
Only 1 tomorrow (it's an under) but looks like good stats. Fingers crossed.
Sheet updated - any questions, ask.
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With the last result in Bolivia the unders as they are now performed well enough. Importantly though, even with those selections now removed the actual selections placed for real did slightly better than break even.
A good day overall.
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It was the natural progression of things but I've now created a filtered sheet for unders. Only exclusions so far is Mexico.