Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

Summer leagues haven't been good to me as it goes. HJK today........urrrggghhhhh!!!!!

Not one I'd really look to say it was a mistake!

[Richard Latimer]

Latest loss in South Korea annoying but it solves a problem I was having re some of the parameters.

Home scored rises to 1.2 now as 1.1 currently on a loss and looking decidely iffy!

[Richard Latimer]

@john-folan said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

@richard-latimer weirdly I like it when they come in on 93 minutes or something

Way too stressful and the more you have like that, eventually statistics say you're going to lose

[John Folan]

@richard-latimer weirdly I like it when they come in on 93 minutes or something

[Richard Latimer]

@john-folan said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Lay under 1.5:

This one was in after 6 minutes wasn’t it?

Something like that. Great when it happens so quickly!

[John Folan]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Lay under 1.5:

This one was in after 6 minutes wasn’t it?

[Richard Latimer]

Busy day. Lay under 1.5:

Not doing the Brazil game at present as both teams in Serie B last season.

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Between the two that would be almost 200pts in just over 3 months (mainly summer).

There's no question this makes money but it's not quite as easy as I let myself believe this morning. Because it only hits at 35% you have to be a lot less aggressive in staking as longeest expected losing streak is 16 from 1000 games and goes up steadily.

What that means is I can't just flip the results on their head and take loss as profit because I would have to stake altogether differently.

It may still hit 20-30pts but it's a lot less than the lay under 1.5 is showing.

Still, when this is finalised I do think I may look into whether I can build a lay over 3.5 system.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Just got to take the choke out and it'll be purring again in no time haha!

Lay under 1.5:

2-1 Win

[Richard Latimer]

Between the two that would be almost 200pts in just over 3 months (mainly summer).

[Richard Latimer]

Looking at all the selections from my data that haven't made the cut and then whittling down a bit more I may have a lay over 1.5 system as well. Around 80pts from 150 selections.

[Richard Latimer]

Just got to take the choke out and it'll be purring again in no time haha!

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Yesterday went 1/2, another loss but still showing the smallest profit for July.

Everything could still change in the next few days. Nothing today though.

[Richard Latimer]

My Austin Allegro is sputtering back to life.....or at least trying

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer Welcome to my world without the runaway train

[Richard Latimer]

July started off like a runaway train. All of a sudden it's become a conked out Austin Alegro :man_facepalming_light_skin_tone:

[Richard Latimer]

Yesterday was a meh.....day which really compounded the misery of the last couple of weeks. Still just under 7% up for July. A week to go.

Once more......all the data for H2H etc double checked. All within at least a small cushion of positive results either side. Lay under 1.5:

Oh yeah, yesterday was 6/8 for a loss of just over 2pts

[Richard Latimer]

Stupido. 1/2 on the last 2 so a poor day.

[Richard Latimer]

Wow.....did not expect that from the Icelandic game!

So........from being 10% up to pushing to get that closer to 20%-25% again.....if both the last 2 lose I'm at 0%!!!

If they both win......I have a small green for the day. What a rollercoaster!