Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Managed to end Feb very slightly in profit despite travails where certains patterns were noticed, internal tweaks became unavoidable and the system becomes even closer to being complete for me:
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2 Lay Under 1.5:
Max price NET 7.0
Max price GER 8.4 -
Over the weekend I'm going to start posting away lays too. I've been tentatively doing these since 11 Nov and it's been an excellent start. Now I'm going public they'll nosedive
EDIT
Just noticed my typo. Data for away lays goes back as far as unders lays (last April). Been tentatively trading them since 11 Feb not Nov.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Keep on forgetting to post my overs in here due to this competition. Anyone following what I'm doing should make sure they look in there too!
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If the price comes down a few more ticks lay under 1.5 on this:
Max lay price 7.4
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Latest result in Saudi I had posted on the competition thread but wasn't actually going to lay for real.
What changed my mind was a) Saudi League is coming up frequently suggesting there's going to be many selections and b) the number of high profile players in the league now.
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Lay Under 1.5:
Min price 3.15
Max price 7.4 -
Almost back in profit. The leagues I'm not quite there with did well too so bodes well for the future.
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Lay Under 1.5:
All likely to qualify. SWI closest to the edge as Max 6.6 and currently 6.2/6.4.
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I wasn't going to do this one today but based on the fact I have another in the same league tomorrow and the only reason for no selections yet is it was excluded from my filter for some reason. I am:
Lay Under 1.5 Max price 7.4 though so may not qualify anyway.
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
For tomorrow - Lay Under 1.5:
Min 3.15 - Max 11.00
2-2. Heading in the right direction again.
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For tomorrow - Lay Under 1.5:
Min 3.15 - Max 11.00
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As promised. Highlights the difficult nature of this month so far but with a weekend and a Fri to go profit can still be made.
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I had a go at simplifying my home lay system today and while it is possible with the same sort of league exclusion, the home lay thing I'm working on now has I believe the potential to be better.
I'm obviously not getting rid of the data. It's valuable. A whole years worth shows it works. I am however about to stop collecting more data for now as, with the other 4 in my planned portfolio, it's just too much work.
I'll keep the filter, I'll archive the data and if anyone wants it give me a shout.
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Under 1.5 Randers
1-2, stopped the rot
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Lay Under 1.5 Randers
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Rubbish weekend. I'll update and post tomorrow.
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Can't make up yesterdays today as only 3 but need a strong showing. Lay Under 1.5:
Min 3.15
SWI max 6.6
TUR max 11.00
ITA max 7.4 -
@Richard-Latimer bit of a shitshow today. 70% on 10 selections.
5 games 0-0 @ HT
2 FT 0-0's which is worst in data since I started looking last April.
All losers had high XG.
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Busy weekend:
Lay Under 1.5 if:
Min price 3.15
Max
NET Eerste 7.0
AUS A-league 6.6
GER (Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg) 7.4
ENG 11.00
NET Eredivisie (PSV vs Utrecht) 11.00
AUS Bundesliga 11.00
SWI 6.6
GER (Leverkusen vs Bayern) 8.4
NET Eredivisie (NAC vs Feyenoord) 7.4
HUN 7.4
BEL 11.00
FRA 7.4
41/5342