Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing for tomorrow!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):

Only one I don't have question marks over tomorrow is:

Lay under 1.5

Didn't see it coming.....never count these out haha!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):

Couple more for tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:

2/2 and back in front ever so slightly for June

[Richard Latimer]

Only one I don't have question marks over tomorrow is:

Lay under 1.5

[Richard Latimer]

Couple more for tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):

Lay under 1.5:

2/2

Time to start looking at tomorrow.....can still end June with a profit.....

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):

You'd probably be better off following a bunch of asylum seekers on to plane heading for Rawanda at the moment but here they are anyway!

Lay under 1.5:

3/3

[Richard Latimer]

You'd probably be better off following a bunch of asylum seekers on to plane heading for Rawanda at the moment but here they are anyway!

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Absolute pig of a weekend so far both personally and in trading but I do see a very clear way forward after today.....in the trading at least.....personally it's all gone to s**t again!!

2/4 on Saturday

[Richard Latimer]

Another 80%er in the bag. In fact just looking at the raw data with no tweaking of parameters at all shows a vast difference in s/r between 78-83% H2H over 1.5 (85% s/r) and 86-89% H2H over 1.5 (75% s/r).

It's night and day!!!

[Richard Latimer]

There it is......the profit for these matches with a very high H2H% is down to around 3pts from 26 trades! The average odds are also around 1pt higher! It's now a no brainer to remove from the main selections and track.

Conversely, looking at games and paramaters I'd made higher......these can potentially be lowered again a little meaning that the paltry 3pts Iose out on are gained back with less swings.

[Richard Latimer]

I already removed the 90%+ as they began to look substandard. For between 78-83% I have almost 100 trades and only 5 losers!

[Richard Latimer]

Looks as though Okayama is going to be a bust too! Going through all my data so far for this.......in terms of the H2H results it's almost the exact same profit for 78-83% as it is 78%-89%

Once more the overall picture shows that bigger numbers are not necessarily better!

The next 2 today are 80%

If those 2 win and Okayama loses as looks to be the case I would be a fool to continue with the big numbers as the vast majority of trades ar 80% H2H anyway.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):

1/2 again. Process of elimination is hard. Sensible thing to do.would be to leave certain things until sure.

There are still areas of my game I need to work on.

Most Summer LEagues back this weekend other than Sweden which should hopefully make things easier

[Richard Latimer]

1/2 again. Process of elimination is hard. Sensible thing to do.would be to leave certain things until sure.

There are still areas of my game I need to work on.

[Richard Latimer]

Not enjoying June. Bringing up too many things I should leave until I have more data haha!

[Richard Latimer]

Saturday. Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

June is at break even again after last night. Time to right the ship with just under 2 weeks to go!

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Expensive mistake 1/2

I will track these without Trading them for now -teams from the same but still a different league I mean. I guess some teams adapt quicker to a new league than others.